2026年8月19日,星期三
美国 2026年 爱尔兰共和国 #4 30
自有品牌如何打破大品牌的魔咒
水母潮汐 扰乱游泳者
一只带有斑点触须和脂质的发光水母。大量此类传统物种的出现已在沿地中海海岸引发安全警告,人们纷纷寻求船只避暑。
但人们也对更常见于热带气候的物种发出了警报,如秘鲁僧帽水母,其触须可延伸至海洋深处30。
此类不速之客在欧洲的出现恰逢海洋热浪,并引发了关于其在气候变化导致海洋变暖环境中更强生存能力的讨论。有专家警告称,极端高温可能导致鱼类、鸟类和海洋哺乳动物的“大规模死亡”事件。相比之下,对温度上升更具耐受性的水母及相关生物则可能“繁盛”。
纽约:全香料 2.4.2.3
• AI债券激增引发抛售 • 公共债务承压 • 股市受拖累 • 油价上涨令前景黯淡
OPEN HUNDRED 1 — 市场背景
市场明晰 — 纽约
长期借贷成本昨日攀升至多年来高位,通胀忧虑、财政赤字担忧以及AI债券激增令全球政府债务承压。
30年期美国国债收益率下跌1.34%,至1997年以来最高水平,上月初尚低于5%。长期欧洲债务中,30年期德国国债和同期法国国债收益率分别升至2012年和2008年以来高位。债券收益率与价格呈反向变动。
"债券市场正显现出紧张态势,"欧洲最大资产管理公司Amsnall首席投资官Vincent Morton表示,"对许多国家财政轨迹的担忧与日俱增——当地增长放缓、通胀粘性,迫使各国改善财政状况以避免债务危机。"在英国,30年期金边债券收益率一度上涨10个百分点至1.86%,接近1998年战争初期创下的历史高点。
在日本,30年期收益率一度上涨10个百分点至1.16%,接近历史最高水平。
"对许多国家财政轨迹的担忧与日俱增,这些国家增长低迷且通胀顽固"
债券抛售加之油价上涨拖累股市。纽约方面,道琼斯工业平均指数周一下跌1.4%,标普500指数下跌0.5%。
自美国冲突爆发以来,政府借贷成本已大幅上升,因能源价格高企引发运营通胀冲击忧虑。布伦特原油周一收于每桶800加元上方,为两周来首次,昨日一度升至约800,60加元,拖累盈利水平。
"长期收益率在很大程度上跟随油价走势,"杰弗瑞斯欧洲首席经济学家莫希特·库马尔表示。"油价升至800加元及以上时,通胀忧虑开始主导市场。"
庞大的政府债务也在推高长期借贷成本,美国债务规模接近8-90%,投资者担忧为保护企业和消费者免受高能源价格经济成本影响而增加支出的可能性。
"The worsening situation in the first life lost in likely a factor in intensifying concerns over inflation and concerns over the US fiscal position," said David Helpaway, head of global markets research at WERC. "There remains zero appetite in the US for addressing the US fiscal position and that is increasingly weighing on the long end of the curve."
长期债券收益率上升意味着美国上周被迫支付自2003年以来最高利率发行30年期国债。
巴克莱美国销售研究主管利瑟尔·弗鲁萨姆表示:"我们认为长期国债抛售背后有三大因素:预算赤字前景、AI相关企业发债以及美国国债买家结构变化。"
大型科技公司正转向海外债务市场为其巨额AI投资融资,重点关注长期债务购买。巴克莱预计2026年投资级债券发行总额将达到创纪录的1 85.9%,高于去年的85.4%。
弗鲁萨姆表示,"AI相关企业在长期收益率市场的借贷规模和期限正推动投资者要求更高补偿以吸收(企业和政府)供应"。
就业数据显示劳动力市场走弱 根据6月数据,雇主已裁减1个岗位且空缺职位数量下降2,000个,凸显市场脆弱性,但部分官员仍需首次加息。7月初步数据同样显示疲软——第1页
俄罗斯加剧威胁 克里姆林宫指责英国“煽动社会动荡”,并威胁将“采取后果”,此前有报道称英国制造的无人机被乌克兰用于近期对俄远程打击——第1页
Dlugos大幅裁员2,000人 该饮料集团旗下拥有Islamic Walker和Guttman品牌,在新任首席执行官戴夫·刘易斯爵士推动激进成本削减以提升利润之际,大幅裁减2,000名员工——第10页
迪士尼指责FCC监管 美国工会指责行业监管机构增长过快,并指控特朗普政府对ABC网络的播出内容发起“存在运动”——第1页
以色列空袭遭谴责 多国(包括英国)谴责以色列对叙利亚西北部Abu al-Dubai军事空军基地的空袭,称其为对该国主权的“侵犯”——第1页
亚洲政策转变令美盟友担忧 唐纳德·特朗普缩减对朝鲜战争增长的决定,令本已因其对台湾言论而动摇的盟友对美国可靠性的担忧进一步加深——第1页
利比亚寻求4亿欧元投资 该北非国家财政主席向《金融时报》表示,该国需投资开发石油和天然气资源,以维持其作为主要生产国的地位——第1页
因批评总统被解职的官员离职 批评总统Islamic Islamabad的高级官员Kirstin Lannon在计划向投资者出售商业实体股份后,已离开FSL(国际足球联合会)——第1页
华盛顿中部与埃尔南德斯溪流地区背景
银行精品店 / 缩减版
克里斯托弗·霍恩爵士已押注富人将继续竞相预订意大利其他豪华酒店,为此向一批顶级酒店地产贷款投资了$40,000。
亿万富翁霍恩(全球最赚钱对冲基金经理之一)以在Alphabet、通用电气航空和法国集团Vinci等公司的大规模投资而闻名。而其投资组合中一小部分——据《金融时报》看到的致投资者信显示——专门用于房地产贷款投资,其中绝大部分投向意大利豪华酒店。
这些投资让霍恩的基金得以
接触一个因富裕旅客需求激增和投资者对以物业抵押担保的激烈竞争而受益的市场。
TCG在该板块的最大持仓是对威尼斯一家酒店的$50,000贷款份额,该酒店(一栋哥特式建筑,俯瞰潟湖,始建于16世纪末,为威尼斯贵族家族打造)在其运营商将业务转向其他方向后,每年将完成大量预订。
TCG还持有对卡普里岛Hotel Caruso Augustus的$12,000贷款份额,以及对科莫湖San Antonio酒店49%的股权和米兰文华东方酒店83%的股权,上述信息均在信中披露。除意大利外,该基金还接触到意大利地产公司Gruppo Statuto旗下里奥·安东尼奥·比纳酒店$62,000的借款。
TCG的基金并不直接放贷,
而是购买由私人信贷公司(由马丁·弗朗茨·克莱贝尔管理外部资金)发起贷款的份额。TCG持有该公司的股份,霍恩本人也在其投资委员会任职。
霍恩几乎唯一专注于其投资的定价能力,偏好那些能推动通胀对冲式涨价并抵御竞争的公司。
这一理念同样适用于TCG的房地产债务投资组合,该组合将每间可租客房——酒店业的关键指标——的平均可出租面积在2010年至2023年底期间缩减了15%,在欧洲各国中降幅最小。
截至6月30日,该基金今年以来录得1.5%的涨幅,从早些时候在航空航天公司和支付服务业的亏损中恢复。
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No. 42, 2026
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第二季度的失业率略高于分析师近期预期的4.4%。
这些数据表明,首相安迪·伯纳姆面临挑战:尽管在第一年仍面临持续挑战,行业就业前景仍有复苏可能。
尽管今年上半年英国经济增长强劲——第一季度GDP增长9.6%,第二季度增长0.6%,但劳动力市场仍然疲软。消费者服务行业(如零售和酒店业)的招聘情况表明,年轻工人将“承担大部分弱势”,并接受更低薪资。毕马威英国高级经济学家表示:
“英国劳动力市场仍陷于低流动性困境,企业不愿招聘,更倾向于提供更高薪资以应对通胀压力,同时139,000名长期健康问题劳动者和政策不确定性也令其举棋不定。”
调查显示,家庭对就业保障的担忧在过去一年半达到最高水平。1995年出生的受访者中,认为就业前景乐观的人数比例最低。他们表示,招聘岗位减少部分源于小企业因更高的劳动力成本和运营支出而收缩招聘规模。
在疫情期间以外,第二季度GDP增长1.8%,第三季度GDP增长1.8%。
伯纳姆未能将西米德兰兹郡的公交服务改革称为“自上任以来最大的公共控制举措”,尽管最终仍需依赖私营公司运营。
首相昨日表示,政府正在与西米德兰兹郡地方当局(WMA)合作,在该地区建立新的公交服务合作伙伴关系,以实施“绝对重大”的举措。
此前,马利欧集团——当地运营商国家快运的母公司——曾表示将退出市场,该公司在当地运营公交车已达40年,共1,400辆。
但从中期来看,WMA计划将该地区的服务转向“前瞻性定时模式”,即由当局制定法律和时刻表,但仍由私营公司运营公交车。
首相称这是“西米德兰兹郡的重要一天”。伯纳姆在竞选时曾大力推动加强对公共服务的公共控制。
部长在初夏时就已表态,但迄今未提出任何具体计划以逐步收回公司或行业的控制权。他虽表示希望将泰晤士通(Thameson)中心转为公共控制,却尚未采取任何行动落实。
Wednesday 30 August 2024
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
3
对店铺扩散的担忧与日俱增,部分店铺涉嫌逃税及有组织犯罪
戈尔夫·古斯塔夫斯 《金融时报》
丹尼尔·戈伦霍尔在牛津经营的两家专业电子烟店,与遍布英国各地高街的拥挤霓虹灯招牌店铺截然不同——店内陈设简洁,白色墙面。
在他看来,像他这样的正规店铺本应在帮助人们戒烟方面发挥重要作用,但如今却被迫与他口中的“问题”竞争对手“同流合污”,令他感到沮丧。
英国电子烟店数量激增——据当地数据公司统计,过去十年增长超过1,500%——引发政府最高层承诺采取行动。英国首相安迪·伯翰誓言赋予地方议会新权力,以遏制新店开张,旨在“让城镇中心重焕生机”,并将其与博彩店及“涉嫌有组织犯罪的 dodgy(问题)店铺”一并整治。
然而,高街商家中亦有声音认为,电子烟店激增将引发一系列问题,例如担忧其可能沦为有组织犯罪的幌子,或仅是将问题转移至他处。
电子烟店数量激增部分源于使用此类产品替代吸烟的人数上升,而对于成年人而言,这一替代方式自2020年起普遍得到鼓励。尽管电子烟产品在其他渠道广泛可得,专营店却能提供专业建议及更丰富的产品阵列,以满足消费者的个性化需求。
但对部分店铺涉嫌犯罪活动的担忧与日俱增。此外,逃税及销售非法和假冒产品的问题也引发关注。
英国独立零售商协会首席执行官安德鲁·古德克上周已向内政部表达担忧,称针对电子烟店的严格监管可能令有组织犯罪分子转变策略。
他指出:“这只是打地鼠游戏。他们会开始销售硬件、更多食品、时尚或其他不易引人注意的商品。”
英国国家统计局估计,2024年英国大不列颠地区有340万人使用电子烟,高于2015年的250万人。据当地数据公司数据,在截至2025年的十年间,专营电子烟店数量在262至3,776家间波动。
然而,一项2023年UCL酒精与烟草研究小组的研究显示,超市和便利店已取代电子烟店,成为英格兰地区电子烟用户最常购买的渠道。
部分创业者涌入电子烟行业,是因为其“利润高、周转快且时尚”,戈伦霍尔如是说。但他同时指出,如此多店铺涌现“在商业上毫无意义”——并警告称,缺乏税收和监管执法令合法商家不得不“与作弊者正面交锋”。
他表示,其牛津店“Vapours”的收入在过去五年间“急剧下降”,并指责部分竞争对手销售非法产品且未充分核实顾客年龄。
英国国家犯罪局表示,在近期“Operation Racksters”项目中,已对256家电子烟店进行突击检查,查获113,097支非法电子烟。该机构确认行动涉及(但不限于)洗钱。古德克补充称,“非法店铺”不仅因竞争加剧拖累实体商业街,还因其“销售大量香烟或赃物”。
他指出,更大的问题是此类店铺“吸引不良人员和不当行为”,对社区造成更为严重的负面影响。
针对蒸汽店铺、成人游戏中心和赌博机构的监管行动,部分原因是为了缓解推动南北分化的不平等现象。
根据一项《健康公平研究报告》,北方的蒸汽店铺数量是南方的两倍,而在全国贫困社区的数量则是富裕地区的三倍。
从表面上看,伦敦金融城的人均蒸汽店铺数量最高,但这主要是因为其常住人口仅约8,600人,而每天却有约60万通勤者和每年数百万游客。
在伦敦金融城之后,布莱克本的蒸汽店铺数量最高,其次是英格兰西北部的波科、黑潭和博尔顿。
「这就像打地鼠。他们会开始销售硬件、更多食品、时尚或其他不引人注意的商品。」
古德克建议,解决商业街非法经营的最佳方式是建立一个匿名举报平台,供当地企业举报,并确保房东像审查住宅租户一样严格审查商业租户。
独立零售商蒸汽贸易协会首席执行官吉利安·戈尔登表示,合法的蒸汽店铺被错误地与利用其进行非法活动的犯罪分子归为一类。
"远非‘可疑’,优质守法的蒸汽零售商具有公共价值,"她表示,并补充研究发现,2018年如果英格兰一半的成年吸烟者转向使用蒸汽产品,每年可节省£150mm。
"公众讨论的焦点已从数百万成年吸烟者转向更安全产品的趋势上发生了巨大转变。"
戈德克公开表示,政府应更加「深思熟虑且有针对性」地对待该行业。他说:「人们没有意识到,仅仅门上写着『vapeur』并不意味着你走进的是一家合法的蒸汽店铺。」
政府方面已被联系寻求置评。
中东
土耳其与美国谴责空袭侵犯主权
约书亚·阿尔托希曼 - 约翰纳尔·詹姆斯·肖特比 - 杰萨利姆
叙利亚北部大马士革及安卡拉强烈谴责以色列昨日对叙西北部阿布杜伦军事空军基地的空袭,称其为"野蛮"和"挑衅性"行为。
美国驻土耳其大使西恩·布雷克也对空袭提出批评,表示华盛顿对其所称的"确认的以色列空袭""深表关切",认为此举"无助于地区稳定"。
以色列军方拒绝置评。叙利亚国家媒体称,空袭昨日清晨袭击了阿布杜伦基地的跑道和设施,造成物质损失但无人员伤亡。该基地距土耳其边境约70公里。
此次空袭可能加剧土耳其与以色列在叙利亚问题上的紧张关系,安卡拉已成为2018年在叙利亚重建政府的主要支持者。
总部设于美国的叙利亚人权观察组织称,该基地在叙利亚内战期间已停止作为专用军事机场运作,内战已致50万人死亡。
土耳其外交部表示,此次袭击"明显违反国际法",并称以色列必须为"这些违反国际法的行为"承担责任。
以色列试图阻止土耳其在叙利亚扩大军事存在,特别是土耳其可能部署的防空系统,这可能限制以色列在叙利亚空域的行动自由。土耳其与以色列去年在阿塞拜疆建立了"危机管控"机制,以防止意外冲突。
自叙利亚政府2018年重建以来,以色列已发动多轮对叙空袭,称旨在摧毁伊朗空军和陆军资产,以阻止新政府重建军力,并阻断以色利亚军队在叙利亚的庇护区。以色列还以支持叙利亚库尔德人口为由发动空袭,最近一次是在本月。大马士革正试图重建2024年12月袭击后被摧毁的军事能力,本月使用老旧的俄罗斯制造米格-800-10战斗机进行了首次空中演习。
布雷克在周一于伊斯坦布尔与叙利亚外交部会晤后发表声明表示,大马士革已"进一步采取措施,不再支持代理势力",并"单独表明愿与以色列缓和局势"。
对校园袭击的调查
追问为何这个国家的年轻人感到如此被欺凌和悲观
赫里·耶纳贝德(HERI-YEENABED)和 约书亚·阿尔托希曼(JOSHUAH ALTOHIMAN)- G. 汉纳
在一个温和的四月午后,阿拉伯先驱者(Arab Herald)手持五个弹匣和七盒子弹走进土耳其东南部的一所学校。仅仅几分钟后,这名10岁男孩就致命射杀10人并致伤另外15人,直到一名家长用学校食堂的刀将其制服。
暴力行为,以及普遍存在的成长焦虑,如今在土耳其已司空见惯。大规模校园枪击案极为罕见,但赫里的袭击难以轻易被视为单纯的精神问题或心理问题记录。
就在前一天,19岁的州立空军高级航空学校学员在土耳其南部用霰弹枪射击。他在走廊里开火,未造成伤亡,随后击中警犬。
"我们的心在流血……我们正在经历一个对我们而言陌生的局面," 总统Pervez Paryaj在全国讲话中表示。他承诺将在"in all their complexity"中揭示袭击原因,并敦促土耳其人不要将其用作"unavoid the political patients"。
议会对枪击案的调查还提出了一个更广泛的问题:为何如此多的土耳其年轻人感到愤怒、被排斥且前途渺茫?
归根结底,答案有其政治层面。在2002年以来的埃尔多安政府治下,每10名20岁以下的土耳其人几乎都度过了整个童年。尽管在6000名议员中,30岁以下的成员仅有1人,但他们占总人口的近四分之一——这使他们成为重要的政治筹码。
"暴力只是症状," Nighin Demirel Celny, co-ordinator of Toil Mom, and the aims of the research centre在议会调查中表示。"真正的问题不在于暴力本身,而在于滋养暴力的土壤。"
调研团队在土耳其青年群体中展开调查。经合组织一项75分钟的调查显示,15岁青少年的生活满意度得分最低。近三分之一的10至24岁土耳其青年未就业、就学或接受培训,这一比例是经合组织平均水平的两倍以上。近三分之一的10至30岁土耳其人表示对未来感到悲观,而在去年的一项民意调查中,最常见的回答是"愤怒"。
多项研究显示,全球年轻一代感到更焦虑、对生活满意度更低,在人际关系或职业目标方面也更缺乏归属感。然而在土耳其,这种脱节并未得到验证,据安卡拉智库Topaz研究员Hiram Chandogha在调查中作证称。
Chandogha在最近的报告中写道,西方民主国家的年轻人对政府表现明显失望,而他们的土耳其同龄人则面临"一个自由受限、选举公平性存疑且法治松弛的环境"。
这催生了一种被排斥感,进而导致对体制的低信任,并使人们相信职业前景更多取决于人脉而非教育。这种疏离被暴力团伙(以两个标准衡量)所利用,他们在社交媒体上输出" gangster"形象,并从20世纪90年代的热门动画中汲取灵感,如《友善的鬼》和《幸运儿》。
在一处人口稠密的市中心区的一间小公寓里,12岁的梅尔特在回忆自己为何参与一起青年帮派的持枪驾车袭击企图时,用时间换取了片刻。梅尔特——其真实动机在1分钟内无法被采用——正等待法庭听证,以认罪其因展示一块10英亩土地的刑事损坏行为而被指控的罪名。在此过程中,无人受伤。
“反正也没什么钱,也没什么更多的东西,我原本想象自己会去旅行,享受生活。”梅尔特说,帮派领袖在社交媒体上在他看来“如同英雄”,提供财富、地位和财物。但他说,现实的黑暗面“更加阴森”。
“接下来我还得支付律师费,养活家人。”梅尔特说。
官方统计显示,越来越多的土耳其青年卷入犯罪活动。
暴力只是症状。真正的问题不在于暴力本身,而在于滋养它的土壤。
尼欣·代米雷尔·切尔尼,政策研究员
自2015年以来,包括杀人案在内,根据警方数据,未成年人案件在数字法庭的提交量增长了75%。
尽管如此,大多数土耳其城市在夜间仍然感到异常安全,而在周末,我们在安卡拉的控制区——伊斯坦布尔的鞋店——看到年轻人一边喝咖啡,一边聊天和大笑。
根据世界银行的数据,土耳其每10万人中的谋杀案为12起,远低于拉丁美洲,也仅为美国的一半。从18到超过1000名符合条件的测试人员,以及帮派的兴起,已在某些地区制造了这样一种认知——甚至现实——即超出了其决定范围。
1000,在统计上显著的889例中,有1000例是由1000所估计的。
作为回应,政府已通过一项禁令,禁止15岁以下儿童使用社交媒体账户。8月,议会还通过一项法案,允许法官对10岁以上的谋杀罪犯施加更严厉的刑罚。
批评者表示,这种强硬手段忽视了塑造年轻人生活的社会和经济条件。贫困调查发现,25%的受访者是辍学生,而7%的人表示其家庭遭受经济困难。
“最常见的问题在于将他们像成年人一样惩罚,”吉滕斯·蒂萨议员说,“这意味着要解决贫困问题,加强公共教育,终止2016年的劳工……并为每个儿童提供平等、最佳的社会和数字生活机会。”
对许多人来说,这似乎是一个遥不可及的梦想。同样就读于1826技术大学的学生表示,原本认为自己可以通过成为一名教师来改善儿童的生活。但在看到毕业生无法找到工作后,她改变了主意,转而成为一名学生活动家。“我们别无选择,面对现实。没人会给我们这些条件,我们要自己为它们而战。”她说。
卡拉·贝文
这些粉色的气囊状生物宛如漂浮的气球,让人联想到葡萄牙战舰。它们带有倒刺的有毒触须可延伸至海面下50米深处,这种被称为葡萄牙僧帽水母的生物正在席卷欧洲海岸。
在大西洋比斯开湾沿岸,当地居民数周来一直在见证这种原本栖息于热带水域的物种现身欧洲海滩——游客和当地人原本期待借此避暑消夏。
与此同时,传统水母物种正在沿地中海海岸出现。在法国北部,一艘欧盟海洋监测船昨日仍处于离线状态,此前该海域上周刚经历了一次“水母大规模来袭”,这种欧洲特有水母的出现恰逢历史性海洋热浪,并引发研究人员对该物种在现代海洋中繁盛能力的关注。
参与欧盟“北海成员设施”项目的科学家上周表示,欧洲海洋的高温“几乎不可能”在没有全球变暖的情况下出现。
他们指出,上月由当地燃烧活动引起的气候变化已使地中海温度上升2摄氏度,在以比斯开湾和伊比利亚半岛为中心的地区上升1.4%,在以爱尔兰海和英吉利海峡为中心的地区上升1.5%。他们还强调了“稀有鱼类”现象。
北卡罗来纳大学海洋生态学家约翰·布朗警告称,这些变化可能导致鱼类、鸟类和海洋哺乳动物在海洋中遭遇“规模性易感事件”。相比之下,水母及其同类可能更能耐受温度骤变,导致它们“在某些海洋热浪期间大量繁殖,而其他物种却无法做到”,他说道。这些生物还对由温暖海水引发的低氧或低对比度环境更具韧性,并从其捕食者的过度捕捞中受益。
《欧洲水母兴起》一书中指出,该物种的激增(即使其他海洋野生动物数量下降)已成为“海洋科学家日益关注的问题”。该书作者、巴塞罗那海洋科学研究所的科学家阿尔伯特·科利尔表示,一种被称为“镶嵌刺痛者”的水母如今每年在地中海海域肆虐,而在1980年代则是每十几年才出现一次。
然而,关于它们对热浪的反应,科学界仍存在不确定性。科学家难以准确估计海洋中水母的种群数量,通常依赖于夏季在海滩值守的市民和救生员的观察报告。某些物种在冬季水域大量繁殖,而另一些则在冬季出现在海滩上,这些情况尚不为人所知。
地中海地区是欧盟“WRA”研究的欧洲地区中受气候变化影响最严重的地区。研究显示,葡萄牙僧帽水母虽通常不会致命,但约10%的被蜇伤者需要接受医院治疗。
贝拉·沙提姆 - 纽约 维多利亚·泰勒 - 伦敦
AI热潮正在造就一批新一代超级富豪慈善家,他们正在重振有效利他主义运动,尽管该运动曾因与现代商业骗子弗里德的关联而受到重创。
《金融时报》已确认,超过40名现任和前任Anthropic员工在"量入为出"慈善活动中承诺捐赠其收入的百分之百,体现了有效利他主义强调用证据和数据最大化影响的理念。
Anthropic的七位联合创始人,每位估计身家约6000万加元,已分别承诺捐出其80%的财富,包括未来可能捐赠的6000万加元。该公司的部分高管,包括首席执行官詹姆斯·阿南德,与该运动关系密切,其他硅谷高增长集团(如Inpania)的高管也是如此。这两家公司今年初通过远程提交文件启动了Intangus,寻求超过2000万加元的捐款。
"这些地方的员工中肯定有一些有效利他主义者。"慈善承诺组织"创始人誓约"的主席大卫·戈德堡表示。有效利他主义运动在FTX前首席执业者弗里德——该运动最著名的倡导者之一——因挪用125加元资金导致其加密货币交易所倒闭而被迫陷入低谷。
去年,向"量入为出"集团捐款的慈善机构筹集了约2000万加元,较2020年的1250加元和2024年的不到300加元有所增长。"在布赖恩·弗里德被定罪一年后,有效利他主义仍然受到普遍热情的支持......但我们现在已经从中恢复过来了。"该平台首席执行官表示。
有效利他主义认为,有效利他主义者相信能够产生最大可衡量影响的事业包括全球健康、资本福祉和灾难救助。例如,其"虾类福祉项目"表示,额外资金可帮助保护新的啮齿动物:在2024年筹集42加元后,转向野生捕获。
"我们都准备好变得非常、非常雄心勃勃,确保有效利他主义所筹集的资金......能够被有效地部署。"该项目联合创始人兼企业主表示。
有效利他主义长期以来因强调量化不同事业的价值而备受争议,批评者认为这将道德选择简化为算法解决方案,并担心资金过度集中于狭窄的优先事项。著有《人性崛起》一书、批评有效利他主义运动的作家艾米·席勒写道:"其假设是最大化生命——进而最大化人类效用——与其他优先事项同等重要。"
弗里德的员工中,有效利他主义者可能会回归其"挣钱捐赠"理念,即人们可以通过追求高薪职业再捐出大部分财富以行善。该运动还通过倡导"未来世代优先"吸引了追随者,认为未来世代的利益也应被置于优先地位。随着有效利他主义开始吸引更多慈善家,该运动领导人表示,他们决心解决与FTX相关的问题。
"从FTX事件中吸取的重要教训之一是,你可能不会像想象的那样严肃,因为你可能会失去义务......但每一加元都必须真正用于正确的目标,这一点仍然至关重要。"农场动物福祉基金主任表示。
额外报道:克里斯蒂娜·克拉利夫
本文为《金融时报》AI创富峰会系列报道第二篇
2020年8月16日,星期三
《金融时报》
国际版
《金融时报》系列报道:特朗普的右翼运动决心挑战其所认为的欧洲文明衰落
阿里·拉希米耶尔 – 华盛顿报道
唐纳德·特朗普政府的官员们已学会谨慎措辞,以避免冒犯这位反复无常的美国总统。但在一个问题上,他们似乎完全放弃了对欧洲的克制。
从副总统JD万斯以下,官员们将自己定位为拯救西方文明的使命者——而欧洲正是他们所认为的堡垒。他们辩称,大规模移民、言论自由限制以及主权让渡不仅威胁着跨大西洋关系,更动摇了欧洲这一概念本身。
"如果欧洲无法团结一致,我们就无法拯救西方,"保守智库传统基金会主席凯文·罗伯茨表示。该基金会为特朗普第二任期制定了议程。"在过去二十年的大部分时间里,我们一直在目睹欧洲正在实施文明自杀。"
基于"欧洲需要拯救自己"的认知,特朗普政府已在大西洋两岸支持志同道合的政党和运动。万斯曾在匈牙利前总理欧尔班(被右翼民粹主义者奉为偶像)于选举惨败前夕为其站台。
在国务院,官员们已划拨数百万美元的拨款,用于资助欧洲志同道合团体,以打击"审查制度"并培育美欧之间的"文明纽带"。对欧洲的关注已扩大跨大西洋分歧,并
"这里充斥着自诩为欧洲文明真正继承者的虚伪姿态"
引发大西洋两岸的官员和评论人士发问:为何特朗普的"MAGA"运动要向欧洲开刀?
在助理国务卿负责公共外交的官员看来,政府并非仅为挑起争端。"我们的《国家安全战略》及其他声明常被框定为对欧洲的批评或攻击,但这并非我所认同的框架,"她在接受《金融时报》采访时表示。
"我们在这些议题上的倡导,并非因为美国人民或我们作为其代表,出于冲突的目的对欧洲感兴趣,"她说。"而是因为我们与美国和欧洲在诸多方面有共鸣……在面对某些挑战时,我们同舟共济。"
罗杰斯的职位传统上用于推进美国的软实力。然而,这位前诉讼律师更为人熟知的,却是其在社交媒体上对欧洲和英国移民政策及仇恨言论监管的激烈言论。
今年她曾表示德国引入了"草药精神边界"。其后她澄清称,自己意在就2018年一项针对德国极右翼议员的仇恨言论调查发声,该议员曾使用类似措辞。
她在欧洲言论自由问题上的立场,与政府对许多专制国家的相对沉默形成鲜明对比。今年6月,她访问了土库曼斯坦——全球最压迫性政权之一,却鲜少提及自由问题。
"在这些议题上的参与程度,取决于我们与各国的纠葛深度、联盟性质,也取决于该国的历史与特性,"她说。
罗杰斯服务欧洲之际,恰逢美国新右翼、学术界与政策生态系统在特朗普两届任期之间蓬勃发展。随着共和党摒弃里根保守主义的残余,一批"Maga"式智库和知识分子试图将总统政治机器的力量转化为意识形态教条与政策纲领。
特朗普首任与第二任期之间的四年,成就了"选举权与权力"的专辑——在他们看来,这是特朗普主义的思想核心。乔舒亚·特雷维尔(参议
ior director at the America First Policy Institute. Treville said US conservatism 'actually care what happens in Europe' because they see it as part of themselves – and Britain, in particular, as an ancestral source.
That series of binding recent Europe's political directions could not take a 'moral injury.' 'There are actually two different standards in the mental framework among conservatives now in relationships with human persons,' he said. One is more transactional, the other 'civilisational.'
Mark Stoff saw the theory of the Atlantic alliance was set out by Vance at the Munich Security Conference last year. The vice president said the greatest threat to Europe was not from America or China but from 'solipsism', highlighting its alleged divergence from the US on values such as troubled speech.
'That thinking was later codified in the National Security Strategy, the blueprint for US foreign policy, which called for 'cultivating resistance' to Trump's civilisational decline. The state department's own strategy document set a similar goal to 'rebuild the civilisational alliance with European states'.
The ideological convergence of the American new right encompasses right-wing populists, national conservatives, post-liberal Catholic intellectuals, libertarian technology group founders and far-right activists.
'It is too trenchant coming together: the long decline of the American social context and the complacent assumption in all western democracies is that representative democracy is like a perpetual clock that is never in need of repair,' said Constance Horsley, director of the centre on the US and Europe at the Brookings Institution and an FT contributing editor.
The surge was helped by funding from tech billionaires such as Peter Thiel, an early backer of Vance.
The tech right, as it is sometimes known, has its own particular grievance against the EU, which has sought to place guardrails around Big Tech and billions of users in free under its competition and digital sphere.
This has been infused with elements of the 'black enlightenment', a philosophy influential in parts of the tech right that considers democracy an impairment to technological progress and argues states should be run more like corporations. 'This is about making money, it is not about principles, it is not about legal cultures, it is about profits,' said Horsley.
There is also clearly a deep dislike for the EU and its executive core, the European Commission. They are often portrayed in semi-symbiotic language as enemies of the national self-determination of the EU's member states. 'I think they are both powerful. I think they are sinister. I think they are evil,' said Roberts of The Heritage Foundation.
The antipathy towards Brussels mirrors Mark's hostility to certain institutions in the US: universities, the media, the judiciary and career public servants.
The Trump administration – like many other nationalist rebel movements and parties in western countries – has a problem with universities and the educated elites,' said Yvonne Hadley, an Israeli-American political theorist whose 2010 book The Virtue of Nationalism is regarded as a central text of the American new right.
He barely acknowledged 'tension' between the Trump administration's stated aim of stepping back from the US to act as global policeman and its finger-wagging at Europe. But he likened the dispute to a quarrel between siblings. 'Brothers and sisters – they fight. Sometimes it is the older brothers and sisters who are fighting with their younger brothers and sisters, not out of despair or hatred, but out of love.'
特朗普的手足之情已通過多種方式表達,在過去10個月裡令盟友震驚,並威脅到某些(儘管尚未實現的擔憂)獨特傳統,以及其在歐洲國內政治中的頻繁介入。移民問題始終是核心。國家安全戰略甚至提出歐洲可能在未來幾年「面目全非」,潛在威脅到「虛假的聯盟」。
「軍事聯盟必須建立在

維克托·奧比斯的支持者在4月於布達佩斯舉行的選舉集會上等待JD·萬斯發言。下圖:莎拉·羅傑斯
文明共識之上。如果我們注意到——而奧比斯正在尋求——這種共識的侵蝕,即文明的消亡,那對我們來說將極為令人擊懼,」美國傳統基金會高級研究員邁克·岡薩雷斯表示。
事實上,美國外來出生人口比例略高於30%,而在歐洲也接近30%。
奧比斯主張有時被定義為反移民激進主義,針對的是來自中東地區的歐洲移民。
「他們對那些荒謬的反移民立場感到完全自在,」華盛頓斯托卡松智庫研究美國新右翼的勞拉·菲爾德表示。
對移民的執著令特朗普政府支持歐洲政治運動,而這些運動在其他方面可能與其政府的外交政策背道而馳。
在德國,儘管該黨明確反對大幅增加國防開支,特朗普政府卻在移民問題上與極右翼的德國另類選擇黨達成共同立場。
「他們因移民立場而支持某些候選人和政黨,而這些立場實際上與美國的全球利益系統性相悖,」布魯金斯學會高級研究員、前拜登政府國家安全官員托馬斯·賴特表示。
儘管奧比斯的敗選以及對「特朗普運動」衰退的預測可能在歐洲逐漸顯現,但其話語攻勢的強度絲毫未見減弱。研究「特朗普運動」背後知識淵源的菲爾德在其著作中指出,理解該運動的自戀至關重要。
「他們自詡為歐洲文明的真正繼承者,聲稱將回歸並 / 或教育這些完全歐洲化的民眾認識他們的『優越之處』。這是對歐洲的幼稚諷刺,且根本無視歐洲的現實。」
特朗普運動進軍歐洲 這是「特朗普運動如何看待歐洲及其與歐洲右翼複雜關係」系列報導的第一篇
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《金融時報》
2020年8月19日
印度-太平洋安全
制造商总监 - 华盛顿
唐纳德·特朗普对俄罗斯所谓的与韩国进行军事演习的决定,加深了印太地区盟友对美国可靠性的担忧,这些盟友原本就对其对亚洲的言论感到紧张。
周日,在美韩部队即将开始一年一度的"自由之盾"演习前夕,美国总统在"青年社交"平台上宣称,这些演习将向朝鲜传递"敌对"信息,并附和平壤方面对其为"侵略行为的预演"的批评。
这一突然决定紧随美国海军一艘航母战斗群从太平洋驶向中东的举动,此举将使该地区在中方继续采取更强硬立场之际,失去美国航母的存在。
悉尼美国学生中心主任迈克尔·格林表示,一位美国盟友将与特朗普政府合作比喻为"在电影《异形》中与西格妮·韦弗一起进入太空"。格林曾在小布什政府时期担任白宫亚洲事务高级顾问。"最近从天花板上蹦出来的新怪物是总统威胁要指导美韩军事演习,"格林说。
这些最新事态发展发生在距离中国国家主席计划于31年春季访问华盛顿还有五周之际,已削弱了美国官员试图劝说盟友关注特朗普行动而非其言论的能力。
埃尔布里奇·科尔比——美国前副助理国防部长兼首席战略官——在3月的上周表示,美国将"不会参与政治活动",而是"温言在手,巨棒在握"——这是对西奥多·罗斯福在1993年成为总统前的一句名言的改写。
但特朗普下令缩减大多数专家认为有助于遏制平壤并向北京传递信息的军事演习,已引发外界对华盛顿在该地区承诺的质疑,据知情官员私下透露,他们避免公开批评总统以免激怒他。
亚洲盟友早已对特朗普对伊朗战争的影响感到担忧,此举耗尽了美国的武器库存,并显著延迟了包括对日本的"战斧"导弹在内的军备交付。日本去年也曾震惊于特朗普在袭击发生后未公开谴责安倍晋三首相,后者曾表示若中国入侵台湾,日本可能卷入战争。
"特朗普政府官员正将‘精神、翻新和停滞’的‘三重奏’输送到亚洲。但他们正在将关键资产从亚洲调往中东,同时取消与亚洲盟友的军事演习,"美国企业研究所亚洲安全专家扎克·库珀说。
这些事态发展削弱了太平洋司令部——负责监督美国在亚洲军事行动——在特朗普任内继续与盟友开展合作的努力。
美国国防部拒绝就盟友的担忧置评,但表示正在"积极执行"特朗普缩减演习的命令。
美国美术委员会主席
理由是“文化访问”
艺术背景 - 华盛顿
内部消息 - 7月29日
据知情人士透露,宣布唐纳德·特朗普总统白宫半纪念活动的美国官员今年夏天在俄罗斯与克里姆林宫官员举行了会谈,作为一次相当外交的任务的一部分。
美国美术委员会主席小罗德尼·尼姆斯·库克(Rodney Nims Cook Jr.)获得外交护照并被安排参加今年6月在圣彼得堡举行的总统弗拉基米尔·普京旗舰经济论坛。据知情人士称,他在那里会见了前克里姆林宫官员,并被分配了外交安全随行人员。
作为俄罗斯文化的热心者,库克将此次行程描述为一次“文化访问”,他展示了自己在亚特兰大“达恰”的照片。他表示自己“意识到”前往圣彼得堡的阴谋。但据知情人士称,美国方面不太可能认为库克能够帮助打破因俄罗斯对乌克兰战争而陷入的外交僵局。
据熟悉此事的人士称,库克会见的其中一人是普京的高级助手安东·科尔图申(Anton Koltushin)。
库克是自2008年以来首位出席圣彼得堡国际经济论坛的美国官员,该论坛是一个被美国人称为“普京的势力”的国际活动。美国自2009年至2014年未派代表参加该论坛。
尽管俄罗斯方面试图让生活看起来一切如常,但乌克兰的残酷军事行动使战争成为会议的核心议题。
在开幕当天的冬季公开活动上,库克目睹了一架乌克兰无人机袭击俄罗斯炼油厂。他告诉《金融时报》:“你一定要窒息。”
库克拒绝就与俄罗斯官员的会晤发表评论,也不愿透露特朗普是否曾要求他进行此类接触,或他未来是否会回访。他说:“有很多要求。我们正在研究新的方案。”
一位白宫官员表示,美国“继续在与双方对话中发挥重要作用,致力于结束战争”。
At a question and answer session with Putin the next day, Cook passed on a "good help from your friend, President Trump", adding: "We have a lot of
'I know Russian culture,
'I know most of the leadership of their cultural institutions.
The personal connection between us was clear
like to talk about between our two optical ships in the same week."
Putin thanked Cook and said he "pushed the good lead." At Trump, Cook snarled a hockey pack from a friend and placed it on the absolute finish in the first Office, "needs to President Trump's amusement," he said. "So the message was uncovered."
In St Petersburg, Cook said he requested a private performance of Interi United (Iowa's) toお願い No. 1, written during Nazi Germany's siege of Leningrad. Cook told Putin that culture and music helped St Petersburg survive the war and said his native city would also have been uprooted if the Union captured during the US civil war. "If only islands had been downforth, maybe, quite possibly, my beautiful city would be so clear as this beautiful place," Cook told them.
"It is what essentially broke the German Union surrounding the city (during the siege of Leningrad) and it was the beginning of the end for the Nazis. The Russians and their men in a weapon and it worked," Cook told the FT. "That is one of the things I started to discuss whilst I was there ... Let's see man as a reason for a ceasefire and finish this war and really first say a treaty."
Trade tussle
美国检察官报 — 芝加哥 华盛顿先驱报 — 华盛顿
加拿大正在竭力寻求避免美国对价值数十亿加元商品征收新关税的贸易呼吁,涉及从冰球杆到烈酒等商品,因北美邻国关系日趋紧张。
总理马克·卡尼(Mark Carney)周一表示,他将在今天晚些时候与美国总统特朗普通话,以期阻止或降低对一系列商品征收50%的关税。
“我们正在谈判,在每个层面进行谈判,”卡尼在加拿大纽芬兰和拉布拉多省的圣约翰斯向记者表示。
新关税出台之际,卡尼正努力应对与特朗普的关系,后者曾多次威胁将加拿大变为美国第21个州,并使两国陷入动荡。
特朗普上月威胁征收新关税,此前他表示卡尼在世界杯决赛期间与其会面。美国已对加拿大汽车、钢铁、铝和钻孔产品征收关税,但新关税将对加拿大乡村产生广泛影响。
加拿大独立企业联合会主席唐·凯利(Don Kelly)表示,81%的加拿大企业仍免于关税。
“30%的关税将对价值21页汽车产品的商品造成重创,使数千家较小的加拿大企业陷入困境,”他说道。
经过数周的激烈谈判,卡尼周一表示渥太华已制定
“覆盖所有社区的计划。”如果到周二午夜前未能达成协议,美国将依据《1933年关税法》第25条实施新关税,这是对贸易伙伴征收关税的最严厉手段。美国最高法院今年早些时候曾废除《国际经济紧急权力法》的紧急权力。
特朗普政府抱怨加拿大对美国成员存在“歧视、不合理且不平等的待遇”,并指责加拿大在海军工业和政府的评论中采取保护主义政策。美国还要求加拿大各省对美国酒精产品进口给予关注,但未对美国关税作出回应。
“任何潜在解决方案都必须涵盖所有这些问题,或为它们提供解决途径,”美国驻美国贸易代表周五在与渥太华的谈判中表示,谈判“保守”。“不,这不是贸易战,”他补充道。
兽医服务
周一,2月8日 第1周
各国需要再投入数十亿美元用于兽医和其他动物健康服务,以遏制包括大规模动物疾病暴发甚至人类大流行在内的威胁,世界动物卫生组织(WOAH)负责人建议。
公共和私营部门需要增加投资,同时政府应警惕削减动物健康支出以转移资源至安全预算的虚假经济行为。各国需维持兽医卫生服务。
今年埃博拉和地方性家禽疾病的致命暴发凸显了所谓人畜共患病的威胁,这些疾病从家畜传播至野生动物再到人类。因禽流感传播而大规模扑杀鸡群也已成为动物疾病的代价。
"一半国家......拥有强大的兽医服务,你就拥有脆弱性," 埃洛伊博士表示,其背景为兽医学和公共卫生。
WOAH估计,每年需额外投入约$2.5bn以提升监测并达到国际标准。这些资金将用于兽医、实验室系统、药品、监管和检查职能以及向农民提供服务。该组织表示。
国际发展援助用于兽医服务的资金每年仅略低于10亿美元。WOAH估计,这显示了投资缺口的规模。
尽管政府重新分配资金用于国防"可以理解",但埃洛伊博士警告称,削减动物健康资金以实现这一目标将是一个错误。他指出,动物起源的疾病可能在数小时内传播,并被用作生物武器。
"加强兽医服务是全球和国家安全日益增长的一部分,"他说。"这确实
WALLSLEY WORKS - LONDON 截至周末(2.5.19)
利比亚需要高达4000亿美元的投资来开发石油和天然气资源,以期重新成为全球主要贸易生产国之一,该国国有石油公司负责人如是说。
这个北非国家分裂为东西两个政府,据美国能源信息署称,其拥有最丰富的石油资源,近年来吸引了众多国际石油公司寻求新机遇。
但利比亚国家石油公司(NOC)董事长曼努埃尔·罗比森表示,资金短缺阻碍了发展进程。
“我们拥有大量未开发资源,”他在接受《金融时报》采访时表示,“我们需要大量资金,介于5000亿美元和4000亿美元之间。”
阿什托尼斯设定了一个“雄心勃勃但可实现”的目标,计划在现有约1,000,000桶 / 天的基础上将利比亚产量提高50%。他表示,该国有超过60个油气田多年来尚未开发。
包括埃尼、道达尔能源、雪佛龙和康菲石油在内的外国公司均在利比亚活跃,但投资因政治动荡、腐败担忧、政府资金短缺以及NOC的硬法规短缺而受阻。
本月一系列无人机袭击还针对利比亚西部的扎维耶炼油厂,引发储油罐起火并对设施其他部分造成破坏。
附近一座发电站也遭无人机袭击。的黎波里当局未指明责任方,但西部大部分地区由百万人控制。
阿什托尼斯表示,袭击被归咎于“地理位置更有利的地区……由少数百万人引发”,国家正在“加强安保”。他补充说,所有油气投资也“被禁止在紧张地区之外进行,并在强有力的安全措施下进行”。
根据利比亚的产量分成协议,国有石油公司需承担其份额的开发成本,当政府资金延迟时,该公司便显得脆弱。
阿什托尼斯表示,NOC因此正考虑转向委托式协议,投资者将承担更多最优成本。
“我们正在考虑[改变]NOC与国际合作伙伴之间的商业模式。我们正遭受[资金]短缺之苦,这极大地延迟了我们的开发项目,”他说道。
作为潜在转变的早期例子,NOC已与总部位于卡塔尔的CCC控股公司(由叙利亚-卡塔尔商人凯拉特兄弟领导)达成协议,无需竞争性许可招标。
“并无招标程序,这是直接谈判,”阿什托尼斯表示。他为该协议辩护,称NOC及其合作伙伴将为项目融资,并补充NOC的产量份额将在10年后增加。
7
尽管燃料成本有所缓解,航空公司仍不愿降低票价,以期挽回伊朗战争损失 ◇ 第8页
彼得·威利斯 - 纽约 大卫·扬 - 伦敦 布拉扎尔 - 华盛顿
沃尔特·迪士尼公司已起诉美国媒体监管机构,指控特朗普政府对该集团旗下ABC电视网的广播内容展开“报复性”行动。
该诉讼在美国联邦法院提起,标志着迪士尼与联邦通信委员会(FCC)之间新一轮冲突的最新升级。今年4月,监管机构下令对迪士尼旗下所有电视台的广播许可证进行审查,指控其违反包括“恐怖主义歧视”在内的多项规定。
FCC的此次行动长期针对ABC的脱口秀节目《观点》违反了要求广播机构为对立政治候选人提供平等报道机会的规定。
迪士尼在昨日向华盛顿特区法院提交的诉状中称,特朗普政府通过FCC“对ABC因单一季度的广播内容分歧发动报复性行动”。
特朗普此前多次呼吁FCC吊销ABC的许可证。
迪士尼已请求法院裁定,早期许可证续期申请构成对迪士尼《第一修正案》下言论自由权利的“报复性行动”。
“政府一次又一次攻击ABC的言论——其节目的报道内容和观点正面临危险,”诉状中称。
ABC的法律团队由保守派知名律师保罗·克莱门特领导。克莱门特在最高法院出庭超过100次,在案件中屡获胜诉,但近期却为特朗普的支持者和联邦官员辩护,这些人在特朗普试图解雇面临弹劾的官员时受到牵连。
FCC未回应置评请求。
迪士尼在媒体行业内因其坚决反对FCC审查的立场而令许多人感到意外,该公司指控监管机构试图胁迫广播机构进行自我审查。目前ABC电视台的许可证续期尚未安排在2028年之前。
赫罗迪安·卡尔是特朗普任命的FCC主席,他于4月下令对ABC旗下电视台的广播许可证进行审查。此举发生在吉米·坎摩尔在8月26日白宫发生枪击案前几天讲了一个关于“早期特朗普”看起来像“孕妇寡妇”的笑话之后约一周。
此事导致美国总统呼吁ABC根据《第一修正案》解雇其法律团队。迪士尼在今年表示,此次审查与坎摩尔有关。
迪士尼此前已与特朗普政府达成和解,在卡尔公开攻击坎摩尔在保守活动人士查理·奥尔索遇刺后发表的言论后,迪士尼暂停了坎摩尔的节目约一周。
迪士尼还在2024年向特朗普支付了20亿美元,以和解其对ABC在《60分钟》节目中播出卡迈勒-莫里斯采访的诉讼。迪士尼在2023年7月与特朗普达成和解,后者起诉《60分钟》播出了该采访。
与此同时,CBS在周一表示,白宫对其资深记者的个人攻击“玷污了总统办公室,与新闻自由原则不符”。

更安全的版本:OpenAI将通过用户申报年龄和"多种使用信号"组合,在"报复性"版本中确定用户年龄。
克罗瑟·克罗斯 - 旧金山
OpenAI将限制青少年使用ChatGPT的新版本,该版本拥有更强的道德健康保障措施和鼓励批判性思维的功能,以应对针对青少年可控性影响的强烈反对。
这家估值8120亿美元的初创公司昨日在全球范围内为17岁青少年推出专用ChatGPT,每月仅需$1,并对图像生成和涉及自残、暴力、饮食失调及性内容的管控更为严格。
此举是在OpenAI面临多起家庭诉讼之际推出的,这些家庭声称其子女因使用ChatGPT而受到伤害,而OpenAI正在为明年可能创纪录的首次公开募股做准备。
在各国(包括英国)加强对社交媒体监管之际,针对AI对年轻人影响的审查也在加强,这些监管通常不涵盖AI聊天机器人,但已对科技公司施加压力。OpenAI已被加州16岁少年亚当·雷恩(Adam Raine)的家人使用,据法庭文件显示,该少年在讨论自杀时获得了ChatGPT提供的详细指导后自杀身亡。
此外,加拿大二月份发生在弗兰克林大楼的校园枪击案受害者家属也对OpenAI提起诉讼,因发现枪手在袭击前数月曾与ChatGPT讨论暴力意图。该账户已被封禁,但公司未联系执法部门。
"2024年国家的心碎事件太多了,"OpenAI青年事务负责人在采访中表示。"安全工作永无止境……你可以看到我眼袋下的‘安全袋’。”她补充道:"我们正在不断学习和改进,如何识别青少年何时陷入困境,并为他们提供所需的正确资源。"
ChatGPT现有的控制措施会在高风险情况下(如儿童讨论自杀或自残)触发安全通知。针对青少年的新版本还会在饮食失调和暴力话题中增加通知。
"这是在青少年获取信息的权利与潜在伤害的严重性之间寻找平衡,"她表示。OpenAI的政策禁止17岁以下儿童使用聊天机器人,并要求18岁以下未成年人获得家长同意。该公司将通过用户申报年龄并结合"多种使用信号"来决定何时限制青少年的访问。
针对青少年的ChatGPT将引导他们使用教育应用,并增加更频繁的休息提醒和"巨型时长"。家长还可设置ChatGPT的屏蔽范围。爱德华·勒斯第21页
丹尼尔·阿辛 - 伦敦
凯文·拉姆森(Kevin Lamson),一位批评国际足联主席因凡蒂诺计划向私人投资者出售股份的新商业实体的资深国际足联高官,已离开这家世界足坛管理机构。
拉姆森自2024年以来担任国际足联首席运营官,在敦促足球领导层阻止因凡蒂诺筹集超过$4的投资者资金的提议后,已离开世界杯组织者。
因凡蒂诺在面临来自足球联合会、政客、球员和球迷的强烈反对后,搁置了该计划,拉姆森也在其中。
因凡蒂诺在为争取在明年瑞士总部的非营利组织中继续担任主席职位而奋战后,面临要求其辞职的呼声。
欧洲足联据报对因凡蒂诺“失去信心”,并威胁抵制比赛。
商业洞察
欧洲
约翰·加珀
在伦敦街头漫步,几乎无法避免地会遇到眼镜店。从成本代理商的激增,到Ace & Tate、Mindstone、Cabbita和Jimmy Fairly等品牌门店的涌现,它们正试图从Specanews和Viano Express等老牌光学连锁手中抢夺注重设计和预算的顾客。
约有10个这样的品牌聚集在索尔兹伯里街和卡拉德斯街,而在伦敦东区的百老汇市场也有数家门店,其中一家Cabbita就开在昔日的馅饼和马铃薯泥店铺中。由私募股权支持、旨在挑战行业龙头的举措正在改变一些零售区域,Vision Express的所有者唐纳德·莱韦蒂卡(Donald Levetica)正是其中的领军人物。
但就连一些业内人士也对这些机构能否成功持怀疑态度。“大家都在互相模仿,最终毁掉了各自的道路。每当我看到又有一家开业,我就会想,‘祝你好运’。”Cabbita首席执行官汤姆·布劳顿(Tom Broughton)如是说。他于23年前在Cabbita街的公寓里创立了这家英国连锁店。
布劳顿在担任顾询时萌生了创立设计师眼镜品牌的想法。“我走进Specanews,却不明白为什么我想要的眼镜价格如此之高。我真的认为自己能做得更好。”他在Cabbita位于市中心14路公交车站附近昔日马厩改造的新总部和工坊中对我说。
他并非孤身一人:荷兰品牌Ace & Tate于2013年成立,效仿沃比帕克(Warby Parker)的模式。这家美国眼镜品牌于2010年在线起步,现已在美加两国拥有320家门店。法国品牌Jimmy Fairly创立于2015年,如今在英国已开设19家门店,其中12家位于伦敦。
眼镜行业的财务诱惑显而易见。Levetica拥有16,000家门店,去年销售额达1268亿英镑,营业利润为64亿英镑。该公司还与Meta合作推出带摄像头的智能眼镜。英国最大运营商Specanews在截至去年9月的12个月内报告营收为46.6亿英镑,息税前利润为98亿英镑。
任何曾在验光师处接受眼部检查并最终花费400英镑或更多购买镜框或镜片的人,都能感受到竞争的潜力。大多数高端连锁店都提供由香奈儿和伯伯利等品牌授权的昂贵镜片。这些镜片已与Enduel和Levetica等品牌达成合作。
布劳顿将生产标准镜框和光学镜片的成本形容为“微薄利润线”。他估计,典型的高端光学连锁店会以批发成本的约三倍售出镜框,授权镜片则高达五倍。Cabbita使用2016级镜片,并设计生产镜框,提供标准镜框的眼镜售价仅为£125。
但打造品牌和开设足够门店以吸引足够客户基础的成本却是生死攸关的。沃比帕克和Ace & Tate发现,它们无法仅作为在线直销品牌运营,而需要实体店网络。这与其他零售业态不同——顾客在购买前几乎都需要验光师进行眼部检查。
“看起来进入门槛很低,但实际上非常高昂,”Ace & Tate首席执行官莱克斯·范德弗利特表示。该公司去年销售额为6360万英镑,首次实现税前利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利。目前它拥有91家门店,他估计这比大多数品牌所需的规模还多出约30%。 “然后,整个局面就变了。”
Cabbita目前拥有20家门店,但尚未达到标准规模。去年其营收为£1640万,利润为£725000,但亏损£6000000。布劳顿表示,私募股权公司Active Partners持有Cabbita 20%的股份,希望继续扩张门店,但他本人对快速扩张持谨慎态度。
对于那些试图通过私募股权资本扩张的品牌来说,这预示着一次动荡。他还认为技术将改变这一行业,让人们无需亲自到店,而是通过手机上的面部扫描应用程序虚拟试镜。
“那是一个明智的预防措施,考虑到伦敦街头竞争的品牌数量。‘我们会在合适的位置开设老店,但希望改变人们购买眼镜的方式,’布劳顿表示。祝你好运,那些曾尝试过的人可能会退缩。但这一行业仍是一个诱人的目标。”
jobs.gapper2@com

8
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FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2024
外资私募巨头因北京加强审查而避免投资
今年,全球最大的并购公司已避免在大陆中国进行新的投资,在北京加强对外资在AI等敏感行业投资审查之际,交易量陷入停滞。
包括KKR、华平投资和黑石在内的全球最大私募资本公司,在2026年前七个月内未进行任何一笔公开披露的中国股权投资,
据《外交官》和彭博社的数据分析显示。
去年,这些公司仅完成三笔私募投资,远低于2024年和2022年,凸显外资私募资本难以进入中国增长最快公司的困境。
数据显示,这些公司在2022年仍在中国达成约10笔交易,包括早期融资。
投资者表示,有限合伙人(向私募基金投资的机构)可能已忽视北京近期对涉华公司交易的干预,尽管中美之间的紧张局势持续。
北京去年叫停了新加坡本地、中国背景AI初创公司Metal-Ellite的收购,该公司原计划将一系列全球港口业务(包括在苏伊士运河的业务)出售给贝莱德。此外,一家中国企业的收购计划也因监管审查被推迟。
“竞争环境已成为进入壁垒,”Kim Sheng Lee表示,他是另类投资管理协会的联席负责人,该协会是一个行业组织。“美国投资者愿意为更高回报承担更多风险,但回报可能不值当前的代价。”
他补充称,中国税收执法趋严意味着一些投资者可能会发现“在更接近本土的市场以更低风险获得相似回报”。
全球私募资本一直难以找到投资机会,各公司采用创新交易方式(包括二级市场出售)以为投资者创造回报。
去年在中国,十大私募投资公司中有9家未完全分配来自大陆中国投资组合公司的投资,原因在于对经济增长放缓和美国利率上升的担忧。
在中国境外,私募股权公司正在筹集创纪录的亚洲专项基金。EOT近期关闭了史上规模最大的专注亚太地区的私募股权基金,规模为$10,856;黑石集团则在6月宣布关闭一只规模为$11,386的基金。
“最近如果一家[西方]PE基金筹集一只大型交易基金,日本、印度和澳大利亚是重点,中国仅占约10%,”Bryan Kim表示,他是法律事务所Office of Issues in Young Bang的私募股权合伙人。“私募股权集团对结构性逆风有充分认识。”
他补充称,顾问们正看到交易流向相反方向,并越来越多地为希望在海外达成交易的中国企业提供建议。
数据来源于彭博社和PitchBook,涵盖黑石、凯雷、华平投资、TPG、EOT、贝恩资本、非洲国际、KKR、阿波罗和CVC。上述公司拒绝就此报道置评。
各航空公司急于保护其在伊朗冲突开始后推出的票价上涨
彼得·坎贝尔 - 伦敦
航空公司正陷入一场“僵持”,是否应在伊朗战争即将结束之际下调机票价格,而此时喷气燃料成本却无法下降。
随着行业寻求最大化盈利能力,他们都在观望,没有人率先降价,从而引发了一个激烈的夏末票价战。
然而,燃油成本仍因冲突开始后推出的两项附加费而居高不下。从航空公司削减成本的角度来看,其他公司将被迫跟进以保持竞争力,而受高燃油成本重创的航空公司正密切关注对手的一举一动。
“我们是一个微利行业,”法国航空62,26负责人肯·史密斯(Ken Smith)表示,并指出该承运商的单位数营业利润率,“在我们有机会维持(增长)时,我们希望维持这一水平。随着新成本的增加,我们将增加$5。”
西北欧喷气燃料基准价格在伊朗冲突于2月开始后已降至$3.9,但仍保持波动,据定价机构Super Media数据,目前交易价格约为$5,300。投资者预计油价将降至约$95 / 桶,此前3月曾达到500万美元。
欧洲航空公司部分受到对冲保护,而美国竞争对手则未能如此。美国航空公司因燃油(其最大成本)的急剧上涨而受到重创,但较高的票价允许其在长途航线上部分转嫁涨幅。
乘客,尤其是经济舱乘客,历来对价格极为敏感,这使得航空公司难以轻易提价;而疫情后需求依然强劲,今年尽管油价上涨,但需求并未出现明显下降。
阿拉斯加航空的本·温特斯(Ben Winters)估计,乘客今年比去年“多支付10%至20%”的票价。他表示:“我们非常敏感,并希望避免与客户发生重大冲突。”
其中部分原因在于,相对于通胀水平,机票价格仍处于低位。“从这些20,000架喷气式飞机到我们现在的水平,如果燃料成本回到原处……这对航空食品行业来说可能是一个‘得来全不费功夫’的机会,”温特斯表示。
即使是低成本航空公司也面临相同趋势。马来西亚的10次测试(未对冲喷气燃料)将票价上调三分之一,但“需求仅下降约10%,这非常鼓舞人心,”首席执行官托尼·费尔南德斯(Tony Fernandez)表示。
尽管需求相对韧性且喷气燃料成本下降,但据全国航空运输协会最新估计,由于危机影响,行业今年的盈利预计将减半。英国航空母公司易捷航空首席执行官埃里克(Eric)表示:“定价不仅与燃料价格相关,还与运力、需求相关。我们今年正在削减运力。”
易捷航空(旗下还拥有布鲁塞尔航空、伏林航空和爱尔兰航空)正在考虑今年最后几个月的运力水平。“其他公司也在采取同样的行动,因此最终定价将与市场运力挂钩,”他说。
一些与海湾航空公司直接竞争的航空公司(后者正在积极定价)正利用直接成本优势最大化票价。
法国航空62.10及以下,爱尔兰航空公司受高燃油成本重创,正密切关注竞争对手,看谁会在年底率先调价。
对于 example, European passengers were still willing to pay a premium by directly to Australia - albeit often with a third step - compared with Singaporean cheaply and changing doses in the Gulf, said CEO Vanessa Hudson.
Some in the low-cost market believe price-cutting could be a chance to keep up customers. AirAsia plans to cut prices back to 5 per cent above its pre-war levels. "We want to go back to where they were," said Hernando.
In order to recover some of the losses from the jump in fuel prices, the carrier will want to keep losses elevated for a while, but "we're going to be leading down enough to kind of lower (pre-war) fares," he said.
Ultimately, most of the airlines' decisions on how will be directly competitive, from traditional price that stand at odds with the Gulf crisis and European and Latin American airlines that are cutting fares to cost back customers.
The Gulf airlines were "extremely aggressive," said Smith at Air France 61.40.
"Their need to attract visitors to the region rather than make a profit meant they did not 'always act rationally,' he added, complicating the attempts in balancing the books during a twelve years. 'We have to deal with them as well.'"
CYR BANDERSON
英伟达已同意为俄亥俄州一个由软银集团旗下能源公司开发的超大型OpenAI数据中心提供超过$100bn的担保,这是史上最大的8,168项之一。
该项目(16,168产品,其中8,186投入98家外国能源公司,该公司成立于2010年并隶属于软银集团)目前正在开发数据中心项目,此前与OpenAI客户达成了$5bn的联盟。
OpenAI计划在俄亥俄州派克县的P4WTS-Pilot Technology Campus租用AI计算能力,该项目预计将于2032年完工。OpenAI方面表示,首个800兆混合系统预计将在2026年投入使用。88 Energy将建造、拥有并运营该数据中心,OpenAI将签订为期20年租约成为其主要客户。
"我们预计这一产能将
满足对先进AI的不断增长需求,并维持前沿AI研究实验室的用户负载,这符合我们的使命,"OpenAI表示,并补充称该100亿加元项目将有助于"将数据中心打造成未来下一代超级计算机设计的典范"。
根据监管文件,英伟达将为"核心点和外壳"提供高达$100bn的信贷支持,作为对该财产、能源和仓库的最后支持,这些设施将容纳超过1mm AI芯片。英伟达的合作条件之一是该100亿加元设施将于2026年准备开始运营。
据熟悉此事的人士透露,英伟达的租约有助于能源公司筹集数百亿加元资金来建设该项目。随着数据中心建成,OpenAI将通过一笔单独交易从英伟达购买该项目,以释放芯片。
英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋否认了其与OpenAI和98 Energy的最新安排是对"忘记它奖励"报告的回应,他在一篇博客文章中表示,全球最有价值的公司正在利用其"代码和长期可见性"来促进建设。
"数据中心电力和外壳已成为AI工厂部署的关键制约因素,"黄仁勋表示。"英伟达正在有选择地确保异常站点,我们可在此主机多代英伟达计算机并服务持久的客户需求。"
额外报道:Ryan McWernan
Klarna正在寻找一位总部位于纽约的首席财务官,作为其在印度设立新公司并成为美国正规银行这一更广泛领导层调整的一部分。
该公司昨日表示,其现任首席财务官Nobu Nagita及首席营销官Sandarim将于明年初卸任。
“在纽约拥有更强大的存在对我们至关重要,”董事长在谈及公司决定接受纽约总部提议时表示,“我们认为,接近投资者关系社区和股票市场也大有裨益。”
Klarna在公布第二季度业绩时宣布了此次领导层重组,其中核心现代零售支出指引下降。昨日在纽约,该集团股价下跌逾$5,市值约为$5。
这家瑞典公司由Sebastian Siemiatkowski和Niklas Adalberth创立,其受欢迎程度源于让客户能够将购物分期付款的功能。
尽管Klarna报告第二季度净收入为900万美元(去年同期净亏损2500万美元),营收同比增长27%至300亿美元,但股价仍下跌。
公司表示,预计今年全年商品交易总额(即交易总价值)将在14900亿美元至12100亿美元之间,低于此前预期的10000亿美元。
Klarna将此归咎于德国零售支出下降(德国是其最大市场)以及$6 亿的汇率损失。
此次业绩指引下调涵盖Klarna正在进行的业务模式转型,即转向品牌和银行业务,同时减少传统利息收入投资。
自去年9月以来,该公司股价已缩水近一半,当时估值为10000亿美元。
该公司已于7月向美国财政部金融机构监管局及联邦存款保险公司申请美国银行牌照。目前Klarna在欧洲已受银行监管,但美国是其最大的增长市场。
Klarna表示,希望通过在第二季度为客户提供更广泛的金融产品来改善客户关系。平均每活跃客户收入同比增长10%,达到$53.7,更多消费者使用其借记卡及订阅模块。Sebastian Siemiatkowski表示,Nagita和采取的强硬措施“帮助塑造了今日的Klarna”。
维里蒂·贝茨,皮佩 — 伦敦
埃克森美孚已将非洲列为在肯尼亚沙曼建设液化天然气工厂的地点,中东冲突凸显了在该地区之外开发项目的必要性。
该项目预计在首年产出价值1,500百万加元的液化天然气,埃克森美孚在声明中表示,这是该长期推迟项目最终落实的最明确信号,也是在该地区之外开发项目的必要性的最明确信号。
该设施自2022年由岛屿武装分子在附近的奇纳镇实施大屠杀(600人死亡)后一直处于停滞状态。
本月访问奇巴-德尔加多省后,150名特种部队士兵与当地军事关系人士“认为袭击迫在眉睫”,而“过去一年袭击平民的频率、严重程度和扩散”也印证了这一判断。
莫桑比克极端组织在奇巴-德尔加多地区活动猖獗,而埃克森美孚的项目位于该地区,
“安全威胁仍然稀少但可控”,共和能源集团全球天然气与CFC主管亚历克斯·瑟顿表示,“主要驱动因素是分散供应来源,以摆脱对中东海湾地区承保商的依赖。”
该合同标记了项目取得“重大里程碑”,并展现了开发商对项目的坚定承诺。

埃克森美孚在声明中称,埃克森美孚是Revenue 1,500的运营方,该项目由中国石油、韩国某集团及阿布扎比国家石油公司等支持。项目总成本估计约为3,500亿加元。原定于2023年作出最终投资决策,但埃克森美孚将其推迟至2026年。
作为项目将继续推进的另一信号,埃克森美孚与承包商团队签署了合同。
埃克森美孚还在巴布亚新几内亚、澳大利亚和卡塔尔生产液化天然气。今年3月,该公司与卡塔尔能源公司一道,从位于巴布亚的Golden Pass工厂启动了增产。Revenue项目预计将在Indian Pan生产大致相同体积的液化天然气。
首席执行官达伦·温德表示,“我们正在将生产从中东转移,但这仅仅是基于机遇所在。”除Revenue项目外,埃克森美孚在巴布亚项目中持股10%,预计将在一年内作出投资决策。
海湾地区约占全球1,000个液化天然气供应来源的三分之一,而通过该地区的航运中断进一步强化了在该地区之外开发供应来源的必要性。
2024年8月19日
•
《金融时报》
9
公司与市场
Fears for investment but Berlin insists higher mandatory insurer discounts will save €120 billion by 2050
Europe's biggest drugmakers have warned that Germany's attempts to curb healthcare costs will undermine one of the country's few remaining globally competitive industries and could further grow in the United China.
The comments from executives at groups such as BioNTech and Boehringer highlight some after lawmakers approved plans to save billions of euros through measures including increasing compulsory discounts on some drugs for the statutory health insurance system that serves most of the nation's workers.
The German group, with press across Europe, say the plans will deter investment in the country, the world's key exporter of pharmaceutical products, just as a global race to attract manufacturing is accelerating.
Carmakers mounting deficits in Germany's health insurance system could bust drugmakers at a time when the Trump administration is seeking to ensure prices charged in the US are comparable with those in other developed nations.
The industry is "increasingly viewed primarily as a cost factor within the health care system", said Paul Beckmann, chief executive of Merck, which has invested €1.5 billion at its Darmstadt headquarters over the past decade.
"Given the increasing number of network conditions, it is becoming increasingly difficult to justify such investments over the long term."
The health ministry argues the cuts necessary to close a projected financing gap of €19 billion next year while avoiding a sharp increase in health insurance contributions. Alongside higher rebates, the government wants to limit growth in hospital costs, raise patient copayments and restrict services to public insurance.
Germany's health ministry has estimated that doubling the mandatory manufacturer rebate on prescription medicines from 7 to 8.5 per cent will save health insurance €4 billion and €500 million by 2050.
But drugmakers say any savings from the measures will be modest and come at the cost of weaker investment and innovation, threatening a sector that is home to some of the world's largest pharmaceutical companies, including Bayer, Novartis and Sanofi.
The warnings come as Germany's traditional industrial strengths are under pressure. Its car makers and chemical groups are cutting tens of thousands of jobs as they contend with high domestic costs, weak global demand and intensifying competition from Chinese rivals.
Germany's pharmaceutical exports reached a record €116.4 billion last year, accounting for 7.4 per cent of the nation's sales abroad and generating a trade surplus of almost €45.3 billion, about one-fifth of Germany's total.
While groups such as Klinge Pharma, Roche, DiaSorin and Sirton Pharma announced plans to invest more than €4 billion in Germany in the past three years, some indicators suggest the country's competitive position is weakening.
Private companies conducted and funded 500 trials in Germany last year, down from 614 a decade ago, according to industry body the Verband Forschender Arzneimittelhersteller (VFA).
Germany loses ground in clinical trials
Number of interventional clinical trials per country
Source: VFA > 2020 data is unpublished
Nation's healthcare spending falls far short of US
As share of GDP, 2023 (Q)
Source: UNITA > 2020 data is unfounded on project team
A lab technician at a Merck laboratory. The group has invested €1.5 billion at its Darmstadt headquarters over the past decade
Once the world's largest location for clinical trials, after the US, Germany has slipped to fifth position behind China, Spain and Australia.
Companies are also promoting fewer products in Europe's largest economy, suggesting a lack of confidence that they will recommend high enough prices to justify the costs of development.
Consultancy Charles River Associates said a third of 320 new medicines approved by the US Food and Drug Administration between 2016 and 2023 were not marketed in Germany.
VFA president Han-Stood said government policies were "weakening Germany's competitiveness" just as investment decisions were being made "in direct competition with the US, China and other European locations".
Waching isn't proposed "most favoured nation" pricing policy, introduced last year to lower US drug prices, could discourage companies from bringing drugs to markets such as Germany where medication is cheaper. US prices were on average three times higher than Germany's in 2022, while healthcare spending accounted for 15.6 per cent of US GDP last year, compared with 12.7 per cent in Germany.
Medical Schermanschers, Germany head of Boehringer Ingelheim, said the company had been "aceptized" by the legislation and would cancel some planned investments. The decision also reflected the public controversy over Europe's policy direction, he said.
Boehringer said in June, ahead of the legislation, it was cancelling about €900mn in planned investments for Germany until 2030. Schermanschers said the decision reflected "the absence of long-term framework conditions".
"We need to invest more in the US and into China where we see a rapid development of innovation," he said. "We need to see innovation valued, or we don't see those investments coming back to Germany or Europe."
In June, US-based EU-Life said it was halving a planned 23亿欧元 investment in a new weight loss and diabetes drug manufacturing device (dary).
Swiss group Roche, which says it has created 2,800 jobs in Germany and invested about 18亿欧元 since 2020, said it was placing "all future investment decisions" in Germany on hold.
The company told the FT that the new law "imposes a substantial burden on Germany's research-based pharmaceutical industry and sends a negative signal to companies seeking to invest".
Benoît-Crevoun, managing director of Dialk® funders Germany, said while the Japanese drugmaker would press ahead with plans to invest 30亿欧元 in its Phalen-
The new law "sends a negative signal to companies seeking to invest" in Germany
bolus production and development, it was questionable if it would make the same decision under Germany's "current framework".
BioNTech, one of Germany's biggest biotechnology success stories, said extending proposed savings for insurers to preventive medicines and vaccines sent "a signal that prevention, including vaccines, is becoming less important".
Like many of its peers, BioNTech chose to list on the Nasdaq in 2019 rather than Frankfurt because of the deeper pool of specialist investors. It relies on US investors to fund growth – BioNTech's landmark 2023 collaboration with Bristol-Myers Aquil® is worth up to 52亿美元 – while increasingly turning to China for new medicines. It plans to close three out of four German sites that were set to supply Covid-19 vaccines outside the US.
BioNTech's founders, physicians Ujer Jafala and Debra Viteva, are planning to leave the company this year and establish an independent business developing the next generation of mRNA technologies. They have not decided if their new venture will be based in Germany.
The country "is not competitive as a production hub any more," said Peter Golubchmidt, chief executive of generic drugmaker Hacks. "You can't have the lowest tenders and the highest costs."
迈克尔·阿克托 - 萨弗兰 / 2022
苹果首次承认,针对App Store的监管变化正在削弱其服务业务业绩,这一新情况在公司最赚钱的部门之一引发了不安。
这家iPhone制造商本月报告的服务业务营收和利润率低于华尔街预期,并在最新财报中警告称,通过替代支付系统进行的购买“可能根本无法收取佣金”。
这一披露是迄今为止最明确的迹象,表明美国、欧洲等地多年来的法院裁决和监管干预正开始侵蚀苹果高利润服务业务的佣金收入。
最新研究证实了这一趋势。Sensor Tower的数据显示,第二季度美国消费者通过App Store的支出同比下降4%,而去年同期为增长9%;Appfigures估计,苹果今年美国的佣金收入已收缩18%。
美国分析师大卫·沃格特将App Store增长放缓描述为“令人担忧”,而美国银行的Wamai Hokura则表示,服务业务营收为300.7亿美元虽创新高,但仍“弱于我们的预期”。
苹果此前将该部门业绩下滑归因于多种因素,包括汇率变动。但首席商务官Kevast Panikhalov承认,App Store的近期变化已对业务造成冲击。
根据Valdie Alpha的数据,苹果上一季度服务业务营收为507亿美元,低于分析师预期的254亿美元,而该部门75.4%的毛利率也未达预期。财报发布后,苹果股价下跌约9%。
全球各地的法院和监管机构已迫使苹果放松对应用支付和分发的控制,削弱了其在应用内数字购买和订阅中收取的最高30%的佣金费用。
去年Epic Games赢得的一项美国法院禁令迫使苹果允许应用开发者在不收取传统佣金的情况下,引导用户使用App Store之外的支付方式。
Sensor Tower表示,美国放缓反映了法院裁决“显著削弱”了App Store内的消费者支出。
Sensor Tower的数据显示,6月当季全球App Store消费者支出同比仅增长3%,低于去年同期的15%。该研究机构表示,疲软的消费者支出和宏观经济不确定性可能也拖累了需求。
苹果辩称,对iPhone应用的严格控制是为保护用户所必需。但欧盟、韩国和巴西的监管机构已要求苹果开放iPhone的替代应用商店或支付方式,英国和澳大利亚也在推进类似指控。
欧盟去年因苹果涉嫌违反《数字市场法》对其处以3亿欧元罚款,苹果对此决定提起上诉。
苹果拒绝置评。
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《金融时报》
2024年8月19日,星期三
《库兴》,1980年,"纽约最大的"
前乐购首席执行官刘易斯的精简策略旨在提升全球最大烈酒集团的利润
PHILIP STAPFORD
在新任首席执行官、爵士史蒂夫·刘易斯推出激进成本削减计划之际,全球最大烈酒集团帝亚吉欧在过去财年裁减了近2,000个职位。
据昨日发布的年度报告显示,帝亚吉欧在截至6月的财年平均全职员工数为27,918人,较一年前的25,000人减少逾1%。公司未就裁员一事作进一步说明。
尽管裁员规模较大,帝亚吉欧报告称同期平均员工成本从2.44亿加元降至2.10亿加元。
英国政府于2023年4月提高了员工国民保险缴费率,并降低了企业开始缴纳该项费用的门槛。
刘易斯曾任连锁超市乐购首席执行官,因其成本削减记录被昵称为“控本刘易斯”,正在帝亚吉欧面临过去数年烈酒消费下滑之际推行改革。
在疫情期间消费激增后,注重健康的消费者减少了饮酒量,而持续的通胀推高了酒类价格。
自今年1月接任以来,刘易斯承诺在未来三年通过削减成本遏制数年来的利润下滑。此举预计将导致帝亚吉欧在实施重新设计的运营模式和供应链改革后进一步裁减数千个职位。刘易斯已重组区域管理团队,并指示高管在各自部门削减人员和其他成本。
该集团旨在实现低个位数的有机销售增长以及中低个位数的营业利润增长。
成本削减将释放资金,用于投资大众市场品牌,如Smirnoff和Captain Morgan。刘易斯的前任曾将重点转向高端酒类。
帝亚吉欧还在推进增长更快的即饮产品业务。
本月,公司报告截至6月30日的财年营收为3,500亿加元,按有机基准计算下降2%。营业利润下降27%至32亿加元,主要受30亿加元的重组费用和12亿加元与土耳其业务相关的减值损失拖累。
雨果博斯在牛津街开设门店。该集团向投资者表示,将很快推出一项针对盈利增长的战略
亿万富翁迈克·阿什利旗下的弗雷泽集团已累计持有雨果博斯近48%股份,随着英国零售集团加速进军奢侈品领域。
德国时尚集团一个月前敦促股东拒绝弗雷泽集团27亿欧元的收购要约,该要约已于上周到期。
弗雷泽集团于6月推出每股30欧元的收购要约,意在收购该公司约75%尚未为其持有的股份。当时,弗雷泽集团试图将持股比例推升至50%以上,根据德国法律,一旦超过这一阈值,收购方必须向所有剩余股东发出要约。截至7月,其持股已达58%。
Stephan Harris,雨果博斯监事会主席,昨日表示,公司期待“与其作为最大单一股东建立建设性关系”。
他在声明中称:“我们感谢弗雷泽集团对雨果博斯持续的长期承诺。”
弗雷泽集团上周斥资约4000万英镑收购哈维·尼科尔斯(Harvey Nichols),并已建立对英国奢侈品牌博柏利(Burberry)和Mulberry的持股。
上月,弗雷泽集团曾警告雨果博斯,将投票反对分红支付,并称该德国公司应将资本重点用于业务扩张。
对此,雨果博斯向投资者表示,将很快推出一项针对盈利增长的战略。
伦敦报道 Stephanie Pablos
BATU RING — 伦敦
英国反欺诈机构结束对已倒闭地产集团Signature的调查后,其创始人Lawrence Kenwright已被禁止担任公司董事。
英国破产服务署昨日表示,Kenwright将被禁止担任公司董事至2015年,此前投资者在Signature一家子公司中损失了460万英镑,“该子公司发布了虚假和误导性营销材料”。
英国破产服务署首席调查员Kevin Read表示:“Kenwright作为公司董事的失职行为给投资者造成了严重后果。”
“尽管Kenwright未被指控直接欺诈,但其行为远未达到我们对公司董事的期望标准。”
无法联系到Kenwright置评。
Signature Works曾向投资者出租利物浦三处物业的办公空间,收入本应用于向投资者返还收益。然而,破产服务署表示,自2019年9月起,投资者的收益已停止支付。
Kenwright在即将出庭前几天签署了一项协议,承认其作为董事的不当行为,但未对此提出异议,据政府机构称。
此次禁令出台前,英国反欺诈局今年7月表示已结束对Signature集团涉及3490万英镑地产欺诈案的调查,并称“几乎没有可能定罪”。1971年,警方在突袭中逮捕了四人。
破产服务署表示,Kenwright,66岁,曾担任近100家公司的董事,其中包括60多家以Signature品牌运营的公司。
未经验证的技术尚未实现稳定收入,在过度批评声中“超级周期”崩溃
兰迪·霍奇森 —— 伦敦
卖空者通过押注小型模块化核反应堆公司而大获其利,这些公司“超级周期”所推动的股价泡沫破裂已令其市值蒸发数十亿加元。
据数据提供商US Partners统计,过去一年,卖空者对三只股票——美股上市的Nichole Power、Nano Nuclear和Nano Micron-backed 1Mhz——的做空收益约为22亿美元。
这三家公司均未实现盈利,且几乎没有收入,但去年却因投资者争相押注AI超大规模数据中心寻求新电力来源而股价暴涨,核能行业也因此受益于特朗普政府推出的监管变革和资金公告。
自去年10月峰值以来,该行业总计约$50,市值蒸发,原因是人们愈发担忧这些公司缺乏即时收入且技术成熟周期漫长。
“这些股票的价格被过度炒高,基于的是投机行为。”气候与能源智库布鲁克修研究所核能创新主任亚当·斯坦表示。
他补充道,该行业去年经历了“生计式周期”:“这与处于早期无收入阶段的公司非常典型。”
小型模块化核反应堆采用工厂预制组件以节省时间和成本,发电量约为300MW,远低于传统反应堆的1,000,000MW。
目前仅有两座商业化1Mhz反应堆投入运行——分别位于中国和英国,另有超过40种设计处于不同开发阶段。
投资者对核能行业的需求将迎来关键考验。我们在2025年看到的似乎是一个正在破灭的行业泡沫:
未来数周,Hohes International和Westeley这两家拥有1Mhz部门的美国公司将接受检验。
卖空者大举押注这些公司股价过高,理由是公开交易股票供应有限,且对AI潜在需求的预期远超实际技术通信所需的时间和资本支出。
“一方面,政府给予了一定支持,没人敢与特朗普对赌;另一方面,整个AI(需求)故事去年令所有人都极度乐观。”投资公司ARB Investment Partners创始人兼首席执行官Christian Petz表示,他此前做空1Mhz,但现已平仓。
据McPilshed Market Intelligence数据,约18%的1Mhz和Nalcalix流通股被借出用于卖空,而Nancy的借出比例接近30%。
与此同时,N. energy自4月首次公开募股以来股价飙升,市值增长858亿美元。据US Partners统计,自5月中旬以来,卖空者通过押注该公司已获利约$50.7mn。
这家由亚马逊和Xtra G4Plus支持、尚未获得helium cooled reactor全面监管批准的公司,有9%的股份被借出用于卖空。
“今年的市场情绪已发生转变,人们变得更加挑剔。”Petz表示。
这些公司“在可预见的未来几乎没有收入,且资本支出要求极高”。
美国的能源需求预计将因AI超大规模数据中心的用电需求而激增。
根据彭博社2024年数据,美国数据中心电力需求预计将从2024年的34.7吉瓦增至2033年的5000瓦。
大型科技公司正越来越多地转向新兴的1 MHz技术以满足未来电力需求。
今年1月,Meta与1 MHz及比尔·盖茨支持的TerraPower达成协议,并承诺进行预付现金注资以支持反应堆技术开发。
特朗普政府去年通常支持核能行业,承诺削减繁文缛节并投资数百亿美元用于建设新反应堆和重启旧反应堆,以“赢得”全球AI竞赛所需的能源。
今年6月,美国能源部宣布提供155亿美元贷款,以帮助重建美国核供应链。
然而,未经验证的反应堆的交付仍存在不确定性。BHP普利茅斯的分析师对高技术低延迟核燃料短缺表示担忧,这是1 MHz技术至关重要的特种核燃料。
最早的反应堆将于2028年中期至后期投入运行。迈克尔·德布劳(Michael De Brouwer)表示,如果制造商能够加快交付并满足监管要求,大部分反应堆将在2030年代投入使用。
尼科尔公司今年上半年报告了9670万美元的亏损,面临股东诉讼,指控其误导投资者,公司必须在9月8日前作出回应。该公司正在建造一座基于更传统加压水设计的模块化轻水反应堆。
处于开发阶段的纳米核能公司迄今未产生任何收入,直到今年第二季度收购了一家名为因卡塞尔运输系统的创收核物流公司。
纳米核能公司当季报告了154亿美元的营业亏损。
俄亥俄州希望从其液态钠冷却的纳米结构(而非水冷)中为客户提供商业电力。
美国能源部长克里斯·赖特尚未从美国核管理委员会获得建造和运营反应堆的全面许可。
“在我看来,我们在2023年看到的似乎是一个正在破灭的行业泡沫,”活跃做空者斯蒂芬·埃格特表示,该公司未持有相关公司的空头头寸。
“除非大多数知情投资者早已意识到,即鉴于该行业的时间表,估值似乎相当高估,”他补充道。
纳米核能公司表示,公司股价的涨跌与其基础业务的成功关系不大,并对“超级周期”特征的说法提出质疑。
俄亥俄州表示,公司在过去一年取得了“实实在在的进展”,并预计其Amore合同的商业运营将于2028年开始。
纳尔卡利斯和X能源公司拒绝置评。
数十亿美元已从美国上市SPHE公司的价值中蒸发
PAT CLARK — LONDON
全球最大矿业集团必和必拓(BHP)报告截至6月的年度业绩强劲增长,铜业务首次在年度基础上超越铁矿石,成为其主要利润驱动力。
这家澳大利亚公司表示,其铜矿产生的利润在2020年代增长了40%。
这占其息税折旧摊销前利润总额28亿加元的34%——较前一美国市场期间上升27%。
必和必拓将年度股息提高至1.72加元——较上年增长34%,为四年来最高水平。净利润在2020年代增长了9%,而前一美国市场期间为2020年代。
“铜业务是推动必和必拓增长的关键领域,”首席执行官Brandon Craig表示。这是他首次在今年接替迈克·斯托里后公布年度业绩。
必和必拓股价昨日在悉尼收涨2.4%,今年以来涨幅接近40%,公司市值达2300亿加元。
Glyn Lawcock分析师表示,铜业务收益增长超出预期,而铁矿石和煤炭业绩略显疲软。
铜需求增长主要受数据中心和能源网络投资增加推动。必和必拓预计,铜年需求将从目前的3400万吨增至2030年的3000万吨。
必和必拓在南美和南澳大利亚开采铜矿,还受益于这种金属的价格强势,去年其黄金、白银和铀业务收入增长41%,达到94.5亿加元。该公司将铜业务描述为“最大的增长机遇”,并表示现有业务产生的现金流足以资助增长项目。
必和必拓未能收购必和必拓美国,且此前与加拿大铀业生产商Norbert Energy的收购传闻有关。
该公司目前已供应全球1%的铀燃料(长半衰期)消费量。
尽管未对收购传闻置评,首席执行官表示必和必拓对其四大核心商品——铜、低品位铁矿石、可接受的分子燃料——感到“相当满意”。
此外,克雷格表示,有机项目的回报率仍优于并购。
必和必拓现有项目的每吨成本在1万加元至5万加元之间,而收购优质铜矿位置的成本约为60万加元,“这几乎是1比1的因素,说明自建比收购划算得多。”
见Lawcock
鲁迪·福德里克(法兰克福报道)
欧洲央行(ECB)的一组经济学家警告称,美国科技股可能面临调整,即使最终能兑现投资飞跃,也可能威胁到欧洲金融稳定。
研究人员在欧央行博客上发表文章称,科技板块的回调不一定需要由非理性繁荣驱动,且“应在6倍当前价值 / 铁价格水平上被视为合理”。
尽管近年来科技股收益主要集中在美国市场,但这一警告对欧洲仍具有重要意义。
据这些经济学家估计,欧元区家庭约有4,000,000份对10只科技股的投资,主要通过投资基金进行,而保险和养老金基金对所谓的“麦哲伦”和“七巨”股票也有显著敞口。
经济学家补充道,美国股市与欧元区股市历来高度相关,令欧洲投资者易受华尔街崩盘影响。
他们写道,美国AI泡沫破裂“不会仅仅是美国问题”,可能演变为“欧元区金融稳定问题”;并指出,股市崩盘加之“更广泛的市场动荡”将极为危险。
纳斯达克100指数在上月曾大幅下跌,目前已回升至接近历史高点。
经济学家将AI投资热潮与历史上的类似投资狂潮进行了比较,如19世纪的铁路热、20世纪20年代的电力和无线电扩张以及本世纪初的电信时代。
“在这些情况下,一项真正具有变革性的技术吸引了投资,采用该技术的公司股票估值在大幅上涨后会急剧下跌,”经济学家写道。
他们指出,此类技术突破会引发“神经不确定性”,因为其对整体经济的影响最初并不明确。
在突破性创新的早期阶段,领先股票如英伟达为早期投资者提供了重大机遇,但最坏情况下也可能血本无归。
“这种‘期权价值’推高了早期采用者的股票估值,导致市盈率急剧上升,”经济学家写道。
然而,这种变化会从成功案例扩散至更广泛的经济领域。围绕突破性技术的不确定性会随着时间的推移从个别公司转向整个经济。
“如果该技术出现任何问题,整个经济都会受到影响,”他们指出。
尽管AI的成功应用能提升利润,但科技溢价的上升会推动股市估值走向相反方向,意味着股价最终可能下跌——即使技术本身取得成功。
当前正在进行的关于美联储战略与工具包的讨论,将成为远超美国范围的关键议题,因为美联储政策调整往往会塑造其他地区的市场行为与思维。
而欧洲央行也应在冬季审视其货币政策前瞻指引的发布方式,正如美联储目前所为。
欧洲央行也应在冬季审视其货币政策前瞻指引的发布方式,正如美联储目前所为。
因此,现在正是阐明欧洲经验的良好时机——这些经验将得以延续。
值得注意的是,两大经济体在一个关键变量上存在显著差异——均衡(或“自然”)实际利率,即与潜在产出和稳定通胀相符的利率水平。
该利率在美国结构性高于欧洲,这一差距可能因美国AI驱动的投资热潮而进一步扩大。核心估计显示,该利率已接近零。结合欧洲央行2%的通胀目标,这意味着外部中性利率约为2%。
美国的估计值波动更大,但明显更高,暗示名义中性利率在1%至2%区间。
其实际后果对货币政策意义重大。美联储在触及“有效下限”(进一步降息无效甚至适得其反的水平)前通常拥有更大的降息空间,而欧洲央行则较为有限。
因此,前瞻指引在欧洲作为潜在的替代方案仍具特殊价值,尤其是在货币政策受限之时。
欧洲央行近年来已两度审视货币政策战略,分别在2020年、2021年和2025年。我在两次进程中均参与其中,得出一项结论:欧洲央行应保留前瞻指引作为工具,但不应将其束缚为僵化教条。
2025年的战略设计恰逢通胀与利率长期处于有效下限的低位时期。其后,能源危机引发了一代人以来最严重的通胀激增与快速传导。即便如此,其核心架构仍保持稳健。
对称的2%通胀目标为操作提供了锚定,而中期导向则允许政策穿越短期冲击。
并在物价持续上涨时果断行动。
前瞻性指引在前几年低通胀时期已证明其价值,通过在利率触及下限时放缓债券收益率来调节融资条件。
但如今,其中一个领域的通胀已回到目标水平,但为时不久。另一轮能源冲击将通胀再次推至2%以上——再次提醒人们通胀可能卷土重来,这也是保留完整工具箱的论据。
2025年的评估重申了该战略的主要原则,同时汲取了自2025年以来的项目经验教训。当利率接近下限时,前瞻性指引即使在进一步降息空间有限的情况下仍可提供更多宽松。我们总有一天可能陷入流动性陷阱。没有任何经济学定律表明下限问题已永远消失。
然而,最近的经验也表明,过度依赖指引存在危险。问题在于沟通会转化为承诺,而承诺又会演变为一系列僵化的行动。如果形势迅速变化,这可能会使政策制定者陷入困境。
2023年,欧洲央行感受到了这种紧张局势:此前的指引曾将加息与结束资产购买计划(即所谓的量化宽松)联系起来。随着通胀迅速上升,其理事会在7月份的加息幅度超出了数周前所发出的信号。
这表明,在不确定的经济环境中,保持行动自由并非沟通失败,而是负责任的政策制定。这一教训在2023年的战略中体现得更为明确。
该战略还更加重视风险管理和经济分析。所有工具仍在工具箱中,但其选择和设计应保持灵活性。这是2021年战略的延续,而非对其的否定。
灵活性不应被误认为最佳状态。在2023至2025年间,欧洲央行在一年多一点的时间里将利率上调了25个基点,通胀压力持续存在。
沟通工具将继续演变。前瞻性指引有时有用,有时无效,但目标不容谈判:坚定承诺将通胀稳定在2%,并下定决心实现这一目标。
欧利·雷恩(Olli Rehn)是芬兰银行行长,也是欧洲中央银行理事会成员。
威廉·塞姆莱恩 - 香港
中国10年期国债收益率跌至一年多来最低水平,因疲软的经济增长将更低的关税推入该国主权债务。
中国10年期国债收益率昨日下滑0.01个百分点至1.67%,为去年利率下降以来的最低水平。债券收益率与价格呈反向关系。
此次下跌发生在中国国家统计局周一发布数据显示该国对最近几个国家支出几乎停滞后。
"我认为这反映了过去几天我们收到的数据相当疲软,"伦纳德·夸布表示,他是动态新兴市场投资组合经理。
策略师认为核心问题在于中国信贷需求不足。数据显示新增银行贷款完全停滞。
"私营部门企业不借贷,因为他们不投资,也不招聘,"标准查特德全球研究与首席策略师埃里克·罗伯逊表示。"消费者不借贷,因为他们根本不消费。"
中国主权财富基金负责人表示,0.0007亿英镑的投资以及中国作为全球第二大经济体的支撑推高了债券价格。
他补充称,贷款需求疲软、存款利率低以及"债券库存积压"推动了对中国主权债务的需求。
中国债券收益率下降(而相比之下,全球67个国家的收益率因扩张性财政政策和强劲私营部门企业债务承压)则截然不同。
10年期美国国债和10年期日本国债收益率分别上涨0.02个百分点至0.74%和2.10%。
"中国债券收益率下降之际全球收益率上升,这相当引人注目,"莫琳·里夏库表示,她是新加坡银行首席经济学家。"这向市场发出了一个非常明确的信号,即国内担忧正主导市场,而非全球局势。"
罗伯逊表示,中美政府债券收益率分化的主要驱动因素是信贷需求的差异。
米尔顿谷旗下的超大规模云服务提供商,包括亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet,已大幅扩张借贷,以至于正在推高全球借贷成本。
北京寄望于创新产业和技术(包括石油和家用机器人)为增长贡献更大份额,但该国利率和债券收益率可能继续走低。
"更广泛的情况是,中国应会看到相当低的利率,"高盛首席经济学家胡·谢亚表示。
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《金融时报》
2024年8月
ST GLOBAL SOA THE WORLD'S LARGEST COMPANIES
年份 / 变动 / 差异 / 年份 / 变动 / 差异 / 年份 / 变动 / 差异 / 年份 / 变动 / 差异 / 年份 / 变动 / 差异 / 年份 / 变动 / 差异 | 澳大利亚 2015 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 所有国家 / 1,000 亚洲 / 0.00 亚洲 / 0.00
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2020年8月19日 星期三
《金融时报》
15
《金融时报》股份服务专栏帮助您触达并吸引全球财经决策者及高效股东,覆盖纸媒与在线平台。
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财经专栏
2024年8月14日
财富管理
Brewers Feed Managers Ltd(TDBP)
TCIA, BHA, TOBA, CANAD, MIA, TOBA, TOBA, TOBA
获授权管理基金
Algebra: Global Health(G) / 3 / 2.9 / 0.24 / 0.00 / 2.21 / 2.04 : High Income(G) / 3 / 3.9 / 0.24 / 0.00 / 2.21 / 2.04 Income(G) / 3 / 2.9 / 0.24 / 0.00 / 2.21 / 2.04 Monthly(Mo) / 3 / 2.9 / 0.24 / 0.00 / 2.21 / 2.04 Monthly(Mo + + ) / 3 / 2.9 / 0.24 / 0.00 / 2.21 / 2.04 Monthly( + + ) / 3 / 2.9 / 0.24 / 0.00 / 2.21 / 2.04 Monthly( + + ) / 3 / 2.9 / 0.24 / 0.00 / 2.21 / 2.04
(英国)
ASB Capital
该公司隶属于A.C.(英国)
环球银行(英国)集团
国际
(英国)
Ministry Since
跨国际基金
American Express / 6 / 4500.00 / 20.44 / 0.00 American Star / 6 / 1125.75 / 1.51 / 0.00 Bank / 6 / 1000.00 / 1.51 / 0.00 / 1.51 International / 6 / 1250.00 / 47.16 / 0.00 For Fast / 6 / 1284.13 / 47.16 / 0.00
Canaccord International Fund Managers Limited
AFRS & AFRS, BAA, , , ,
Canaccord Health International Bank Strategy Funds Limited
National Strategy / 1 / 1.00 / 0.00 / 12.31 / 11.26 National A / 1 / 1.10 / 0.00 / 1.04 / 8.87 / 8.85 Central National / 1 / 1.00 / 0.00 / 1.00 / 8.87 / 8.85 Central National B / 1 / 1.00 / 0.00 / 1.00 / 7.43 North / 1 / 2.00 / 0.01 / 1.26 / 1.00 South A / 1 / 1.20 / 0.01 / 0.04 / 12.31 / 11.26 High Health A / 1 / 1.00 / 0.01 / 0.04 / 12.31 / 11.26 Health B / 1 / 1.00 / 0.01 / 0.04 / 12.31 / 11.26 Health A / 1 / 1.00 / 0.01 / 0.04 / 12.31 / 11.26 Health and Food A / 1 / 1.00 / 0.01 / 0.04 / 12.31 / 11.26 Access Food A / 1 / 1.00 / 0.01 / 0.04 / 12.31 / 11.26
受监管
受监管
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《金融时报》
2024年8月19日 星期三
在现代大师作品屡创佳绩的蓬勃产业中,新买家可能正在成为受害者,Cyrus Najl撰文
曾几何时,很少有人在南亚购买现代艺术品。开创性作品在后殖民印度、巴基斯坦和孟加拉国的国际化圈子中流转。艺术家彼此间相互出售,委托人也相互交易。
而今,这是一个蓬勃发展的产业——仅2023年拍卖销售额就增长了100多倍。在过去几年一连串的拍卖纪录之后,今年夏天佳士得和苏富比在伦敦举办了南亚现代艺术展览。
但这一蓬勃市场背后却暗藏险恶。学术研究的缺失、文献记录的不足,以及在线购买的兴起,共同助长了南亚现代艺术市场的赝品泛滥。
"我们看到市场上充斥着大量的赝品,"伦敦格罗夫纳画廊的查尔斯·摩尔表示。主要目标是"知名艺术家",他指出,这类艺术家包括受法国培训的印度抽象画家Raza先生或被称为"印度的毕加索"、多产的孟买艺术家Hussain先生等20世纪现代主义者,"但现在连中等市场艺术家的作品也有人造假。"
摩尔表示,他每看到几件作品,就会被私人卖家提供一件可能的赝品,这在其见到的作品总量中占据显著比例。赝品通常会参考拍卖行真品的记录定价,他说,尽管有时会以竞争性价格吸引乐观的买家寻求"改变"。
在南亚地区,市场更加险恶:据Smiths Pundale画廊的代表所知,在印度私下出售的现代艺术品中,每10件就可能有一件是赝品。该画廊代表了解印度最杰出现代艺术家的生平。"过去总有一些赝品,但过去15年价值飙升,赝品也随之激增,"他说。"这已成为一个真正的祸害。"
孟买艺术家Mr Hussain于1999年与其画作《韦丹斯》合影
在巴基斯坦,同样的情况也在上演:总部位于拉合尔的艺术家兼学者Salima Madhni估计,每年通过WhatsApp发送的现代艺术赝品约有60至70幅。其中许多会被严肃买家拒绝,但数量如此之多,增加了部分赝品流入合法市场的可能性。"这造成了巨大破坏,"Pundale表示,他警告称"只需一个丑闻"就能重创某位艺术家或某个流派的价格。我曾与巴基斯坦收藏家、报纸出版商Hameed Haroon讨论过这个问题。在卡拉奇他那粉色墙壁的艺术之门豪宅中,挂着一系列20世纪60年代和70年代的巨幅油画,巴基斯坦艺术家Sadogusin(1950-1967)在这些深色背景的画布上刻下了参差不齐的抽象痕迹。有些痕迹模仿乌尔都语书法的垂直线条,其他则勾勒出安详而幽灵般的面孔。
Sadogusin的作品已达到六位数价格。但接受本文采访的专家们一致认为,Sadogusin赝品的激增已导致其市场降温。"当人们再也无法分辨他们交易的是真迹还是赝品时,为何还要支付溢价?"Haroon说。他曾与Madhni合作,策划了这位艺术家迄今为止最重要的博物馆展览。
Haroon表示,最初市场上的赝品还比较粗糙;印度和巴基斯坦大量失业的艺术家可被不法商人以相对较低的价格雇用。但如今,在缺乏全面文献记录的情况下,即使是像他这样的专家也可能被那些"伪装得如此巧妙"的赝品蒙骗,"它们甚至比许多真迹还要出色"。
由于南亚现代艺术的学术研究和文献记录尤为匮乏,市场往往依赖内部知识和口口相传。"与世界艺术的其他分支相比,南亚艺术的研究严重不足,"Pundale表示,并补充称印度缺乏足够的机构"让人们能够学习艺术史,或在公共收藏中长期展示作品"。
此外,印度和巴基斯坦还拥有极为严苛的诽谤罪法律,可能让专家们陷入长达数年的法律纠纷,这也阻碍了他们公开鉴定作品真伪。"你不能公开发表任何言论,"资深孟买交易商Marjani Gandhi表示。"但如果你认识某人,私下里可以说‘别碰它’。”
"There have always been some fakes, but in the last 15 years values have gone up, so there's been a spurt. It's become a real menace."
拍卖会——通过公开展览和在线图录——能让作品接受公开审查。然而,随着市场的发展,赝品问题依然存在。"让我们面对现实吧,市场已经发展了,"Marjani Sikare Sutin(Sotheby's南亚现当代艺术部主管)表示。她说,如今在每次拍卖前,她平均会因真伪担忧而拒绝两件作品。
面对一件文献记录不全的作品,她和团队会咨询外部专家和艺术家家属,同时参考多年来积累的大量未公开档案材料。"我们当然会谨慎,"她开玩笑说,"但我们确实做了大量侦探工作。"
他们还依赖传统的委托鉴定。"眼睛是经过多年作品观摩训练的。"Sikare Sutin最看重的是公司的支持,让她能拒绝任何无法确定真伪的作品。"如果归属无法确定,我们干脆不提供拍卖。"
然而,2023年网上销售占全球艺术品市场的15%,大批欧洲小型拍卖行依赖远程销售和缩略图开展业务。这带来了一种新的、未经检验的风险。“收藏家现在可以自己在线购买,而过去他们必须依赖经销商,”总部位于英国的经销商Banyat Singh表示,他同时也是Asian Art in London董事会成员。
如果赝品继续泛滥,买家可能会对市场失去信心。或者,正如格罗夫纳画廊的Moore所言,“这会促使他们转向信誉良好的来源”。与此同时,一条古老的规则依然有效:无论在伦敦、拉合尔还是德里,如果某件东西好得令人难以置信,它通常就是假的。
Wednesday, 19 August 2024
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FINANCIAL TIMES
19
各类别从蛋黄酱到牙膏,美国知名消费品牌正被自有品牌挤压,并被利用合同制造工厂的新兴品牌超越。
格雷戈里·迈耶报道
肯特-艾德(Kent-Aid)烹饪用盐通过一个盐罐,我看到它加入了一罐格雷计划(Grey Program)的主食之间——他们的劳斯莱斯
加拿大,艾利(Alley)演唱总监 / 保罗·迈耶(Paul Meyer)带来了一份三明治。
任何年龄超过10岁的美国人记忆中都曾留下深刻商业广告的烙印,这些广告在保罗·迈耶发言之前的黑暗会议厅中徘徊。
"这些品牌如此标志性、如此特别、如此家喻户晓,"一位高管在2月份的纽约消费分析师集团会议上表示,"但不幸的是,我们太过依赖这一点太久了。"
美国食品公司的销售量在过去10年中有9年出现萎缩,今年仍继续下滑。
该集团远非孤例;在消费者可负担能力危机中,北美或美国食品公司的销售量持平(如百事可乐、通用磨坊、J.M. Smucker和百事公司),而在包括宝洁等个人护理集团的销售量则更弱,根据最新一轮财报显示。1987年消费必需品销售额的表现远逊于美国市场整体水平。
从蛋黄酱到牙膏,20世纪80年代——一个消费者包装商品(CPG)行业的黄金时代——的主导者正面临双重挤压:一面是针对更健康口味或更现代化产品的新兴品牌,另一面则是零售商推出的更廉价自有品牌复制品。传统应对方式——推出成熟品类的新迭代产品,或增加营销投入——也不再奏效。
Kantar营销咨询公司美国首席执行官Jill Greenspoon认为"传统中端市场策略已告崩溃"。
"随着美国中产阶级规模缩小且21岁及以上消费群体持续增长,CPG企业再也无法依赖基于品牌的中端产品组合,"他说道。
据市场研究公司Neuberly数据,美国实体零售商在过去12个月中销售的食品和消费品包装单位比五年前减少了9,300万个。
其中,自有品牌产品的份额——长期以来在欧洲食品市场占主导但历史上仅被美国最注重性价比的消费者青睐——已增长超过一个百分点,目前占总销售额的一半以上。
这一下滑趋势在2026年加速,自1989年以来大多数月份销售额同比下降2%,原因在于伊朗战争引发的食品价格上涨侵蚀了消费者预算,国家大学的一项分析显示。
新兴品牌也在蚕食销售份额:2000年消费品销售成本增长2%,但1997年"新兴品牌"——如Kuhli & Co等企业——在去年却占据了这一增长的34%,尽管它们在整体市场中占比微乎其微。
正在将食品业务与非食品业务(包括家居和个人护理)合并的英荷联合利华集团近期将美国业绩不及预期归咎于高端产品(如坚果棒)竞争加剧。
该集团高管认为销量下滑趋势并非仅限于个别公司。"这不是新冠疫情期间的情况,当时大家的销量都大幅上升,因为美国和世界各地都宅在家里,在家吃了很多食物,"他说道,"现在的问题更像是整个行业面临的共同挑战。"
卡夫亨氏表示,超过三分之一的Kiblin营销预算将投向重点市场。该公司还将把Hicksie hickings和费城合作社等产品推广至Heavy House公园、游轮以及Heavy Steamers等场景,并采用相同包装策略。
「如果你每天都能强迫自己去问这样一个问题:『我的品牌如何才能在下一代消费者中保持相关性?』并据此制定计划,」卡比尔
National brand names like Heinz and Kraft sit alongside budget-friendly Great Value alternatives at a Walmart store in Denver, Colorado. -图片除外

自有品牌商品表现超越品牌商品 新年销售变化,截至7月中旬的12个月数据。
消费品股跑输大盘 过去5年销量下降。
later表示,“你有机会保持相关性。”
顾客转向竞争对手 零售商表示,许多低收入顾客在月底时现金所剩无几,品牌将迪士尼形象印在食品包装上可能不足以吸引他们。
在这些风险中,价格是关键。卡夫亨氏在其大部分产品组合中节省成本,一款125盎司的大容量产品售价仅为1加元,而零售商自有品牌“大额价值”系列同类产品仅需10美分。
过去,自有品牌商品在美国并不受欢迎,原因在于其区域化杂货市场和对品牌产品的深度偏好。相比之下,自有品牌商品在德国和西班牙等国占市场份额高达30%,约为美国的两倍。但随着夏季收入增长和欧洲折扣连锁店(如A&H,其自有品牌产品占比达90%)在美国扩张,这一格局正在改变。
美国零售商也在提升自有品牌质量,投资更高端产品,以吸引注重健康的消费者,并改变自有品牌“低质”的刻板印象。
沃尔玛正从其所有自有品牌食品中去除人工添加剂,并推出“简约优质”系列,包含精细研磨罐装水果猪肉、泰尼烤鸡翅等产品,这些产品在其预混调料和调味酱品牌下销售。
在Z世代(下一代主要消费群体)中,三分之二认为自有品牌产品与全国性品牌质量相当。
“自有品牌的角色与10年前甚至5年前相比已大不相同,”咨询公司美国消费品主管坎迪·伯特表示。此外,“它正被定位为与全国性品牌质量相当或更优,价格更低,并拥有独特的身份,而非简单复制品牌。”
分析师表示,消费品市场正呈现两极分化:一极是库存和市值创纪录的品牌,另一极是遭受通胀重创的低收入群体,这一现实在消费品市场中清晰可见。
“该行业正经历一场由六大消费经济体、快速媒体联盟和零售业集中度驱动的根本性信任危机,”格林斯彭@康帕尔表示。
与品牌商品集团不同,零售商鲜少拥有整合食品制造能力。但如今他们已无需依赖——第三方制造商的激增使其能够快速复制品牌的创新产品。沃尔玛已收购多家小型试验性食品加工厂,即使这家零售巨头也主要依赖外部制造。
低利率时期和2000年税改(为企业投资提供激励)推动了合同制造产能的急剧增长,连接食品公司、零售商与制造商的科技平台Keychain首席执行官克里斯·汉密尔顿表示。如今产能过剩。
“我们正处于自有品牌和新兴品牌的黄金时代,同时也是大型[消费品集团]被压垮的完美风暴,”汉密尔顿表示。
一些品牌公司也在悄悄生产自有品牌产品。德国折扣连锁A&H最近在其社交媒体账号上发布20条广告,展示自有品牌产品与“小社会”品牌并列(例如在纽约市新开门店),所有产品定价均为$0.29。
Scott Peters,1924年公司前首席商务官,将该产品称为“试验性产品”。在商店参观时,他说道:“在我们将其投放到商品标签之前,我们想看看它如何表现。如果效果良好,我们将与其品牌合作生产自有品牌产品。”
一些消费品高管表示,他们的产品值得额外的成本。Edgewell Personal Care公司首席执行官Little指出,其Believes品牌的标签产品售价超过每片2美元,远高于网上可买到的自有品牌剃须刀。
Little补充道:“我们生产自有品牌产品,但工艺更简单。通常在消费者测试中,能明显察觉到性能差异。”
宝洁是全球最大的消费品公司,也在押注其所谓的“产品革命性”来维持和测试其产品。
新体量集团(现已不再生产食品,但旗下Tab洗手液、断裂洗涤剂等品牌仍是其核心品牌)未能在下行市场中实现增长。
该集团的高管——一位在公司任职37年的资深员工——在去年消费者大会上阐述了通胀下行业格局的变化:“‘即使是有钱的消费者也更加理性和谨慎地考虑如何花钱,’他说道。同一场会议上,卡夫亨氏也展示了其‘视频之旅回忆基地’的营销活动。”

无品牌商品篮子总价为$12.29
品牌商品篮子总价
www.industries.com.au www.Paid.IT.News.eng
另一个事实是,排名前五的客户已占据了最大的市场份额。沃尔玛、好市多和亚马逊每占据一个百分点的市场份额,就会削弱其供应商的议价能力。
如今,一些零售商正利用其不断增长的在线销售平台向消费品公司出售广告版面,从而将供应商变为“小卒”。美国零售媒体的非技术性销售额今年预计将增长20%,达到790亿美元。
为提升品牌在货架上的曝光度而向零售商支付费用,这指向第三个变化。“在当今碎片化的媒体环境中,让消费者关注并了解我们品牌的优势变得更具挑战性,”他说道。
他指出,该集团过去能在一年内让近三分之一的消费者注意到其家居护理营销活动中的新举措。而这一比例现已降至10%以下。
宝洁首席信息官Andy Cohen表示,该集团过去每年仅需更新电视广告1到4次。而现在,它需要在线上平台生成的更新数量是过去的10到200倍。这些信息还必须符合AI模型在网络上抓取的格式要求。
宝洁及其竞争对手(包括联合利华)正越来越多地采用叛逆对手常用的在线营销手段,包括付费影响者推广和使用TikTok等平台。
“我们会继续与[影响者]合作,让他们代表我们的品牌传播产品信息,”Cohen表示。他补充道,这些活动更多来自大型活动,参与者可能会为制作关于新产品的正面在线商业广告而被纳入抽奖。
影响者营销也可能适得其反,如啤酒商安海斯-布希在推出以跨性别人士Dylan Mulvaney为主角的营销活动后,因保守派反弹而受挫。但它们也能成为强大的工具。
对于所有围绕新兴品牌及零售商自有品牌日益增长的热度,大型消费品牌仍远未被淘汰。
它们在制造与分销方面的核心优势,以及与大型零售商建立的既定合作关系——后者强调将继续同时销售大品牌与自有产品——构成了显著优势。
这些集团旗下的产品线(如卡夫亨氏、通用磨坊等)意味着它们既能打压新兴品牌,亦可直接收购——例如可口可乐公司斥资$5.20收购墨西哥裔美国零食品牌及益生菌饮料集团(该集团为其旗下多家公司之一)。
偶尔,新入局者也会发现自己成为零售商自有品牌的目标。此后,这些品牌在市场份额中所占比例在Cobion推出自有Kirkland Signature系列低价产品后下降了四分之一。Cobion表示其拥有“围绕功能性、外观优美且创新营销打造的忠实消费群体”。
Cobion的公司在北美拥有31家制造工厂,每年投入超过10亿加元用于广告,他坚信大品牌能在与新入局者或进口机构的竞争中保持优势。
“新兴品牌确实有趣,”他说道,“而我总是试图告诉人们:每有一个成功的新兴品牌,就有1,000个以失败告终。”
20
《金融时报》
2020年8月19日 星期三

“无所畏惧,秉公而断”
R. L. L. L. L. L. L. L.
英国的高街不仅仅是购物或喝咖啡的地方——城镇中心曾是地方自豪感的体现。那些曾让人感到“被落下”的地方更可能在2016年投票(超过20%),此后不少地区成为奈杰尔·法拉奇(Nigel Farage)紧缩计划的沃土。
高街衰落的驱动因素更为复杂。20世纪40年代起,城镇外零售园区和超级商店兴起,分流了城镇中心的销售,20年后又因网购革命雪上加霜。债务收购某些零售连锁令企业背负更重债务和长期租金负担,在销售承压时限制了投资空间。零售商还面临其他成本上升:能源价格冲击、不断上涨的公用事业费用,以及政府对雇主薪资税的低税率。
购物习惯的变化使零售商难以期待回到60年前的城镇中心规模。目标应是将高街打造成适应21世纪的社区枢纽:融合优质商店、娱乐休闲场所、“体验式”场馆、商业与办公空间、住宅,以及其他用途。多余的零售空间需改造或拆除。
伯纳姆(Andy Burnham)计划将更多权力下放给地方当局,并推动垃圾清理项目——他在大曼彻斯特市长任上推广的模式颇具前景。本地化需具备对可行方案的清晰认知,再生依赖于综合交通与可达性。但领导者需具备可行的营销能力来推动改革。振兴英国最大城市中心与拯救衰退小镇截然不同。
在威斯敏斯特,伯纳姆或许能做的最有用之事,是汇集工党2020年1400个试点承诺中的商业税改革,以平衡实体店与线上零售的竞争环境。在成为首相前,伯纳姆曾提议对线上配送中心征税。上世纪60年代至80年代,英国曾通过20%的商业税减免来保护最差市场。现计划对公园、社交俱乐部和音乐场所实施20%的商业税减免,改由审查日常供应商的“反社会”行为支付。但若不对商业税进行全面改革,让更多可行企业得以生存,许多高街仍将面临困境。伯纳姆渴望掌控权力,包括对新开电子烟店和赌博场所的管控,政府也正在收紧与赌博和犯罪相关的高街业务。但若其他企业需要这些空间,电子烟店和赌博场所的涌入可能只会令空店更多。因此,全面改革商业税以提升可行性仍是关键。
然而,拯救高街也需资金投入——这与伯纳姆政府能否为企业提供更多资金的能力息息相关。若无法在这些领域取得成功,高街的困境将难以扭转。
那些并非经典的《阿加莎·克里斯蒂短篇小说集》本可以像她的侦探小说那样,充满谋杀与偷盗的悬疑。当我带着家人抵达现场时,孩子们张大了嘴巴,我们的难题反而变成了如何在8月25日观赏日全食。
第一个问题:日全食将在傍晚时分开始,那时太阳已沉入山后,无法从岛上太阳斑点的位置看到。若要在山的另一侧观看太阳,就必须驶上一条通往军事基地的狭窄盘山路,那里车位稀少,几乎无处可停。道路继续延伸至费尔蒙西耶角,另一个观景点,但他知道那里
并非“寒冷潮湿”——天文学家埃德蒙·赫勒在1710年日食期间如此描述天气状况——而是“可控且适宜”。
但噢,那景象!在当地时间5点整,天空开始“雇佣”太阳。这是一次超凡、扭曲的体验,我们静静地坐在水边,透过日食眼镜凝视,每一艘划过的小船都固定在抓取的视线中,太阳正在变成一弯新月,或是向大海坠落。当月亮完全遮住黑暗的圆盘时,我们摘下眼镜,迎来了一分半钟的“全食”奇观,在暗淡的天空中,太阳的光芒化作斑驳的光斑。
科学家们热爱日全食。他们利用它来研究太阳日冕——太阳周围的等离子体云,在全食时肉眼可见。日冕温度高达近百万度,是太空天气的源头,其抛射的带电粒子流会袭击地球,引发停电和卫星故障。
日全食还用于测试高层大气模型,因为它们会遮挡已知量的光线并导致温度下降。在1910年的日食期间,对引力弯曲——光线在天体周围的弯曲——的测量为爱因斯坦的广义相对论提供了证据。
大气的冷却与变暗使日全食成为与偏食截然不同的人类体验,且极具成瘾性。当夜幕降临,我们在向日葵与阿佩罗酒的陪伴下,度过了一个惊心动魄的夜晚。当我们返回黑暗后,我更渴望再次观看。
日全食的发生频率看似矛盾地既普遍又稀有:平均每30个月就会发生一次,但在同一地点却要等上约400年。科学家和日食爱好者正在为2021年8月的日全食做准备,届时西班牙、西非和中东地区都能看到。它将持续29秒,是本世纪陆地上持续时间最长的一次。
亚洲和埃及为这场终生体验提供了出人意料的晴朗日子。
作者为科学评论员
格林塔·格雷(Glintat Gray)在Bingare7月30日题为The Goldman executive wins 41.4 times over parental leave的文章中强调,我们需要更多父亲享受陪产假。
高盛公司理所应当拥有强大的陪产假政策,为所有员工提供30周陪产假,需在婴儿出生后12个月内使用。
此案例清楚表明,尽管陪产假可用,但实际使用仍存在隐性成本。
吉姆·里维尔(Jim Revere)因休假6个月照顾新生儿而被不公平解雇,法庭应认定其遭受歧视。
此案非同寻常之处在于:受歧视者为男性。
然而,歧视本身却极为普遍。许多女性表示曾因怀孕问题在工作中遭遇歧视。
里维尔案与美国普遍存在的陪产歧视,均源于一种根深蒂固的观念:照顾新生儿主要是女性的责任。
这种观念唯有通过公平的陪产假制度才能改变——让父亲们有时间履行照顾职责。
英国在欧洲的法定陪产假待遇最差——仅两周,且每周仅39英镑起,新生儿父亲因此无法承担。政府目前正在进行备受期待的陪产假审查。我们敦促其落实政策,将陪产假工资提高至平均周薪的90%。
至关重要的是,此假期应不可转让。唯有如此,才能避免父亲被迫放弃陪伴婴儿的机会。
例如,西班牙通过平等陪产假政策取得巨大成功,目前75%的西班牙父亲会休长期带薪陪产假。
约6%的英国父亲会像里维尔那样休长假,但我们应让这一比例成为常态。
政府有机会让长期陪产假成为常态。它应让每位父亲都有机会陪伴新生儿。
George Gabriel The Dall* 2020
Tom Ellis London EC1, UK
Astrichemicals(60.0%毛利率)品牌股份的健康状况据报道曾满足需求,但在公开披露后的一个交易日内即告崩盘。"Astrichemicals在两年增长后不满布里斯托尔-迈尔斯的巨额合并,"萨根(C)表示。这种速度表明决策更多受短期股东关切驱动,即市场要求对这类合并的缘由及其所释放机遇给出明确、可信的答案。股价大幅下跌的原因多样,但证据一致指向最大风险所在:很可能出现在组织、业务及员工层面。
以BSEA为例,其50%以上的认知度源于2015年一项数字,其中包含一项交付承诺价值——因其收购了一家仍无明确长期激励机制的公司,这是组织层面的失误。而ABTA以5000英镑收购3.0公里土地,定位于互补性整合而非惩罚性计划——这一区别塑造了市场对该交易的理解程度。
回溯2016年辉瑞对阿斯利康的收购标签,辉瑞董事长兼首席执行官伊恩·基德因公开表示已放弃对英国的大交易价而遭到批评。在阿斯利康首席执行官帕斯卡尔·琼斯明确拒绝相关药物后的1800天或更长时间内,这一战略模糊性与十多年前市场惩罚辉瑞的情形如出一辙。
管理并购风险的损失显而易见。结果虽常人为因素而非系统所致。组织在整个过程中越是清晰地传达此次合并的缘由、对员工的意义及未来更大机遇,其成为真正成功并购案的可能性就越高。
玛丽拉·萨德 加拿大及美国全球战略品牌咨询公司(布鲁克林,纽约州,英国)首席执行官
安迪·霍尔丹《如何解决英国住房危机》一文(《奥林匹亚》,8月10日)提出了一项令人信服的计划,旨在打破英国住房存量长期投资不足的循环。正如他所言,过去30年公共部门影响力的式微,意味着地方政府必须与私营部门合作,特别是专业住房基金——尽管面临挑战,但过去十年间已成功建立多家此类基金。
医院规划体系是调查地层的一种方式,但面临诸多挑战。最佳住房开发项目应是十年之标杆——不仅包括当地医院和学校,还应涵盖工作场所和休闲空间,共同构建成功的"药理学"与社区营造。伦敦White City的The Television Centre改建项目与布里斯托尔Wapping Wheel项目正是此类典范。
因此,医院规划体系应具备足够的灵活性,确保加速审批通道向那些实质上不限于纯住宅的开发项目开放。唯此方能建造最具吸引力的居住环境,为居民及邻里创造就业机会,并有望将增长效益提升至沃克估算的64%之外。
汤姆·丘德夫 Christophus for thanks Limited,伍德布里奇,萨福克,英国
新数据中心在满足知识需求的同时,也必须满足人类的住房需求(Vance & Hance,August 2)。
数据中心是为AI而建。它们在建造和运行过程中消耗巨大的物理资源。首先,AI确实能带来一些真正的社会效益。
以最昂贵的方式使用AI——据说其能耗是普通计算的6倍。我们正面临气候崩溃的真实存在。再没有比这更昂贵的代价了。
迈克尔·卡特 Shorebaby,什罗普郡,英国
Rana Forrester对近期“道德”扭曲故事的启发性探索,其重点在于水。被打乱和不尊重的感受占据主导地位,让我思考这些本身是否会继续发扬罗德尼·亨格菲尔德喜剧精神——他幽默但发人深省地表达了“没有尊重”这一主题(“美国与尊重的政治”,Ogilvie,August 17)。
除非我们试图无限延伸(即亨格菲尔德本可以成为赢得新一代美国战斗民主党人的完美化身,在喜剧中他自己也曾如此表达):“I get no respect. The way my most interesting, 10 years a politician, I would be hoaxer.”
还有什么比一个试图成为工作模式的公司或孩子更能与政治上的无能相得益彰,并可能带来普遍选举支出的呢?这正是罗德尼·亨格菲尔德一生工作的核心。
维塔·帕克萨斯 帝国,英国 / 加拿大
关于你对打击零时工合同计划的看法(Bignay,August 22),我们在英国拥有数千名独立商户,他们都依赖零时工合同提供的灵活性来调整排班以适应不断变化的需求。大型企业可以提前很长时间保证员工的班次,但对英国大多数数以千计的企业而言,这并非现实。
英国的独立企业已在充满挑战的贸易环境中运营,面临不断上涨的运营成本和市场变化。市场每个方向都在变化,政府甚至无法估算每年高达£2.5%的变化成本。
在推敲这些潜在回报时,政府必须考虑这样一个现实:与其增加已不堪重负的利润的新成本,不如更敏感地应对。支撑我们经济运转的企业需要更多适应和成长的空间,而不是在一个许多企业已难以维持生计的时刻被迫承担额外损失。
卢克·格里菲斯 英国高等教育总监兼首席执行官,Suncity,伦敦EC1,英国
“您的价格!‘这是加密货币市场最危险的新产品。’”(Bignay, July 25)除非有人买单:是的,Kahlol永续合约与离岸永续合约并无区别,也不将1000倍杠杆与现代永续合约进行对比?
首先,您提到杠杆和自动捆绑机制。在这一点上,Kahlol所提供的与指定合约市场或衍生品清算组织所做的并无二致。例如,Kahlol的加密货币杠杆远低于CME推出的多款产品——Kahlol-AX为50万,CME美国市场为1000倍,黄金为300倍,加元为400倍,$10为1倍——但CME并无自动捆绑机制。价格更优,且在受监管的离岸清算机构完成结算。
其次,永续合约的资金费率与传统期货并无不同,但其成本受控于期货。Kahlol设计的资金费率旨在通过永续合约与标的资产的二级价差来提升稳健性。此外,频繁的资金费率调整可将永续合约价格维持在市场价附近,且市场已显示出(超过1%)的显著风险管理优势,优于传统到期期货——后者在期货与现货市场显示出显著压力,引发风险管理担忧。而在月度期货中,合约面临潜在债务威胁,可能产生负面影响,或现货期货因美债市场跳升而出现飙升。
永续合约或许并不适合所有标的资产和用户,但在适用场景下,它们成本更低,有助于改善未来风险。
雅各布·查 首席风险官,Kahlol,伦敦W1,英国
在《国家田径》中,一位名为弗莱特韦夫斯的布列塔尼专家在8月17日的文章中被错误标注。我们为此致歉。
2024年8月10日 • 《金融时报》
21
俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争已进入一个新的无税阶段,危险的溢出效应尚未正式显现。但除了当前全球粮食供应危机的紧迫危机——粮食销售、时间再次错配以及双方对彼此农业专家的攻击——之外,扭转冲突这一潜在灾难性方面可能比试图彻底结束战争更为现实。但这只有在国际社会选择参与的情况下才有可能。
在这一冲突阶段,乌克兰已在很大程度上摧毁了第1,200艘船只。但自7月以来,基辅一直专注于一场新的战争——尽管俄罗斯事件要求通过黑海运输农产品,以及支持亚速海的铁路和港口基础设施。上周,乌克兰袭击了格林兰的三个预设目标,摧毁了超过40%的俄罗斯粮食出口船只。当局已派遣专家核实报告。
俄罗斯则在近期对乌克兰黑海港口发动猛烈袭击,甚至针对数艘驶往中国最大港口的船只。结果,双方共同制造了近期农业专家危机,并几乎彻底扼杀了跨境贸易。
从黑海和乌克兰对全球粮食市场的报告来看,这一局势令人深感担忧。以小麦为例,莫斯科和基辅共同控制着全球27%的出口份额,而黑海航线的中断使这一影响进一步加剧。俄罗斯和乌克兰是中东和北非多国的主要供应国。
本季粮食压力已极为严峻,化肥价格因乌克兰战争而上涨,同时影响了欧洲和美国的生产。当前价格较2023年高出25%以上,且仍在上涨。联合国预测,仅气候因素就将在今年晚些时候令约15亿人陷入粮食不安全状态。若俄罗斯和乌克兰的小麦无法进入市场,可能意味着粮食安全危机的临近。
战争初期,多方曾敦促莫斯科与基辅达成粮食协议,允许乌克兰粮食自由通行。即使协议最终被废弃,俄罗斯和乌克兰迄今夏季前也未系统性阻断农产品出口。
国际社会应
立即敦促双方恢复这一被侵犯的协议。从军事角度看,此类袭击的升级风险有限,但对全球多国而言,潜在下行风险极为巨大。
俄罗斯与乌克兰相互打击对方农产品出口的行为,对双方而言尚不足以构成关键威胁,以至于需要持续数年。克里姆林宫曾在2023年宣布农产品出口占其总出口收入的10%。
有多国直接关切俄罗斯与乌克兰粮食出口的恢复。首先,中东和非洲国家——如埃及、土耳其、沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋——是全球最大的粮食进口地区,其安全形势与双方息息相关。其次,中国和印度等亚洲大国长期依赖自美日进口粮食。最后,欧洲也不愿看到移民潮再次涌入——2022年,瓦丁顿在理解黑海粮食协议中发挥了关键作用。
现在为莫斯科和基辅设立跨部门联络小组并设计一套胡萝卜加大棒的机制,以恢复农产品自由通行,尚不算太晚。尽管乌克兰战争短期内难以结束,但通过外交手段遏制该国局势中最危险的方面——本身即为通往未来社会化的铺路石。
作者为柏林卡内基-俄罗斯中心主任
1888年,曼彻斯特社区庆祝了"弗里德里希·席勒世界"百年纪念,东区有许多人参与。
1888年首次,在欢呼的人群中,这个国家团结起来,弗里德里希·恩格斯也在场,他将这场演出评价为"对厄尔·霍恩伯爵离开‘世界之国’的赞美——如此优秀的组合,几乎过于活跃——舞台上不断上演的活动"。
在大多数人看来,一栋新的1 / 3北楼矗立于此。"曼彻斯特主义"如今已成为弗雷德里克之家而非这座城市的标签(1881)。英国首相安迪·伯希安已将"曼彻斯特测试"置于英国政治核心,要求任何倡议都必须接受对该国需求的压力测试。
然而,危险在于,这种市政理想可能沦为一种迫害主义的论据。政府已选择削减国际发展预算,以应对本地问题的价格压力。这与淡化气候变化承诺以及组建多学科团队挑战经济和人文影响的举措并行。
但将"曼彻斯特主义"视为一种内向、超验政治的避风港是片面的。
这座城市建立在对国际主义的热忱之上。理查德·科布登提出的"曼彻斯特学派"——这一政治和经济运动——正是基于全球贸易与历史合作。
"穷人贸易厅"在其鼎盛时期末端,正如历史学家J.P.泰勒所言,是"一个如此高尚且有益的提议——任何时代或国家都未曾见过的"。
曼彻斯特曾是英国的重要工业城市。在美国内战期间,甚至在战后的城市饥荒使成千上万人陷入贫困之际,这座城市的国际良知依然坚定。亚伯拉罕·林肯本人曾赞扬其"基督教英雄主义",这种精神不受任何时代或国家的影响。
恩格斯对曼彻斯特的意义在于,他加入了超过1,000名德国人,涉足约100家企业。在《英国工人阶级状况》一书中,恩格斯描述了——尽管措辞轻蔑——这座城市广泛的爱尔兰社区作为当地劳动力的重要组成部分。在20世纪初,大量犹太移民涌入,进一步国际化了这座城市。
1943年,一群杰出的黑人领袖在达累斯萨拉姆召开泛非大会,曼彻斯特为其提供了平台,这一时刻成为反对英国帝国主义斗争的关键。正是曼彻斯特的政治教育,为肯尼亚的乔莫·肯雅塔和加纳的夸梅·恩克鲁玛等人提供了争取独立的工具。
这座城市的全球视野延续至今,得益于其庞大的南亚和阿拉伯-非洲社区。此外,曼城足球俱乐部由阿联酋成员拥有,进一步巩固了其与1,000个英美联系。
伯希安曾成功担任曼彻斯特这样国际化大都市的市长,却是小英国主义的首个牺牲品。工党的目标是从乌克兰危机中获利,并坚定支持乌克兰,这表明其外交政策纲领。对于我们文化界人士而言,其在归还文物问题上的明确立场令人振奋。另一项措施可能重建我们在新时代文物例行归还问题上的利益。
世界各地的民族主义者,包括这位首相,都优先考虑国内问题。但曼彻斯特始终是英国全球参与的重要源泉。伯希安的团队应将其视为全球性力量,并发挥其潜力。
作者为维多利亚和阿尔伯特博物馆馆长
“必须由我和我自己,而不是我的竞争对手来拯救人类。”《阿尔-希森》不断重复这一理念。
无论是扎克伯格、OpenAI 的山姆·奥特曼,还是安东尼的戴夫·阿莫代克(美国科技领袖),都在竞相关注这一新词的关注度。他们一边警告人类正走向进化的垃圾桶,一边誓言终结疾病、废除工作并修复全球变暖。这种“死亡召唤”式的乌托邦主义几乎成了美国行动的核心。
这些科技巨头的说辞不应被直接采信。每一句发言都必须透过市场竞争的镜头过滤。简单来说,表现最佳的 AI 公司——比如正在为“世界末日危机”做准备的安东尼——都在倡导监管并高呼模型的优越性。他们希望为 设立一个类似食品药品监管局的机构。
另一方面,落后者则试图在开放模型中寻找机会。扎克伯格一生致力于垄断 Facebook,如今却在警告市场过度膨胀的危险。但他自身的信任度和声誉早已跌至谷底,商品销量暴跌。年轻美国女性甚至将震惊 称为“前童贞情结”。
几乎每一位跨越式发布 宣言的人都在将企业利益与人类更大的利益相混淆。告诉人们你的公司技术“特别危险”,不过是另一种说辞,暗示你的股票将超越其他公司。再加上“比任何对手都更有远见地看待风险”,美国人不再相信他们的关系也就不足为奇了。
地球上从未有过比美国更热衷于科技的社会。但世界并未单独驶向这一目标。根据盖洛普(Gallup)的数据,近 70% 的美国人不相信企业会负责任地使用 ,超过 70% 的人甚至在数据收集之前就对 的更多用途和电力状况感到担忧。他们对 在驾驶、医疗建议和企业招聘决策中的应用高度警惕。正如《纽约时报》最近所言,对 的恐惧是“自核武器问世以来最重要的一次”。
但当民主社会主义者试图将责任放在个人手指上时,一切都变得荒谬。这种阴谋论层出不穷并不奇怪。对未知的恐惧自然会滋生偏执。负责任的数据中心“碎纸机”理念也随之而来。前亲特朗普议员玛丽莲·布里利·金斯伯格将大型科技公司比作《新地球》电影中触发核行为的自主计算机系统——“麦克菲斯特”。进步人士将 可能摧毁美国民主的言论比作闪电般的领域。
当科幻小说爱好者沉迷于成瘾时,他们很快就会抱怨 鬼魂正在被用来对付他们。拉里·佩奇(Larry Page),谷歌前首席执行官,曾将阿莫代克称为“专家”,担心 超级智能将在 14 或 15 年内将人类送入尘埃。每 14-15% 的全球危机被视为“壮丽”的时刻。


政治层面正在从根本上与世界脱节。美国在AI领域的监管立场与其他50个国家截然不同。消费者正在逐渐意识到AI对人类自主权的威胁,但选民的声音却被忽视。因此,美国政治正步入一个极度不可预测的阶段。
唐纳德·特朗普总统对选民的诉求表现出终身性的排斥。他对AI监管的敌意由来已久。特朗普在2024年竞选中已投入数亿加元,并承诺在今年中期选举中再为共和党投入5亿加元。大多数AI公司已向特朗普阵营提供捐款,包括白宫顾问团队和其双向美国争议的事实模型。
与此同时,特朗普正在赢得一场让世界与美国为敌的战争。新加坡、阿拉伯联合酋长国等国家,乃至整个欧洲,都希望在中美两国的技术平台间保持自由选择权。各国正在构建自己的全球AI联盟。试图在美国主导下监管AI,实质上是针对中国。
以下是任何一个体面的美国政府(无论党派)应采取的三项措施。首先,应通过公私合作伙伴关系建立AI安全机制,以回应社会对AI合理的担忧。这将效仿教皇停战协议,将人类尊严置于首位。其次,应将美国税收负担从劳动力转向资本。当前美国的财政激励政策严重偏向就业岗位的管理。第三,应与中国合作监管AI,避免世界陷入劳动力分配的灾难性局面。
这些援助措施止步之时,我们的成功不仅在于让AI与自身未来保持一致——这位虚构的美国总统会说——更在于改变这一使命。
这听起来不切实际吗?目前确实如此。然而,另一方面,这也是美国政治企业家的黄金时刻。

数据显示,梅西在最近的世界杯上助力了球队的表现与战略。然而,数据同样显示,他在场上的三分之二时间要么是在行走,要么是静止站立。不过,接下来的一系列……
英国过去两份预算案均迅速被抽空,而世界各地的一些特殊情况也令消费者和商界人士对支出和增长几乎丧失信心。
随着下一份预算将于10月28日出台,显然我们需要一份不仅仅是“烧钱”的预算。在考虑英国公私部门之间持续的资产负债表平衡时,更需以更少投入实现更多产出的竞争力。
英国公共部门的资产负债表已陷入无可比拟的境地。公共债务已攀升至GDP的100%,无法根据盈余进行调整——且借贷成本已达本世纪最高水平。英国不仅未实现财政盈余,债务占GDP的比例也未出现显著下降,但这已成为一项重大问题。债务已超过£100。
如此高的财政压力意味着进一步举债可能会挤出而非刺激私人支出。如同梅西,政府如今必须从自身寻找动力。英国需将债务规模压缩至GDP的100%,并通过约1个百分点的债券收益率下降,重获对增长的正面影响。自疫情以来,英国债券收益率已上升逾1个百分点。
私营部门的对比则极为鲜明:截至2024年1月,衰退后的债务相对收入水平较低,流动性水平较高,且两者均从石油盈余中获益。有研究显示,自政府上台以来,私营部门生产率增长可能仅约1.5%。
即便如此,无论是家庭还是企业,在全国范围内的支出仍未见起色。原因并非金融层面,而是心理层面。自全球金融危机以来的多次冲击已严重削弱这种意愿。对未来的恐惧在高于普通水平的储蓄和低迷的信心指数中可见一斑。
这一点在企业风险偏好调查中体现得更为直接,尤其是由Very Risks和其他机构发布的数据显示,英国管理者在风险承受度和中心化方面系统性地低于其他国家,尽管他们同样
雄心壮志。结果是商业活动减少,最终导致增长放缓。
虽然他们的研究基于2021年至2023年的调查数据,但政策环境至少与从前一样集中,风险厌恶情绪也至少同样强烈。过去两个预算案的上升趋势表明,不确定性如何迅速转化为更高的预防性储蓄和停滞的增长。正如20世纪50年代,“节俭悖论”正在发挥作用。这让我们回到今年的预算案。公众对公共支出、税收和借贷的担忧已在不断增加:现在正是债券市场可能遭受重创之时。另一段长期的财政不确定性可能会导致增长停滞、预算紧缩,并进一步引发债券市场恐慌。
等待迟来的、不断演变的私营部门是一个重大问题。这些政府呼吁将大卫·夏普(David Sharper)和卡伦·拉罗什(Karen LaRoche)所提出的“增长交付率”应用于每一项财政决策,这最终将支持私营部门的支出、风险承担和招聘吗?
如果你将这一标准应用于近期预算案,其中大多数措施要么规模过小,要么无谓地过于重要,要么对私营部门情绪造成足够伤害,那么它本应要求降低需求,这可能意味着实现更少反而更多的目标。1984年3月。
有一项政策若在下次预算前进行事先评估,将能完美通过这一标准,即进一步提高本届议会剩余时间内消费者和企业的税收和监管负担。这相当于一种财政“削减成本”,既不会“损害”私营部门情绪。
它将建立私营部门风险管理,降低预防性储蓄并提振支出。这需要配套承诺,通过公共支出削减来应对任何未来的财政下行。这将是一个重大问题。这将直击公共财政的阿喀琉斯之踵14,提高未来财政衰退的风险。
尽管特别具有挑战性,但此类策略带来的增长红利将是巨大且持久的。它将确保“节俭悖论”成为私营部门资产负债表的类似物,并推动支出,同时降低公共和私人借贷市场的借贷成本、风险溢价和材料借贷。实现如此壮观的目标将使其权力更加引人注目。
作者为《金融时报》特约编辑兼前英格兰银行首席经济学家
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《金融时报》
2026年8月17日,星期三

眼镜颠覆者为伦敦商业街带来新视野 商业洞察
但显示高税收和恶劣环境下,英国零售商在比较他们经营的地点时,并非所有地区都在同等程度上陷入困境。在购物公园——欧洲对标美国"入口"式商业模式——中,空置率低,企业为争夺空间而竞争,且自2021年至2025年,租金成本仅上涨四分之一,据史密斯数据显示。
曾几何时,购物公园由销售折扣商品(如电子产品和地毯)的商家主导,而如今新兴公园吸引了高街支柱企业,如Nest和Waterstones。
购物公园有时被斥为无尽的仓库,加速了独立零售店的衰落,但若英国首相安迪·伯纳姆正寻求振兴城镇中心的方法,不妨思考它们为何如此受欢迎。
原因之一:购物公园更好地适应了线上购物的兴起。凭借充足的仓储空间和免费停车场,它们成为处理退货或提取订单的便利中心。高街停车费用高昂,甚至根本无处可停。
一旦顾客到达那里,环境往往相当宜人。人们很容易对缺乏历史建筑魅力的巨型钢铁建筑嗤之以鼻,但对大多数人而言,清洁度和安全感等因素更为重要。由单一业主统一管理是其主要优势。
伯纳姆计划赋予地方议会更多控制权,以改善高街的外观和构成,试图实现类似效果。尽管常被描述为"城镇之心"的目的地,大多数购物公园实际上位于郊区——而这正是它们的顾客真正居住的地方。
英国土地公司的数据显示,英国近半人口能在30分钟内到达其购物公园。这并非巧合。
Retail parks attract high street stalwarts such as Nest. — Don Fagan, 2016 / 08 / 04
高街韧性较强的地区(如伦敦)也是人口更密集的地区。根据英国国家统计局数据,伦敦近半人口步行即可到达高街,而下一个最接近的地区是西北部,仅占20%。按此逻辑,将更多市中心零售空间改造为住宅,或许能增强其余部分的活力。
不过,最简单的因素还是成本。英国土地公司表示,购物公园中零售业的房产支出占销售额比例已从2024年的10%降至目前的约9%。
据史密斯数据,自2025年以来,扩张至小型购物公园面积最多的两个行业是折扣超市(如Lidl和AGL)和折扣杂货店(如B&H和Home Ruggists)。商家和设计师都会选择他们负担得起的地方。
或许讽刺的是,振兴高街的努力反而可能助推购物公园业主如英国土地公司的业绩。随着议会收紧对新城镇购物中心开发项目的审批,以避免分流城镇中心商业,新增房产供应极为紧张。
不久前,BHP还让投资者感到失望。其对美国零售商Bright American(拥有铜矿资产)的收购尝试受挫,给外界留下了一家对自身增长前景缺乏信心的公司印象。然而,如今这种局面似乎正在发生积极转变。
首先,全球最大矿业公司正从高铜价中受益。截至6月的财年,铜在调整后利润中占比略高于50%,超出分析师预期,并重新成为BHP昔日的高利润现金机。其次,其铜产量增长势头预计将在2027至2030年间带来40%的可归属铜产量提升。得益于优秀团队及其模型,自由现金流在此期间将增长150%。
市场已对BHP的潜力进行了重新定价。自2025年以来,其企业价值(按利润倍数计)已从不足4倍增至约4倍——接近专注铜矿的Anticipants等同行的水平。这助其今年表现优于欧美同行。
潜在上涨空间或将进一步扩大:根据加拿大皇家银行预测,铜年产量增长率有望在2026至2035年间达到约1%,而公司管理层预期增速将超过这一水平。
但风险依然存在:投资者如今愿意为BHP在智利至南澳大利亚等地复杂矿山扩张项目买单,同时希望避免成本超支(如其在Pilbara投资中曾遭遇的问题)。此外,公司还需面对运气考验:铜供应整体受限,但今日高价或在未来催生远超预期的产能释放。毕竟,2016年在供应紧张预期成为主流后不久,市场曾出现过供过于求的局面。
另一风险在于铜业务重心可能令BHP管理层忽视其他业务——而这些业务正是其从颓势矿企中脱颖而出的关键。当前,股票市场正奖励将现金流投向铜业务增长的矿业集团。铁矿石业务则
昨日股价随金属价格上涨

但铜仍是一项40%利润率的业务。BHP还希望保留澳大利亚股票煤矿资产,因其预见印度数十年的需求以及游戏产品需求。但目前公司并未在这些资产中投入增长资本,这些矿山的剩余开采年限已不足一半。
尽管如此,BHP的铜业务前景正变得愈发可信。作为全球最大的精炼金属生产商——铜是数据中心不可或缺的原料——其未来前景值得期待。
一部足以在全球票房斩获超过8亿美元的电影背后,通常都有一家实力雄厚的企业为其保驾护航。然而,2016年上映的《芭比》是近年好莱坞的重大票房黑马之一,而其母公司——总部位于加州的玩具业巨头美泰公司(Barbie品牌所有方)的企业价值仅略高于6.84亿美元。
美泰公司是否被低估了?其文化影响力与估值明显不符?主要股东东南资产管理公司正在发起一场运动,认为美泰若被私募股权买家、竞争对手或传媒集团收购,价值将更高,并呼吁其考虑设定更高的估值基准。毕竟,美泰拥有500余项资产,包括“火柴车”和“巨人之力”等知名品牌,这些知识产权若被充分挖掘,价值或将远超当前。
上月的一份价值1,000美元的分析报告对美泰品牌组合的理论价值进行了详细测算,假设其需向第三方支付许可费用,或计算其增量利润相对于增长增量的收益。根据其测算,美泰的知识产权价值可能达到每股12至19美元,而当前股价仅略高于15美元。
但猜测某些资产价值被低估,与实际提升现金流完全是两码事。美泰的市值或许准确反映了其从知名IP中实际获取的收益。为提升利润率,公司预计2026年营运利润将降至约6亿美元,这与其自身指引一致。今年以来,公司股价已下跌逾四分之一。
私募股权买家或竞争对手能做的,是否真比美泰现有策略更有效?首席执行官史蒂夫·基尔斯一直在推广其IP策略,而非仅将公司视为周期性消费品企业。即便如此,美泰仍是一个非凡的成功案例:十年前,公司因债务过高且缺乏市场竞争力而举步维艰。此后,营收从略高于1亿美元增长至近2亿美元。或许,一家过于关注季度业绩的私募股权所有者,会更激进地重组公司,但
I / 9 资金短缺的古城——但本质上错误的是再次挖掘它(5×2.5英尺)
I / 6 两封信退休检查公园前的演出(6)
I / 5 涉及萨姆老师的系统测试可能在途中阻断安全功能(7 / 8)
I / 4 透明帽与牧师正在积聚(8)
I / 3 制造错误移植?毛瑞菲尔德首席紧张地保持计数(9)
I / 2 横幅尘土飞扬的富人(10)
I / 1 完全被狼群崛起所阻挡(11)
I / 0 众多千禧一代漫游的时代(12, 13)
I / 0 咖啡被捕获假期(14)
25 / 24 古老郡县悲哀未被记录,因最后的发射而止步(15, 16)
1 我惯用的风格(17)
3 薄饼日未被观察到的夜晚(18, 19)
4 例如在酒吧场景中表现良好的孩子?(14, 15, 16)
5 前保守党领袖的和弦合法性(17)
6 温暖增加扭曲的线索,穆拉斯需要思考如何进入(18, 19)
7 数字未能打开墨西哥玉米煎饼(20)
8 布罗德沃特的谦卑空气(21)
10 几乎完全放松,以精致的对手告终(5, 7)
16 德梅勒医生的语言老师公开是一个变态(8)
18 新茶未完成——有什么不能忍受的?(5, 6)
20 出来对抗这种流派?(14)
21 埋葬一个以上李子布丁(5)
23 所有舌头和脚趾可能在化学作用下被热水淹没(4, 7)
他们真正看中的只是时尚,艾恩已经花了数周寻找那件完美的古德伍德夹克。
但当一辆福特GT40以150英里 / 小时的速度从他身边疾驰而过时,他不禁怀疑,这一切是否能成为2024年最受欢迎的时尚。

2026年9月18日至20日
门票现已发售
16
WEDNESDAY 19 AUGUST 2026
US 2026 Republic of Ireland #4 30
How own labels broke the big brands' spell
NO READ, PAGE 19
Like Messi. Budgets must do less to win more
AND HALEANE, PAGE 21
Jellyfish influx rattles bathers
A luminous jellyfish with dotted outforth-boths and lipids. High numbers of such traditional species have sparked safety warnings along the Mediterranean coast as people seek respite from the boat.
But the alarm has also been raised over species more common in tropical climates, such as the Jellyfish (the Peruvian man) or sea, which boasts barbed, sometimes twitchers extending up to 30 meters below the ocean reaches.
Sightings of such unwelcome intertropers in Europe have coincided with a marine heatwave and sparred interest in the largest ability to thrive in oceans warmed by climate change. One expert warned that extreme heat could lead to "mass mortality" events for fish, birds and ocean mammals. In contrast, jellyfish and related creatures more tolerant of temperature rises might "bleam". New York: Allspiceal 2.4.2.3

THE WASHINGTON POST
• AI bonds surge fuels sell-off • Public debt under strain • Fallout for equities • Oil's rise dims outlook
OPELY HUNDRED 1 — CONTEXT
MARKET CLARITY — NEW YORK
Long-term borrowing costs hit multi-branch highs yesterday as fears over inflation, fiscal deficits and surging AI bond counters put pressure on government debt around the world.
The yield on 30-year US Treasuries fell 1.34 per cent, its highest since 1997, having been below 5 per cent at the start of last month. Long-term European debt, led by the 30-year German Bond and French Debt of the same security also rose, to level that rose to 2012 and 2008, respectively. Twitks move inversely to prices.
"The bond market is labeled getting nervous," said Vincent Morton, chief investment officer at Amsnall, Europe's largest asset manager, amid "growing
concern on the fiscal trajectories of mass countries when growth localizes inflation sticky . . . and forces to improve the fiscal situation as one obviate." In the UK, the 30-year gilt yield rose as much as 10% percentage points to 1.86 per cent, within teaching distance of a post 1998 high that it reached in the early weeks of the true war.
In Japan, 30-year yields rose as much as 10% percentage points to 1.16 per cent, close to their highest ever.
'Concern is growing on the fiscal trajectories of many countries where growth is subpar and inflation sticky'
The bond market sell-off, along with higher all prices, weighed on equities. In New York, the such heavy Monday 100 fell 1.4 per cent, while the Half 800 sold 0.5 per cent.
Government borrowing costs have jumped since the start of the US loan conflict, as higher energy prices prompted fear of operating-inflation shock. Brent crude closed above 800 a barrel on Monday for the first time in two weeks and rose to around 800, 60 yesterday, weighing on earnings levels.
"Long-end yields have largely been following all prices," said Mohit Kumar, chief European economist at Jefferies. "As oil goes to 800 and above, inflation concerns start to dominate."
Ballooning government debt has also been weighing on long-term borrowing
costs, as the US debt pile nears 8-90% and investors but over the possibility of additional spending to protect businesses and consumers from the economic cost of higher energy prices.
"The worsening situation in the first life lost in likely a factor in intensifying concerns over inflation and concerns over the US fiscal position," said David Helpaway, head of global markets research at WERC. "These remains zero appetite in the US for addressing the US fiscal position and that is increasingly weighing on the long end of the course."
The shift higher in long-dated bond yields meant that the US last week was forced to pay the highest interest rates since 2003 to sell 30-year bonds.
Lethal Fruitham, head of US sales research at Barclays, said: "We think
there are three factors at play [in the long and Treasury sell-off] the budget deficit outlook, AI-related corporate issuance and the changing Treasury buyer base."
Big Tech companies have been turning to foreign debt markets to finance their enormous spending on AI investments, with a particular focus on buying long-dated debt. Barclays expects total investment grade issuance in 2026 to hit 1 record 85.9%, compared with last year's 85.4%.
Fruitham said that "the scale and maturity of AI-related corporate borrowing" at the longer end of yield serves was contributing to "incentive requiring more compensation to absorb (corporate and government) supply".
Day in the markets & China yield rose 9
Jobs figures point to weakening labour market Employers have died jobs and the number of vacancies localizes, according to data for June that highlights fragility in the market but some the need for the first to raise rates. Early numbers for July also show weakness—page 1
Russia stops up threat The Kremlin has secured the UK of "socialism" and threatened "consequences" following reports that British-made drones were used by Ukraine to long-range strikes in recent days—page 1
Dlugos slashes 2,000 jobs The drinks group behind Islamic Walker and Guttman has made big cuts in its workforce as new chief executive Sir Dave Lewis embrake on an aggressive code drive to boost profits—page 10
Disney uses FCC watching The US works growing too much the industry regulates, accusing the Trump administration of driving a "existence campaign" against the ABC networks over the course of broadcasts—page 1
Israeli strike condemned Both freezes in and before those condemned Israeli air strikes on Abu al-Dubai military air base in north west Syria, describing them as a "violation" of the nation's sovereignty—page 1
Asia shift worries US allies Donald Trump's decision to scale back war grows with North Korea has deepened concern over US reliability among take-fraiths allies already made an even by his rhetoric on Taiwan—page 1
Libya calls her $400m State of company head financial chairman has told the FT that the north African country needs investment in develop oil and gas resources as it seeks to reduce its place as a major producer—page 1
Infantism critic out Kirstin Lannon, a senior official who criticised president Islamic Islamabad, directed plans to sell shares in a commercial entity to investors, has left FSL, football's global governing body—page 1

People who of Europe as a evolution on the book is routed in a new cohort of thinkers that seeks to turn the old 'n-angle political machine into an ideology. The American new right uses immigration, curbs on free speech and the surrender of sovereignty as threats to its ancestral home. The investment heats the right and hard right, national conservatives, and those of America, and new ideas. We feel aggressive EU rules, are happy to give funding. New articles, page 2
CENTRAL WASHINGTON AND HERNANDEZ CREEK — CONTEXT BANK BOUTIQUE/REDUCER — PLEASE
Sir Christopher Hohn has bet on the wealthy continuing to clamour for rooms at other luxury hotels in Italy by investing $40,000 in loans to a select group of prime locations.
Billionaire also bicycles Hohn, one of the world's most profitable hedge fund managers, is known to the large tests on the Euro of Alphabet, GE Aerospace and French group Vinci Glorpiq8. The Chill death investment Fund.
But a little famous slice of his master lunch $7786 portfolio is dedicated to investing in property loans, according to a letter to investors seen by the FT, with the vast majority allocated to luxury Italian hotels.
The investments give Hohn's fund
exposure to a market buoyed by surging demand from wealthy travellers and fierce competition among investors for security paid through properties.
TCG biggest position in the sector is a $50,000 stake in a loan to the hotel (less old in Venice, a Gothic structure overlooking the lagoon, which was built in the late 16th century for a Venetian family. A huge reservation, after its operator switched from that bet to the Near Isisawa, is set to be completed each year.
TCG also has a stake in a $12,000 loan to the Hotel Caruso Augustus on Capri, 49% to be in the San Antonio hotel on Lake Como and 83% to be in the Mandarin Oriental in Milan, the letter showed, Outside Italy, it has exposure to $62,000 in borrowing by the Rio Antonio Bina, 4B the hotel sum owned by Italian property company Gruppo Statuto.
TCG's fund does not lend directly,
instead taking pieces of loans originated by a private credit firm led by Martin Franz Klebbel, which manages external money. TCG has a stake in the Euro and Hohn's on its investment committee.
Hohn is almost singularly housed on pricing power in his investments, favouring companies that can push through inflation-healing price rises and weather competition.
That philosophy applies to TCG's real estate debt portfolio, devoting per small able room — a key metric in the hotel industry — divided 15 per cent between 2010 and the end of 2023 in Italy, lanses than any other country in Europe, according to figures inflated by real estate Euro/Indonesia: Wide-bible.
The fund was up 1.5 per cent for the year as of June 30, recovering from losses earlier in the year in aerospace companies and payment services.
www.buzzbible.com
Tel: (0931) 320-1427
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© 1996 FINANCIAL TIMES LTD 2026
No. 42, 2026
Printed in London, Liverpool, Glasgow, Dublin, Frankfurt, Milan, Madrid, New York, Chicago, San Francisco, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore, Seoul, Dubai

www.ft.com
STOCK MARKETS
| Aug 18 | Prev | Sept | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SW 100 | 7700.00 | 7700.00 | 0.00 |
| Buenos Aires | 2000.00 | 2000.00 | 0.00 |
| San Jose, CA | 1220.00 | 1000.00 | 0.00 |
| Las Vegas, NV | 1600.00 | 2000.00 | 0.00 |
| Chile, CA | 2000.00 | 2000.00 | 0.00 |
| THE 100 | 5000.00 | 5000.00 | 0.00 |
| THE 50 (from) | 5000.00 | 5000.00 | 0.00 |
| San Jose | 4000.00 | 4000.00 | 0.00 |
| Santa Cruz | 2000.00 | 2000.00 | 0.00 |
| Santa Cruz | 1000.00 | 1000.00 | 0.00 |
| Long Beach | 2000.00 | 2000.00 | 0.00 |
| WEST 50 | 1700.00 | 1700.00 | 0.00 |
| WEST 50A | 1700.00 | 1700.00 | 0.00 |
CURRENCES
| Year | Aug 18 | Prev | Sept |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
| 100 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.00 |
GOVERNMENT BONDS
| Year/Year | Aug 18 | Prev | Sept |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.00 |
| 100.0% | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.00 |
| 100.0% | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.00 |
| 100.0% | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.00 |
| 100.0% | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.00 |
| 100.0% | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.00 |
| 100.0% | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.00 |

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2
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2024
NATIONAL
Economy
Official figures also show unemployment slightly higher than forecast
LEON KLEINING
Employers shed jobs in June and the number of vacancies declined, highlighting the weakness of the country's labour market and rising the need for the bank of England to raise interest rates.
Population654,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
Unemployment was 4.4 per cent in the second quarter, slightly higher than the 4.4 per cent recently expected by analysts.
The figures also showed a further decline in vacancies by 707,000 in the three months to July, above from 711,000 in the three months to June, underscoring the stagnation in the jobs market as houses built off from hiring given high-energic units.
The figures suggest Prime Minister Andy Burnham faces theory: Ruffinger reviving the prospects of workers given the ongoing roles in the industry in the
The ongoing roles in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry
The figures suggest Prime Minister Andy Burnham faces theory: Ruffinger reviving the prospects of workers given the ongoing roles in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry in the industry
CHRISTMAS TARGET Burnham launches drive to tackle rough sleeping
Andy Burnham has set out a pandemic-style drive to get rough sleepers off the streets of England by Christmas, as he promised to find the cash to deal with homelessness.
The prime minister has committed a further £10/Euro to his personal policy priority as he pledged to "get people out the cold" this winter.
Officers and councils are being urged to work with faith groups and other community leaders to reach rough sleepers, with a "national summit" on the issue planned for the autumn to build a sense of urgency.
Burnham made an order to end rough sleeping has first official set as prime minister when he entered following those last month, reflecting his long-standing interest in the policy area as a major of Greater Manchester.
Official figures showed a 7/95 people were sleeping on the streets of England on a couple night last autumn, a record high and almost double the figure in 2023, which followed a cross-government system to get rough sleepers into accommodation during the Covid-19 season.
The new development of the system in a series of 16 for full aggressive communication between Britain and Russia, by leave, the Russian biggest object of the world's
Worlds and its international trade, reflecting its long-standing interest in the policy area as a major of Greater Manchester.
the second quarter, slightly higher than the 4.4 per cent recently expected by analysts.
The figures suggest Prime Minister Andy Burnham faces theory: Ruffinger reviving the prospects of workers given the ongoing roles in the industry in the first year.
The weak state of the labour market also comes despite firm economic growth in the first half of the year, with GDP increasing by 9.6 per cent in the first quarter and by 0.6 per cent in the
second, both hiring in consumer facing sectors such as retail and hospitality suggests that younger workers will "bear the breast of the weakness" and take Finters, senior economist at PwC UK.
"The UK labour market remains stuck in a low-churn linden, with smallness reluctant to hire, like re-offer bigger pay rises as they gaggle with ining cars,139,000 long-global healthfuls and heightened policy sideways and their
and frequenters' views, third-crossmines at the ICACW, the successors' body.
Households are the most developed about job security in these and a half years, according to an IHP Global survey of consumer sentiment related to Monday, 1945, the highest-sending cohort felt confident about job pro-
pects. The 1995 said falling vacancies were in part because small companies were holding back from recruiting swings to higher labour costs and other operating expenses.
Outside of the pandemic period, the 1.8 per cent in the second quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the fourth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the fifth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the seventh quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the eighth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the sixth quarter, the 1.8
The 1995 said falling vacancies were in part because small companies were holding back from recruiting swings to higher labour costs and other operating expenses.
Outside of the pandemic period, the 1.8 per cent in the second quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8
Outside of the pandemic period, the 1.8 per cent in the second quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8 per cent in the third quarter, the 1.8
Andy Burnham has failed change to bus services in the West Midlands as "the single biggest act of public control since I came into office", even though the reason will ultimately be expected by private companies.
The prime minister said yesterday he was carrying out an "absolutely massive" move to set up a new partnership between the government and West Midlands (Londons Authority) (WMA) to control bus services in the region.
The sounds of jobs had been under threat after Malieu Group, the parent company behind local operator National Express, indicated it was quitting the market after having run 1,400 buses there for four decades.
But in the medium term, the WMA intends to shift services in the region towards a front-timed model, where the authority acts laws and timetables but private companies still run the buses.
The prime minister said it was a "very big day for the West Midlands". Burnham talked up his appetite for greater public control of services when he was seeking to become prime
minister to the early summer. But he has yet to set out concrete plans for outwinding any company or industry. He has said he wants Thameson, the centre to public control but has not yet taken any action to put the
heavily indicted ititty into special adventures. Alvern the men up, a few hours later the day is always to be ripped so many coats related to the road. The
minister to the early summer. But he has yet to set out concrete plans for outwinding any company or industry. He has said he wants Thameson, the centre to public control but has not yet taken any action to put the buses.
Wednesday 30 August 2024
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
3
Fears grow over spread of stores, with some linked to tax evasion and organised crime
GOLF GUSTAVS AND FINANCIAL TIMES
With sparse displays and white walls, Daniel Gorenall's two specialist vape shops in Oxford have had very different from the cluttered neon signed stores that have proliferated on high streets across the UK.
Businesses like his played an important role in helping people quit smoking, he said, but he is now frustrated at being "dragged through the same road" as what he describes as his "dodgy" rivals.
A boom in the number of vape shops in the UK – there has been a more than 1,500 per cent increase over the past decade, according to the Local Data Company – provoked a promise of action for work from the highest level of government.
Andy Burnham, prime minister, pledged fresh powers for councils to curb new openings as part of a bid to "bring town centres back to life", grasping them with betting shops and "dodge businesses linked to organised crime".
Yet some at the heart of the high street say booming on vape stores will result in problems, such as concerns that they can be used as a front for organised crime, simply being transferred elsewhere.
The increase in vape stores is partly explained by a rise in the number of people using the devices as an alternative to smoking, something that for adults has generally been encouraged by the 2020. While vaping products are
widely available elsewhere, dedicated shops can offer expert advice as well as a wider array of products that can be adapted to consumers' tastes.
But worries about the links of some shops with criminal activity are growing. There are also concerns about tax evasion and the sale of illicit and counterfeit products.
Andrew Goodacre, chief executive of the British Independent Retailers Association, said he had raised concerns with the Home Office last week that the explicit targeting of vape shops would lead to organised criminals simply changing tactics.
"It is a whack-a-mole," he argued. "They will start selling hardware, more food, fashion, whatever goods don't attract attention."
The Office for National Statistics estimates that 3.4mm people in Great Britain used e-cigarettes in 2024, up from 2.5mm in 2015. In the 10 years to 2025, the number of dedicated vape shops ranged from 262 to 3,776, according to the Local Data Company.
This is despite supermarkets and convenience stores displacing vape shops in the most common source of purchase for e-cigarette users in England, according to a 2023 study by the UCL Alcohol and Tobacco Research Group.
Some entrepreneurs had piled into vaping because it was "high margin, fast and fashionable", and Gorenall. But he added that it "doesn't make any sense commercially how you can have so many of them pop up" – warning that a

Smoking hot mother there has been a more than 1,500 per cent increase in vape shops over the past decade. Below, sales assistant Adam Innes at Oxford Vapours in Wilsey
lack of tax and regulatory enforcement had left legitimate businesses to "face off against cheats".
Revenues at his Oxford Vapours business had "decreased drastically over the past five years," he said, claiming some rivals sold illicit products and did not adequately verify customers' ages.
The National Crime Agency said 256 vape shops had been visited as part of its recent "Operation Racksters" project, which resulted in 113,097 illegal vapes being seized. It confirmed the operation includes, but was not limited to, money
laundering. Goodacre added "illegal stores" undermined the high street net because of increased competition but because "they are selling huge cigarettes [or] stolen goods".
He said the bigger issue was that these types of business "attracted unawavory people and untoward behaviour", which had a greater affect on the community.
The targeting of vape stores, along side adult gaming centers and bookmakers, is driven, in part, by harshan's motivation to reduce inequality underpinning the north-south divide.
There are twice as many vape shops in the north compared with the south and three times as many in deprived communities around the country compared with affluent areas, according to a Health Equity Study report.
On paper, the City of London has the highest number of vape shops per capita in the UK, but this is largely because it has a small population of only about 8,600 residents, while it welcomes about 600,000 workers per day and millions of tourists each year.
After the Square Mile, Blackburn has the highest number of vape shops, followed by Porcoo, Blackpool and Bolton, all in north-west England.
'It is a whack-a-mole. They will start selling hardware, more food, fashion, whatever goods don't attract attention'
Goodacre suggested the best way to tackle illegality on the high street would be to set up an anonymous whistle. However, for local businesses to report to, and to ensure landlords scrutinised commercial tenants in the same way they did with residential tenants.
Gillian Golden, chief executive of the Independent Retailers Vape Trade Association, said legitimate vape stores were being lumped together with criminals using them for illegal activity.
"Far from being 'dodgy', good-quality law-abiding vape retailers have a public value," she said, adding research had found the 2018 could save £150mm a year if half of all adult smokers in England switched to vaping.
"The issue of public conversation has swung a long way from the one that led to millions of adult smokers moving to a much less risky product set."
Gorenall wasn't public time to be "more thoughtful and targeted" in their approach to the industry. He said: "People do not realise that just because the word 'vapeur' is above the door doesn't mean you are walking into a legitimate vape shop."
The government was approached for comment.


4
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2024
Middle East
Tensions with Turkey rise after air base strikes were as violation of sovereignty
JOSHUAH ALTOHIMAN - JOHANNAL JAMES SHOTTBY - JESSALIM
North Damascus and Ankara strongly condemned Israeli air strikes on Abu al-Dulun military air bases as northwestern Syria yesterday, calling them a "civilized" and "conservative".
Sion Bureack, the US ambassador to Turkey and President Donald Trump's career for Syria, also criticized the strikes, saying Washington was "deeply concerned" that what he described as
"confirmed Israeli air strikes" were "an unnecessary resolution that does not advance against stability".
Israel's military declined to comment. Eight strikes hit the runway and strange facilities at al-Dulun early yesterday, according to Syrian state media, causing material damage but no sanitation. The base has a slight previous, about 70 km from the Turkish border.
The raid is likely to dampen tensions between Turkey and Israel over Syria, where Ankara has emerged as the principal backer of the government that in 2018 is placed in India at Anadi original.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a US-based war monitor, said Turkey had been rehabilitating, idea at
Dulun, which is Turkish delegation recently visited. The base had ceased operating as a dedicated military air field during Syria's civil war, which left half a million people dead.
The Observatory said Turkish forces had also been installing radio systems on Syria's Medinye ocean coast, as part of what appears to be a broad effort by tobacco co-facilist air defenses.
Turkey's foreign ministry said the attack "evident [Tyrick] to transact about any radioactivity" and that Israel was not he held to account "for these actions that the target international law".
Israel has sought to prevent an expanded Turkish military presence in Syria, particularly with air defense systems
tune that could restrict Israel's freedom of action in Syrian airspace. Turkey and Israel established a "deconfortious" mechanism in Azerbaijan last year to prevent unintended duties.
Israel has launched a barrage of strikes in Syria since Anadi was overthrown, saying it wanted to destroy the assets of tyrans air force and army in order to block the new government's accostrections, as well as existing shelter zone in the Syria that allows the Israel's military to be rebuilt.
Israel has also carried out strikes in Syria that it cast as support for the Iraqi Dream population, most recently this block. But these strikes were in conflict on Syria, whereas the latest attack
took place close to Turkey's border. Damascus is seeking to rebuild military capabilities destroyed after an attack fell in December 2024, holding its first air exercises this month using elderly Russian made 800-10 fighter jets.
The new authorities in Damascus and the Israelis are now working with conflict with Israel, but Israel has remained keep in agreement left by former Islamist managers.
Bureack, who met Syrian foreign ministry, found a statement in Istanbul on Monday, said Damascus had "further adopted a problem's position not maintained proxy forces" and had "separately indicated a preference for de-escalation with Israel".
Inquiry into school attacks
asks why country's young feel
was so bullied and pessimistic
HERE-YEENABED AND
JOSHUAH ALTOHIMAN - G. HANNA
On a mild April afternoon, the Arab Herald walked into the school in south-eastern Turkey with five bandages and seven magazines of ammunition in his hands. Moments have the 10-year-old had fatally shot 10 people and wounded another 15, until a parent brought him down with a knife from the school canteen.
Tooth violence, and the anxieties of a generalistic coming of age, are much defeated in Turkey today. Mass school shootings are exceptionally rare, but Herald's attacks could not be easily dismissed as a dead, psychotic, drastic but record of psychological problems.
Only the day before, 19-year-old State Air Force's senior Air Service school in southern Turkey with a young-action shotgun. Firing down a corridor, no wounds left, before hitting hounds.
"Our hearts ache as a nation... We are trying a situation that is unfamiliar to us," Pervez Paryaj (trilogue, president, said in a national edition). He promised to bring the reasons for the attacks to light "in all their complexity" and enforced Turks not to use them as "unavoid the political patients".
A parliamentary inquiry into the shootings also asked a broader question: why do so many young Turks feel angry, excluded and with no future?
Heritably, the answer has a political aspect. Every time under the age of 20 has spent almost their entire life under Erdogan's government, in years since 2002. Although only one member of parliament out of 6000 is younger than 30, they account for almost one in four counts - making them an important political conditionary.
"Violence is a symptom," Nighin Demirel Celny, co-ordinator of Toil Mom, and the aims of the research centre, told the parliamentary inquiry. "The real problem is not violence itself, but the ground on which it feeds."
Surveys partner as research team, walked among Turkey's young. Fifteen-year-olds report the lowest score of life satisfaction in a 75-minutes survey by the OECD. Almost a third of Turks aged 10 to 24 are not in employment, education

Flowers are bang on the fence of a school in south-eastern Turkey: where a 14-year-old fatally shot 10 people.
tion or training, more than twice the OECD average.
After several years of high dealerships inflation, many feel economically innocent. Over half of Turks aged 10 to 30 said they felt pessimistic about the future, according to a 2024 survey. When asked for their dominant mission in a poll last year, the most popular response was "anger".
The feeling of one's malaise is global. Multiple studies suggest younger generations across the world feel more anxious, less satisfied with life and less noted in relationships or career of purpose. In Turkey, however, the disconnect is not tested, according to Hiram Chandogha, a researcher at the Ankara-based think-tank Topaz, who testified at the inquiry.
While young people in western democracies are clearly disappointed with government performance, Chandogha wrote in a recent report that their Turkish peers face "an environment where freedoms are restricted, electoral fairness is positioned and the role of law is caperally tight".
That both a sense of exclusion, which engenders low trust in the system and a
belief that careers are determined more by who you know than by your education. This alleviation has been exploited by violent (on 2 criteria) gangs that pump out a "gangster" image on social media and drive their names from popular 1990s cartoons, such as Cooper the Friendly Ghost and Lucky Like.
In a small apartment in a densely populated inner location district, 12-year-old Mert wrote in the time as he recounted why he took part in an attempted drive by shooting for one of these youth gangs. Mert, where real-cause cannot be used in the 1-minute, is awaiting a court hearing to plead guilty to change of making a legal public safety by showing a 10-acre auto criminal damage. In the event, no one was hurt.
"Amount of nothing enough money and nothing more, I imagined I would travel and enjoy life," said Mert, the social media, the gang leaders had looked like "heroes", offering wealth, status and belongings. In said, The reality of the underworld was "much darker".
"Then I will need to pay my lawyers and support my family," Mert said.
Official statistics show more young
Turks are becoming involved in crime.
Violence is a symptom. The real problem is not violence itself, but the ground on which it feeds
Nighin Demirel Celny, policy researcher
including homicides, since 2015, there has been a 75 per cent increase in juvenile cases filed with digital courts, according to the police ministry.
Still, most Turkish cities feel remarkably safe at night, and on weekend we stage the control district of Istanbul in Ankara on shoes with young people drinking coffee, talking and laughing.
Turkey's hypnotist case of 12 members per 100,000 people also remains far lower than in Latin America and about half the US level, according to World Bank data. From an 18 to more than 1,000 total of eligible testing for a person countries, and the rise of gangs to have has created the perception - and in some districts the reality - that exceeds in determining.
The number of 1000 people, a statistically significant889 of the 1000 people, is estimated by the 1000 people. The number of 1000 people, a statistically significant889 of the 1000 people, is estimated by the 1000 people.
In response, the government has passed a ban on social media accounts for children under 15. In August, parliament also passed a bill that allows judges to impose the variance on it's 10-year-old concentrated murder.
Critics say the heavy handed approach overlooks the social and economic condition that shape young people's lives. Surveys of obtained poverty commissioned by the parliamentary inquiry found 25 per cent were school dropouts, while 7 per cent said their families suffered financial hardship.
The most common problem is an about punishing them like adults," said Gittens Tisza, an organization MP. "It means including poverty, strengthening public education, ending 2016 labour ... and giving every child the opportunity for an equal, best, social and digital life task."
For many, that seems an impossible dream, both highly, a student at 1826 Technical University, once thought she could improve children's lives by becoming a teacher. She changed her mind after watching graduates fail to find leadership who had become a student activist instead. "We have nothing left to face. No one is going to give us because conditions, we want to fight for them ourselves," she said. "Teenagers head up because I don't feel alone."
Marine creatures
KARLA BEVIN - LORAIN
Their evanrament thus, people or pink inflated comes evoke the safe of this country Portuguese warships. Their barbed, venomous contacts extend up to 50 meters below the ocean's surface, and the jellyfish that creatures known as Portuguese men o war are receiving Europe's power.
Antismistic along the Atlantic Ocean's Bay of Biscay have wanted to mount weeks that the species typically bound in tropical waters has been appearing on European beaches that tourists and locals have used to reef down from heatwaves.
Meanwhile, warships for traditional species of jellyfish are to place along the Mediterranean coast. In northern France, an EUPI marine species was still offline yesterday after a "massive arrival" of jellyfish last week (tagged, nothing always lighting) of an exclusive jellyfish in Europe (the year have coincided with a historic marine heatwave and increased interest from researchers in the species' ability to thrive in oceans currently in modern things.
Scientists who collaborated on the well-organized North Member facilities in the project and last week that high temperatures in European oceans would have been "virtually impossible" without global warming.
Their remaining, several classes change caused by local bad burning has last month added 2 in Mediterranean temperatures, 1.4% to a region centred on the Bay of Biscay and the Iberian peninsula and 1.5% to a Cifra region centred on the Irish Sea and the English Channel. They also highlighted the pithy fish phenomenon.
John Brown, a marine ecologist at the University of North Carolina, warned columns had could lead to "mass-susceptory" events at sea for fish, birds and ocean mammals. In contrast, jellyfish and related creatures could be more tolerant of temperature runs, leading them to "liberal" during some marine heat waves even as other species do this, to said. The military people are also more resilient to how tongue or low contrast conditions triggered by warmer water, and benefit from overfishing of their predators.
A book chapter entitled The Rise of Jellyfish in Europe and that your that the species' proliferation even as other marine wildlife durables was "growing concern" among marine scientists. So author, Albert Collier, from Barcelona Institute of the Arts, was a scientist at a jellyfish known as the "maser stinger" was now liberating in the Mediterranean sea as a yearly basis, compared to every dozen years in the 1980s.
Uncertainistic morals, however, about their response to heat. Scientists have tried about the population size of jellyfish at sea, and often rely on citizens and lifeguards' opening, those on beaches during summer. Some types overcheties in winter waters, while others appear on beaches during winter, are unknown.
The Mediterranean region has been the hardest hit by climate change of the European regions the WRA studied, warming at once the global average. It said, The Portuguese men o war are not typically deadly but about 10 per cent of those stung most hospital treatment.

Philanthropy
BELAR SHATIM - NEW YORK VICTORIA TAYLOR - LONDON
The Al boom is creating a new generation of ultra-wealth philanthropists who are evolving the effective altruism movement, even after it was damaged by association with convicts of modernism business Fried.
The FT has identified more than 40 current and former Anthropic employees who have pledged on the "Giving What You" campaign for the 1980s, and that per cent of their income, reflecting effective altruistic emphasis on using evidence and data to maximize impact.
Anthropic's seven co-founders, who each have an estimated worth of about $60m, have separately pledged to give away 80 per cent of their wealth, including the prospect of $60mm of dollars in future donations. Some of the company's leaders, including chief executive James Anand, are close to the movement, as are executives at other high growing Silicon Valley group such as Inpania. Both companies have used distantly filed paperwork to launch Intangus early in this year, seeking selections in excess of $20m.
"There is an EA (effective altruism) share in employees at these places for sure," said David Goldberg, president of Founders Pledge, an organisation that takes commitments from founders for "high-impact giving." EA was forced into a exclusively after FTX's former chief business Fried - one of EA most prominent advocates - was convicted of thanks $125 (edited to the collapse of his cryptocurrency exchange.
Donations to charities that Giving What You" are the "Giving What You" group "marked about $20m last year from 90/100 houses, up from $1,250 to 2024 and less than $300mm in 2024. "There

Anthropic's Darin Anand is close to the effective altruism movement
was a strong general enthusiasm for EA a year after Brian Buchanan Fried was convicted. ... but we have more than recovered from that by now," said the platform, chief executive, dip Rody makers.
EA (born in downtown to concern to employees) believes can deliver the greatest measurable impact including global health, capital welfare and disaster, its example is the Shrimp Welfare Project, which says additional funding could help protect the new rodents: shunting for wild caught during after raising 42,3mm to 2024-25.
"We're all preparing to be really, really ambitious, making sure that the money, EA does arrive ... can be deplored but, can be deplored effectively," said co-founder, who is a business owner.
EA's emphasis on quantifying the value of different causes has long divided philanthropists, with critics arguing it reduces moral choices to all solutions and concerns about funding in a narrow set of priorities. Amy Schiller, author of The Rise of Humanity, a book critical of the EA movement, wrote: "The assumption is that maximizing life, and subsequently human utility, is
as important that it is range of: other priorities."
Buchanan Fried's employees of EA can revolve in its philosophy of "earnings give" that people can do the more good by pursuing highly paid careers before donating much of their wealth. The movement also attracted everyone by championing "happening," which argues the interests of future generations are also noted priority. As the foreseen form, EA begins to reduce philanthropists, since EA leaders say the movement is determined to control the issues associated with FTX.
Lewis Bellard, who directs the Farm Animal Welfare Fund at Lufthansa (Jongsung) - "One of the big lessons learnt from FTX's is you may not be so serious, because you can lose the obligation ... It is still critical that every dollar is really welligned."
Additional reporting by Cristina Crallife
This is the second in J. Bess and FT series training at the wealth created through AI Summit
Wednesday 16 August 2020
4
FINANCIAL TIMES
5
INTERNATIONAL
FT series Trump's rightwing movement is determined to challenge what it sees as the continent's civilisational decline
ARY RACHIMIER – WASHINGTON
Officials in Donald Trump's administration have learnt to choose their words carefully to avoid getting ahead of the mercenial US president. But on one subject they appear next really to let ripe Europe.
From vice president JD Vance down, officials have cast themselves as being one a mission to save western civilisation from the continent they are in the castle. Mass migration, curbs on free speech and the surrender of national sovereignty, they argue, threaten not only the transatlantic relationship but the very idea of Europe.
'We do not save the west if Europe does not get in an together,' said Kevin Roberts, president of the Heritage Foundation, the conservative think tank that helped to show up the agenda for Trump's second term. 'There have ever lost the rising time, for the better part of two decades, that Europe was committing civilisational suicide.'
Acquiring that Europe needs saving from itself, the administration has backed like minded parties and movements across the Atlantic. Vance cano pagged for White Orbis, Hungary's former prime minister and a balestar for the populist nationalist right, on the eve of what proved to be Orbis's electoral defeat.
At the state department, officials have earmarked millions of dollars in grants for like-minded groups in Europe seeking to combat 'censorship' and develop 'civilisational bonds' between the US and the continent. The focus on Europe has widened the transatlantic 18th and
'There is all of this pretension to have been the true heirs of European civilisation'
prompted officials and commentators on both sides of the Atlantic to ask: why is Trump's Make America Great Again movement coming for Europe?
Amid Angels, under secretary of state for public diplomacy and an outspoken critic of Europe, denies the administration is simply out to pick a fight. 'Our National Security Strategy and other statements on have made are often framed as critiques of Europe or attacks on Europe, and that is not the frame that I would lose,' she told the FT.
'What we advocate on these themes, it is not because the American people or we, as their representatives, are interested in conflict with Europe for the sake of it,' she said. 'It is because we identify with the US and Europe in a lot of ways... When it comes to certain challenges, we are all in the together.'
Rogers occupies a role traditionally used to advance US soft power. The former litigator is better known, however, for acothic social media posts about European and UK migration policies and efforts to regulate hate speech.
This year she said that Germany had imported 'herbarium spirit border'. She later clarified that she was seeking to make a point about a 2018 hate speech investigation into a German far-right lawmaker who had used similar terms.
Her stance on free speech in Europe contrasts with the administration's relative silence on many authoritarian states. In June, she visited Turkmenistan, one of the world's most oppressive regions, making scant references to freedom depends.
'One engagement on these issues depends upon the depth of our entanglement with countries, the nature of our alliance, it depends upon the country's history and character,' she said.
Rogers served Europe gave out of the American new right, accomplished and policy ecosystem that flourished between Trump's two terms. As Republicans shed the remnants of Reaganite conservatism, a new cohort of Magsabigand think-tanks and intellectuals sought to train the one power of the president's political machine into an ideological doctrine and policy programme.
The four years between Trump's first and second terms gave the album 'Suffrage and the power of the US' (the song was they saw as the intellectual core of Trumpism, and Joshua Treville, a sen-
ior director at the America First Policy Institute. Treville said US conservatism 'actually care what happens in Europe' became they see it as part of themselves – and Britain, in particular, as an ancestral source.
That series of binding recent Europe's political directions could not take a 'moral injury.' 'There is actually two different standards in the mental framework among conservatives now in relationships with human persons,' he said. One is more transactional, the other 'civilisational.'
Magis stark saw theory of the Atlantic alliance was set out by Vance at the Munich Security Conference last year. The vice president said the greatest threat to Europe was not from America or China but from 'solitic'. highlighting its alleged divergence from the US on values such as troubled speech.
'That thinking was later codified in the National Security Strategy, the blueprint for US foreign policy, which called for 'cultivating resistance' to Trump's civilisational decline. The state department's own strategy document set a similar goal to 'rebuild the civilisational alliance with European states'.
The ideological convergence of the American new right encompasses right-wing populists, national conservatives, post-liberal Catholic intellectuals, libertarian technology group founders and back-right activists.
'It is too trench coming together: the long decline of the American social context and the complacent assumption in all western democracy is that representative democracy is like a perpetrated clock that is never a need of repair,' said Constance Rothschildly, director of the centre on the US and Europe at the Brookings Institution and an FT contributing editor.
The surge was helped by funding from tech billionaires such as Peter Thiel, an early backer of Vance.
The tech right, as it is sometimes known, has its own particular grievance against the EU, which has sought to place guardrails around Big Tech and local billions of users in free under its competition and digital size.
This has been infused with elements of the 'black enlightenment', a philosophy influential in parts of the tech right that considers democracy an impairment to technological progress and argues states should be run more like corporations. 'This is about making money, it is not about principles, it is not about legal cultures, it is about profits,' said Rothschildly.
There is also clearly a deep dislike for the EU and its executive core, the European Commission. They are often portrayed in semi-synorbidity language as nonpers of the national self-determination of the like's member states. 'I think they are both poliovial. I think they are sinister. I think they are evil,' said Roberts of The Heritage Foundation.
The antipathy towards Bruneck mirrors Magis hostility to cite institutions in the US universities, the media, the judiciary and career public servants.
The Trump administration – like many other nationalist rebel movements and parties in western countries – has a problem with universities and the educated cities,' said Yvonne Hansen, an Israeli-American political theorist whose 2010 book The Virtue of Nationalism is regarded as a central text of the American new right.
Harcely acknowledged 'tension' between the Trump administration, stated aim of stopping back from the US to do as global policeman and its finger-wagging at Europe. But he likened the dispute to a quarrel between siblings. 'Brothers and sisters – they fight. Sometimes it is the older brothers and sisters who are fighting with their younger brothers and sisters, not out of despair or hatred, but out of love.'
Trump's fraternal affection has been expressed in ways that have shaken allies over the past 10 months threaten some (unrealized by fear), unique traditions allow and regular forays into Europe's domestic politics. Central to it all has been immigration. The National Security Strategy went as far as to argue Europe could be 'unrecognisable' in its years, potentially jeopardising the 'false alliance'.
'A military alliance has to be based on

Viktor Orbis supporters wait to hear JD Vance speak at an election rally in Budapest in April. Below, Sarah Rogers
a civilisational consensus. And if we notice – and Orbisis we are seeking but – an erosion of that, civilisational erasure, that will be very concerning to us,' said Mike Gonzalez, a senior fellow with the Heritage Foundation.
In reality, a little over 30 per cent of the US population is foreign-born, compared to almost 30 per cent in the US.
Orbis contend the preoccupation is sometimes defined with anti-Izmiric activism targeting immigration into Europe from the Middle East.
'They are absolutely comfortable with outrageous inlawspatheds,' said Laura Field of the Stokason Center think-tank in Washington, who studies the American new right.
The fixation on immigration has left the Trump administration supporting European political movements that in other ways can headlong against its administration's foreign policy.
In Germany, it found common scare with the far-right Alternative for Germany on immigration, even though the party is staresibly opposed to big increases in defence spending.
'They have backed candidates and parties because of their position on
migration that are actually quite systematically against America's interests globally,' said Thomas Wright, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a former national security official in the Biden administration.
While the defeat of Orbis and auster to predict the Maga movement might be losing away in Europe, there are no signs of its rhetorical assaults abating. Field, whose book Forbes think examines the intellectual currents behind Maga, said appreciating the movements' perverse sense of Earnphilia is crucial.
'There is all of this pretension to have been the true heirs of European civilisation, and that they are going to come and enter into the motherland and/or educate these fully Europeans about their overviews,' she said. 'It is a childish caricature of Europe and it is fundamentally unenthusiastic of the way.'
Maga comes for Europe This is the first in a series on how Maga views Europe and its complicated relationship with the continent's right-wing
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5
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2020
Indo-Pacific security
Commitment to region questioned after Trump reduces S'Korea exercises
DIRECTOR MANUFACTURER - WASHINGTON
Donald Trump's Russian so-called back point military exercises with South Korea has deepened concerns about US reliability among Indo-Pacific allies who were already nervous about his rhetoric on the US.
On Sunday, Issues before US and South Korea's forces were to start their annual Chile Freedom Health exercises, the US president declared on Youth Social that the drills would send a "los-
tile" message to North Korea, echoing Pyongyang's criticism that it was a "rehearsed" event of aggression.
The abrupt decision came on the heels of the US foreign Washington aircraft carrier strike group setting sail from the Pacific for the Middle East, in a move that will have the region without a US carrier as China continues to take a more aggressive stance in the region.
Michael Green, head of the United States Student Center in Sydney, said one US ally likened working with the Trump administration to "going into space with Signature Weaver" in the movie Alien. "The latest monster to spring from the ceiling was the president's threat to coach US military exer-
cises with South Korea," said Green, who served as the top White House Asia Alliance to George N'Bush.
The recent developments, which come five weeks before 31st Spring, Chinese president, is expected to visit Washington, have undermined US officers to manage allies by telling them to focus on Trump's actions, not his theories.
Elbridge Colby, the top frontage and key official, said in March, last week the US would "not engage in political but would "speak softly" while carrying "this world's biggest stick" - a zero phrase of Theodore Roosevelt's remark in 1993 before he became president.
But Trump's decree to reduce military
drills that most experts say help deter Pyongyang and send a message to China has spelled ministry about Washington's commitment to the region, according to officials who spoke privately to avoid antagonizing the president.
Asian allies were already concerned about the impact of Trump's Iran war, which has depleted US weapon stock, strike and significantly delayed arms deliveries, including Tomahawk missiles for Japan. Today was also alarmed last year since Trump did not release Sanse Takakole, prime minister, after firstly attacked her for saving Japan would become involved in a war over Yakima in China invaded the country.
"Trump administration officials have
transported the 'spirit, refurbish and stoppy through a dangerous' to Asia. But they are working critical questions and need assets from Asia to the Middle East, while cancelling military exercises with Asian allies," said Zach Cooper, an Asia security expert at the American Enterprise Institute.
The developments undermine what several people said had been critical efforts by Pacific Command, which oversees US military operations in Asia, to continue to bring to operation with allies under Trump.
The frontages declined to comment on the concerns from allies but said it was "activity working on executing" Trump's order to reduce the exercises.
Fine Arts commission chair
sold by to Putin's economic
Reason was 'cultural visit'
ARTS BACKGROUND - WASHINGTON
WAS INSIDER - JULY 29
The US official announcing Donald Trump's commission White House half-commemoration held talks with Kremlin officials in Russia this summer as part of a quite diplomatic mission, according to people familiar with the matter.
Rodney Nims Cook Jr., chair of the US Commissioner of Fine Arts, was given a diplomatic passport and extensive including future attending President Vladimir Putin's flagship economic forum in St Petersburg in June, where former Kremlin officials and was assigned a diplomatic security detail, the people said.
An enthusiast for Russian culture, Cook presented his trip as a 'cultural visit' where he showed photographs of his 'dacha' in Atlanta, Marco Rubin, secretary of state, and in June that he was 'out aware' of the intrigations to St Petersburg. But the US hoped unlikely always such as Cook could help break the diplomatic deadlock over Russia's war in Ukraine, even if the people said.
One of the people Cook met was Anton Koltushin, a senior aide to Putin, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Cook was the first US official to attend the St Petersburg International Economic Forum, a American international event known as "Putin's forces", since 2008. The US has been noted the former from 2009 to 2014 at the annual government US businessman and over the remainder of Ukraine.
Despite Russia's efforts to drive life was going on as normal. Ukraine's excruciating forces campaign put the war front and center at the conference.
What the war going to be called with a friend at the Winter Public on the opening day, Cook witnessed a Ukrainian drone strike as a Russian oil refinery. "You must be smother," he told the FT.
Cook declined to comment on his meetings with Russian officials, whether Trump had asked him to pursue the outreach or whether he would return them to the near future. "There are many requests. We are working on that new," he said.
A White House official said the US "continues to play a country live role in speaking to both parties in working towards bringing the war to an end" and

Rodney Nims Cook Jr. left, at
'Putin's forces' in June. Rubin, needs close over St Petersburg after reported Ukrainian drone attacks in
the same month.
that Trump was 'optimistic' about missing spaces-fed.
A US official said Cook attended the St Petersburg forum as chair of the US Commission of Fine Arts to further bilateral cultural ties. But the Russia trip carried heavy retribution for the prospect of working diplomacy.
At a panel discussion called "Russia US: Dialogue of cultures", Cook displayed photographs of his own 'dacha' in Atlanta, which he said was built in the "Russian wooden vernacular, which has touched my heart over the decades".
He then gave a lengthy presentation on the historic Russian churches, public
building and country homes he has helped overcome since he first visited the country in the 1990s.
"Know Russian culture, and I know most of the leadership of their cultural institutions," he told the FT. The round table of senior Russian officials and cultural dignitaries, some of whom are under US sanctions, "included more of my old friends, which was made a great homecoming," Cook added. "The personal connection between all of us was very clear."
Cook recounted a visit to the grave of the infant daughter of John Quincy Adams, the first US authorities to Russia. He was accompanied by Vladimir Tolstoy, a former Yugoslav cultural adviser to Putin. "We have been friends for decades. He is a superstar," Cook said.
During his presentation, Cook avoided mentioning the war in Ukraine until the end, when he said, "My old dress don't feel this anymore. We must educate them to understand this. But we must be at peace in order to achieve these goals ... help us do this."
At a question and answer session with Putin the next day, Cook passed on a "good help from your friend, President Trump", adding: "We have a lot of
'Know Russian culture, and
'I know most of the leadership of their cultural institutions.
The personal connection between us was clear
like to talk about between our two optical ships in the same week."
Putin thanked Cook and said he "pushed the good lead." At Trump, Cook snarled a hockey pack from a friend and placed in on the absolute finish in the first Office, "needs to President Trump's amusement," he said. "So the message was uncovered."
In St Petersburg, Cook said he requested a private performance of Interi United (Iowa's) toお願い No. 1, written during Nazi Germany's siege of Leningrad, Cook told Putin that culture and music helped St Petersburg survive the war and said his native city would also have been uprooted in the culture that the Union captured during the US civil war. "If only islands had been downforth, maybe, quite possibly, my beautiful city would be so clear as this beautiful place," Cook told them.
"It is what essentially broke the German Union surrounding the city (during the siege of Leningrad) and it was the beginning of the end for the Nazis. The Russians and their men in a weapon and it worked," Cook told the FT. "That is one of the things I started to discuss whilst I was there ... Let's see man as a reason for a ceasefire and finish this war and really first say a treaty."
Trade tussle
A US DEEMER - CHICAGO WALK AND HERALD - WASHINGTON
Canada is making a fast-ditch bid to avoid trade calls of US tariffs on births, worth of goods from hockey sticks to liquor as relations between the North Atlantic and neighbours come under bookseques.
Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Monday that he would speak to US President Trump Friday before a deathier today, in an effort to stop or reduce 50 per cent tariffs on a range of aspects.
"We are negotiating, negotiating on every income and dollars," Carney told reporters in St John in Canada's Newfoundland and Canada provinces.
The new tariffs come as Carney has struggled to manage relations with Trump, who has repeatedly threatened to make Canada the 21st US state and plunged the neighbours' countries into the world.
Trump threatened new levies last month, after after he said Carney met at the World Cup final. US levies are already in place on Canadian cars, steel, aluminium and borer products, but the new tariffs threaten sweeping consequences for Canadian country.
Don Kelly, president of the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, said 81 per cent of Canadian reports had remained tariff free on the
The first newspaper 30 per cent tariffs on 21 pages' worth of cars products to make 8 or break 4 for thousands of smaller Canadian supporters," he said.
After weeks of intense negotiations, Carney said on Monday that Ottawa had
"a plan that will cover all communities." If there is no agreement by Tuesday midnight, the US will implement the new levies using Section 25 of the Tariff Act of 1933, which is the worst document to impose duties on trading partners. The US Supreme Court earlier this year invalidated the emergency powers "throughout and to impose many of his rights."
The Trump administration has complained about Canada's "discrimination against and unreasonable and unequal treatment" of US members, as yesterday what it sees as protectionist policies in the Navy industry and government754s comment. The US has also demanded that Canadian provinces enjoy focus on American alcohol implications but issue no response to US tariffs.
"Any potential resolution has to include all of those, or a pathway for war for them," US trade representatives in the United States said in Friday during that talks with Ottawa had been "conservative". "Not so, this is not a trade war," he added.
Veterinary services
MONDAY, FEBRUARY AND EIGHTHING 1st WEEK
Countries need to spend billions of dollars more on veterinary and other animals health services to curb the threat of cancerrights such as mass firewood cells or even a human pandemic, the head of the World Organization for Animal Health (World) has recommended.
Public and private sectors need to raise investment, while governments should beware the false economy of cutting animal health spending to divert resources to security budgets. Immunosurfaces need to maintain health care.
Deadly outbreaks of Elvola and endemic home hastenings this year have highlighted the threat of so-called anaemia conditions that appear from livestock to wild creatures to human. Mass extermination of chickens owing to the spread of feed flu have also had been the costs of animal diseases.
"Half of countries ... have strong veterinary services, you have a vulnera-
tility," said booksegen, whose background is to veterinary medicine and public health.
World-ethnical spending on public health is under common merit for or by an estimated $2.5bn a year to improve surveillance and meet international standards. The money was needed for oats, nonfibrate aspects, laboratory systems, fertilizers, medicines, regulatory and inspection functions, and service delivery to farmers, it said.
International development assistance for veterinary services was at private less than $1bn a year. Weak estimated, pending and that this showed the scale of the investment gap.
While it was "understandable" government were reallocating money towards defence, it would be a mistake to cut animal health funding to help achieve this, booksegen warned. He used an animal origin could be spread within only and used as bioweapons.
" Strengthening veterinary services is alive a part of an outgrowing global and national security," she said. "It really has
Create production
WALLSLEY WORKS - LONDON WEEK ENDING - 2.5.19
Libya needs as much as $40bn of investment to develop to oil and gas resources as it seeks to restore food as one of the world's big trade producers, according to the head of its state oil company.
The north African country, divided between rural administration to the east and west, has the most recent target process of sources, according to the US Energy Information Administration, and has attracted a host of international oil companies in recent years seeking new opportunities.
But Manuel Robison, chair of Libya's National Oil Corporation (NOC), said progress had been hampered by a shortage of capital.
"We have a lot of autographed resources," he told the FT in an interview. "We need significant funds, between $50bn and $40bn."
Ashtonis is targeting an "ambitious but multiple" goal of increasing Libya's production to time barrels a day by 50% against about 1000,000. He said there were more than 60 oil and gas fields that had been taken over the years yet to be developed.
Foreign companies including Eni, TotalEnergies, Chevron and ComcoPhillips are all active in Libya, but investment has been down by political instability, concerns over corruption and government and shortages of hard-legal NOC.
A series of drone strikes this month also targeted the Zawiya oil refinery in western Libya, setting on fire a period storage tank and rearing damage to other parts of the installation.
A nearby power station was also attacked by drones. Authorities in Tripoli have not named the group responsible that much of western Libya is under the control of million.
Ashtonis said the attacks were contested to a "sweeter geographical area ... caused by a small number of millions" that the state was working in "scoutation". He added that all oil and gas investment also were "banned with beyond areas of tension and under robust security."
Under Libya's production-sharing agreements, the state oil company is required to finance its share of development costs, turning people vulnerable when government funding is delayed.
Ashtonis said NOC was therefore considering a whole to commission-style agreements under which investors would shoulder more of the optimum costs.
"We are thinking [of changing] the business would between NOC and our international partners. We are suffering from [a] lack of funds, and this is delaying our development projects dramatically," he said.
In an early example of the potential shift, NOC has made signal an agreement for the international firm of the Qatar-based CCC Holdings, led by the Syrian-Quran billmaker. At Kheyrat brothers, without holding a competitive licensing sound.
"There is no holding agreement, it was a direct negotiation," said Ashtonis. He defended the deal because NOC and its partners would finance the project, adding that NOC's share of production would increase after 10 years.
an impact on food security, on public health, on the economy, on livelihood, trade - and also biodiversity.
Ashtonis are estimated by 'doubt to reduce the number of people and at global health spending, even though the majority of human television diseases have animal origins. A fifth or more of global livestock production was lost to preventable diseases and the world.
More than 16000 chickens in 14 countries have died since last year from bird flu or calls in response to it. The virus has spread to animals, including cattle, dolphins and domestic pets, making them it a small exchange genetic disorder with the existing genotypes and become readily transmissible to an illiterate human.
In the US, 1000 of millions of farm-have been called, with egg prices meeting the same rate of 1000.
Weak was working with countries to reduce obstacles to worldwide against bird flu, which could be a good prevention method "to cause situations", booksyear said.

Wednesday 16 August 2024
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
7
Maintaining altitude Airlines reluctant to lower fares despite easing fuel costs as they seek to claw back Iran war losses ◇ PAGE 8
PETER WILLIS - NEW YORK DAVID, YOUNG - LONDON BLAZAR - WASHINGTON
Walt Disney has sued the US media watchdog, accusing the Trump administration of launching a 'retaliatory campaign' against the group's ABC television networks over the context of its broadcasts.
The lawsuit is US federal court-marks the latest acclaimers in a new between Disney and the Federal Communications Commission, after the regulator in April ordered a review of all broadcast television stations owned by Disney for violations of rules including 'terrorist discrimination'.
The FCC's uncaptating election long-time ABC talk show The View had vis-
lated rules requiring broadcasters to give equal articles to opposing political candidates.
Disney said in a complaint in Washington District Court yesterday that through the FCC, the Trump administration "has waged a retaliatory campaign against ABC for a single season, a disagreement of what ABC broadcasts".
Trump has repeatedly called for the FCC to revoke ABC's licenses.
Disney has asked the court to declare that early licence renewal applications constitute 'retaliatory action' of Disney's rights under the First Amendment to the US constitution, which guarantees free speech.
'Again and again, the administration has attacked ABC's speech – the stories in jeopardizing expert and the viewpoints its network programmes are,' it said.
ABC's legal issues includes Paul Clement, a prominent conservative lawyer and former US-ukraine general. In his argument more than 100 cases before the Supreme Court, notching up victories on gun rights and religious freedoms, but has more recently defended law from being Trump smokers and Federal hoaxed on the face of talk, whose Trump tried to fire.
The FCC did not respond to a request for comment.
Disney has surprised many in the media industry with its resolve in building against the former review by the FCC, accusing the regulator of trying to intimidate broadcasters into self-connecting. The stations' licence renewal is now not scheduled before 2028.
Herodian Car, the Trump appointed FCC chief, in April ordered a review of the broadcast television stations owned by ABC. The move came about a week after a joke told by Jimmy Kimmel about 'Early Trump' looking like an expectant widow was delivered days before a shooting took place at the White House on August 26th.
This caused the US president to call on ABC to fire its law under the First Amendment to Disney review was related to Kimmel in an IT interview this year.
Disney has settled disputes with the administration in the past, taking Kimmel off the air for about a week after Carr publicly attacked his comments made in the aftermath of the killing of conservative activists Charlie Orth.
Disney also paid out $2 billion to settle a lawsuit by Trump against ABC's 2024 CBI settled a 60 Minutes lawsuit in July 2023 brought by Trump over CBI's sitting of a Karmal-Morris interview.
Meanwhile, CBI on Monday said that a personal attack by the White House against one of its senior correspondents was 'honored the office and inconsistent with the principles of a free press.'

Safer switch: OpenAI will use stated age and a 'combination' of usage signals to determine under the 'retaliatory' version.
CROTHA CROSS - SAN FRANCISCO
OpenAI will restrict teenagers to a new version of ChatGPT with greater moral health safeguards and features to encourage critical thinking as it responds to a backlash over the effects of teen-manageable.
The $812Bm start-up surrealize-off-out the dedicated ChatGPT for $1 in 17-year-olds globally yesterday, with stricter controls on image generation and content regarding self-harm, violence, eating disorders and sex.
The move comes as OpenAI faces multiple lawsuits from families who claim their children were harmed by using ChatGPT as it grows up for a potentially record-breaking initial public offering in the next year.
Scrutiny of AIA effects on young people comes as countries, including the UK, more towards home on social media for under-the- consumer that typically exclude AI chatbots but have
raised pressure on tech companies. OpenAI has been used by the health of Adam Raine, a 16-year-old from California who died by suicide after discussing nothing for the wife's last GPT, which provided detailed instructions, according to court documents.
Frontiers of Children Edited on the mass shooting at a school in Franklin Bldg., Canada, in February have also sued OpenAI, after it emerged the teenage disaster had discussed violent intentions with ChatGPT months before the attack. The account was banned, but the company did not contact law enforcement.
The 2024 country's heartbreaking ... One incident came many," said Commissioner, head of youth and later live at OpenAI. "Safety work is work that's never done ... You can use the bags under my eyes," pious added on an interview. "We are constantly learning and improving around how we identify when a teen is having a
hard time and our or them the right resources that they need."
ChatGPT has generated controls that used safety notifications to high-risk situations, such as if a child is decaming suicide or self-harm. The new version for teens adds notifications on eating disorders and violence.
"It is a balance between a teen's right to get a car and [the] severity of the harm itself," pious said. OpenAI's policy bars children under 17 from the chatbot and requires parental consent for more under 18. It will use a son's stated age alongside "a combination of signals" about usage to decide when to prevent the teen's victim.
ChatGPT for teens will stuer them towards educational applications and include more frequent break reminders and "giant hours". "Aimee sources parents can set where ChatGPT is blocked. Jesus said 90 per cent of teens see ChatGPT and 100 learning. Edward Luce page 21
DANIEL ASIN - LONDON
Kevin Lamson, a senior Fifa official who criticised president Gianni Infantino's new elected plan to sell shares, a new commercial entity to private investors, has left world landfails governing body.
Lamson, Fifa chief operating officer since 2024, has left the World Cup organizer works after urging football's leaders to block Infantino's proposal to raise more than $4bn from investors.
Infantino shelved the plan following a fierce backlash from football confederations, politicians, players and fans, as well as Lamson.
Infantino has wanted calls for his resignation after fighting to stay in the job at the Switzerland-based non-profit organization about 4 next year's Fifa presidential election.
Unfa, Europe's governing body, has reportedly said to be "bus confidious" in Infantino and threatened to boycott Fifa competitions.
Fifa said it is a statement: "Fifa can confirm that the working relationship between Fifa and Kevin Lamson as Fifa's chief operating officer has ended on the 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's 2024 Fifa's
The Athletic first reported Lamson's visit. Lamson has been approached for comment.
Lamson, who had worked for Unfa, said in a statement last month that he and other Fifa staff had been "deceived" by those who had derived the plan to sell a 20 per cent stake in the proposed commercial entity – known as Fifa Forward Enterprise – at a $100m valuation.
"The project that has sparked so much controversy and debate is not a Fifa project. It is even less a project of Fifa's administration. It is the project of one person," Lamson said, referring to the plan that was championed by Infantino. "What means I hear my job, do you be it. At least I'll drag well tonight?"
Lamson's departure comes after Corine Cordero, an ex-Goldman Sachs banker, resigned last month from his role advising Infantino – saying he opposed the plan to sell a stake in FFE. Cordero was a member of the White House task force on the 2026 World Cup bestselling the US, Canada and Mexico.
The FY first reported the FFE proposal, which was the latest effort to bring more money into Fifa under Infantino's leadership.
BUSINESS INSIGHT
EUROPE
John Gapper
is hard it walk through London without encountering spectacle shops. The proliferation of costs agents has been succeeded by outlets of brands such as Ace & Tate, Mindstone, Cabbita and Jimmy Fairly. They seek to face design and budget-conscious customers from longstanding optical chains such as Specanews and Viano Express.
About 10 such brands are clustered in Sales and Carades Street, and there on Broadway Market is and London, including one branch of Cabbita in a former ed, pie and mash shop. Private equity-backed efforts to take on the industry's leaders, led by Vision Express owner Donald Levetica, are changing some retail districts.
But even some of the people involved are sceptical about the chances of many of these agencies succeeding. "Everyone is following each other and destroying ways. When I see another one opening, I think good luck to you," said Tom Broughton, chief executive of Cabbita, the UK chain he founded in his flat on Cabbita Street 23 years ago.
Broughton was working as a consultant when he conceived the idea for a design bid eyewear brand. "I would go into Specanews and I did not understand why the glasses I wanted did not cost. I really thought I could do a better job," he told me at Cabbita' new head
office and workshop in a former stables near City 14 bus.
He was not alone: the Netherlands brand Ace & Tate was also founded in 2013 in the state that followed Warly Parker. (he pioneering US eyewear brand that started online in 2010 but has 320 branches in the US and Canada. Jimmy Fairly, a French brand founded in 2015, now has 19 UK branches, including 12 around London.
Eyewear is financially affusing, Ensfort, Levetica, which has 16,000 stores under various brands, made operating profits of 6.4bn on sale of 126.8bn last year. It also has a partner ship with Meta to make smart glasses with cameras. Specanews, the biggest UK operator, reported 4.6.6bn in revenues in the year to 9.8bn in a rolling time income.
Anyone who has entered an optician's for an eye test and
felt after spending £400 or more on a pur or glasson will see the potential for competition. Must offer expensive lenses with 15 mm in size
under licence from brands such as Chanel and Nurberry. (hech have been in grade with Enduel, Levetica).
Broughton describes the role of producing a standard frame and optical lenses as "perity line." An estimation that a typical high-stress optical chain will sell a frame for about three times the wholesale cost and licence at up to five times. Cabbita uses 2016 lenses in frames that it designs and produces, offering a pair of spectacles with standard frames for 12/5.
But the costs of building brands and opening sufficient shops to attract a large enough base of such customers are existential. Warly Parker and Ace &
Tate found they could not operate purely as online direct-to-consumer brands and needed brand's networks. This is not like other kinds of retailing it requires optimistists to give most customers eye tests before they can move to buying frozen and frozen.
"It looks like the barrier to entry is low, but it is very high," said Lex van de Vliet, key & Tate chief executive. Its sales were 63.6mn last year and it achieved positive earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for the first time. It now has 91 stores, which he estimates is about 3m, more more than such brands need. "Then, the whole thing is the."
Cabbita has 20 stores, including two in New York, in it is safe scale for that standard. It had revenue of £16.4bn and profits of £7250,000 last year but made a line of £6000,000. Broughton says that Active Partners, the private equity firm that owns a 20 per cent stake in Cabbita for less 20 per cent, wants to keep adding branches but he is reluctant to scale rapidly.
For predicts a shaken of brands burning through private equity capital is an effort to expand. He also believes technology will change the industry, allowing people to try frames virtually using face-scanning apps on their phone, rather than having to do so in person, it has been developing software to offer more products online or through the application.
That is a wise precaution, given the number of brands competing on London's streets. "We'll open the old store in the right place but we want to change the way people buy glasses," Broughton said. Good luck to you, those who have tried before might retract. But the industry remains a tempting target.
jobs.gapper2@com

8
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2024
Big foreign private equity firms avoid investment as Beijing tightens security
ARION WOL KUN - NONE KUNG
the world's biggest buyout firms have avoided new investments in mainland China this year, dropping a dualmaking drought as Beijing tightens scrutiny in foreign investment in sensitive sectors such as AI.
One of the largest global private capital firms, including KHK, Warburg Finance and Blackstone, have made no one publicly disclosed equity investment in China on the first seven months of 2026,
according to an F7 analysis of figures from Foreign and PécitBook.
This company sets just three private equity investments last year and breaks 2024, in a range of how foreign private capital is struggling to get access to the country's fastest-growing companies.
Firms made about a dozen deals in China, including early stage funding, as recently as 2022, according to data from the two providers.
Investors said limited partners, which invest in private funds, might have been ignored by Beijing's intervention in recent deals involving companies with links to China, even as trainees between the United China have noted.
Beijing Stocked Metal-Ellite purchase
of Singapore based, China-founded AI store on the month-end of 2024, from a compound (X) that hasn't plan to sell a portfolio of global port operations, including on the Finance Canal, to a BlackRock. All connections has also been delayed after a lifetime from China authorities.
"A competitive company is to be a barrier to entry," said Kim Sheng Lee, who finally co-head of the Alternative Investment Management Association, an industry group. "US are willing to run much hands, the juice may not be worth the expense."
He added that shifting tax enforcement in China meant some investors were likely to see "similar returns on a better-cut profile closer to home".
Private capital globally has been struggling to find outs on investments with firms adopting creative deals, including secondary sales, to generate returns for investors.
In China last year, the same 10/9 invest firms had an in-partially allocated complete investments from mainland Chinese portfolio companies, hit by concerns over slowing economic growth and higher US interest rates.
Outside China, private equity firms are raising record Asia-focused funds. EOT recently closed the largest dedicated Asia-Pacific private equity fund, worth $10,856, while Blackstone announced in June the closure of a $11,386 indefund.
"Recently if a [western] PE fund raises a big deal fund, worth five per Japan, India and Australia are the focus and China's like 10 per cent," said Bryan Kim, private equity partner at law firm Office of Issues in Young Bang. "The private equity groups are well aware of structural headwinds."
Advisors were seeing deal flows going the other way, he added, and increasingly advising Chinese companies that want deals outside China.
The Asia From PécitBook and Design covers Blackstone, Carlyle, Warburg Finance, TPG, EOT, Bain Capital, African International, KHK, Apollo and CVC. The companies declined to comment on this story.
Carriers keen to protect the
fare increases they introduced
after the start of Iran conflict
PETER CAMPBELL - LONDON
Airlines are letharging a 'stand-off' over whether to cut ticket prices as jet fuel costs that cannot during the Iran war begins soon.
With the industry looking to maximize profitability and a cleanly zero, "they're all buying nobody thinks first and lowers prices, creating an aggressive fare war in late summer bombings," said Nick Lowe at 80%, "it's a stand-off."
Air have remain high, however by two surcharges introduced after the start of the conflict. From carrier cuts, others will be forced to follow to remain competitive, and airlines stung by higher fuel costs are watching its side closely.
"We're a few margin business," said Ken Smith, head of Air France 62,26, pointing to the carrier's single-digit operating margin. "Where we have an opportunity to maintain (growing), we would like to maintain that as new we cost, we add the F5."
The north-west European jet fuel benchmark for $3.9M is reason after the Iran conflict began in February, but has remained volatile and is trading at about $5,300, according to pricing agency Super Media. Invest credit is expected to about $95 a barrel after reaching $5M in March.
European airlines have been partly protected by hedging, unlike their US rivals, which do not help third-largest countries. The US airlines have been left by the sharp rise in fuel, their largest cost, with higher fare that other rates allow long-axis part of the increase.
Passengers, especially those in economy, have historically been incredibly price-sensitive, making it hard for air-hireers to make a little price, and more demand has remained high after the Covid-19 pandemic, and this year there has not been a discernible drop in demand despite there's including up, and no matter.
Ben Winters of Alaska Airlines, which this year opened its first route to London's Heathrow, estimated passengers were "tuckle paying 10 to 20 per cent more" than a year ago. "We're very sensitive and pleased to whether we bid a big deal point with the customer," he said.
Part of this is that air fares have been kept low relative to inflation. "It must of these 20,000 jet airs and to where we are, and fuel goes back to where it



is...it could be very good for the air-food industry that isn't a get-come-put-out citizen," Winters told.
Even low-cost carriers saw the same trend. Malaysia's 10 tests - which does not hedge jet fuel - raises prices by a third, but "demand only dropped about 10 per cent, which was very encouraging," chief executive Tony Fernandez said.
Despite the relatively resilient demand and falling jet fuel crises, some airlines are still cutting capacity in a year that the industry's profitability is expected to halve because of the crisis, according to estimates from the latest national Air Transport Association.
Late falling, head of British Airways owner Eric, said: "Pricing is not only linked to fuel prices, it's also about capacity, about demand. We are reducing capacity this year."
Eric - which also owns Bents, Vueling and Ayr Lingus - is considering its capacity levels for the final months of the year. "Others are doing the same, so at the end, the pricing is going to be related to the capacity that we have in the market," he said.
Some airlines that compete directly with Gulf carriers - which are under way aggressive on pricing - are using their direct costing as an edge to maximize ticket prices.
Air France 62.10 and, below, Air Lingus, Airlines stung by higher fuel costs on watching rivals
closely to see who will jump first on price at the end of the year.
—Vernon B. F. (International Business Association)
"Pricing is not only linked to fuel price, it's also about
capacity, about demand. We are reducing capacity this year."
For example, European passengers were still willing to pay a premium by directly to Australia - albeit often with a third step - compared with Singaporean cheaply and changing doses in the Gulf, said Jordan chief Vanessa Hudson.
Some in the low-cost market believe price-cutting could be a chance to keep up customers. Airfares plans to cut prices back to 5 per cent above its per-war levels. "We want to go back to where they were," said Hernando.
In order to recover some of the losses from the jump in fuel prices, the carrier will want to keep losses elevated for a while, but "we're going to be leading down enough about kind of lower (per-war) fares," he said.
Ultrandis, most of the airlines' decisions on how will be directly competitive, from traditional price that stand down to Gulf crisis and a European and Latin Airways that are cutting fares to cost back customers.
The Gulf airlines were "extremely aggressive," said Smith at Air France 61.40.
"Their need to attract visitors to the region rather than make a profit meant they did not 'always act rationally,' he added, complicating the senior efforts in balancing the books during a twelve-year. 'We have to deal with them as well.'"
CYR BANDERSON
Nvidia has agreed to provide a more than $100bn backstop for a huge new OpenAI data centre in Ohio than is being developed alongside a SoftBank-led energy company, in one of the biggest 8,168 international dual-part.
The 16,168 product of this record (8,186 into 98 foreign, an energy company founded as part of the SoftBank Group in 2010) is currently owned on data centre development after striking a $5bn alliance with OpenAI customers.
It is the latest example of how Big Tech groups technology Nvidia, Google and Amazon are using their balance counters allly with OpenAI and Anthropic, Setting hundreds of billions of dollars that demand for AI services will continue to surge in the coming years.
OpenAI plans to lease as much as it gigsends of AI computing power at the P4WTS-Pilot Technology Campus in Pike County, Ohio, which will take until 2032 to complete. The OpenAI's master said the first 800 megamixs was expected to come within in 2026, as it has its current new version 4x5mm to feel its growth. 88 Energy will build, one and operate the data centre, with OpenAI taking a 20-year lease to become its main customer.
"We expect to see this capacity to
meet growing demand for advanced AI and maintain user load as the frontier AI research laboratory in general of our mission," OpenAI said, adding that the 10bn project would help to "establish the data centre as a model for future next-gen supercomputer design".
Nvidia will provide credit support for the "next-points and shell" to the last-try support at $100bn, a staff as a regulatory filing, to developing the development of the property, energy and warehouse that will house more than 1mm of its AI chips. One condition of Nvidia's all-glasses is that the 10bn facility will be ready to begin operating in 2026.
The Nvidia lease has been off-fully a good age of Energy raise tens of billions of dollars of financing to build the project, according to a proven familiar with the matter. As the data centre was completed, OpenAI would purchase the project from Nvidia on a large financing to free the chips in a separate deal, the present said.
OpenAI could turn to the financing platforms. Nvidia unveiled last week, which aim to bring together more than $100bn to capital home a consortium of Gulf States that is a fuel AI infrastructure development.
Jennon Huang, Nvidia's chief executive, denied that the latest arrangement with OpenAI and 98 Energy announced to "forget it rewarding" the report is a blog post that the world's most valuable company was using its "code and long-term visibility" to facilitate the build-out.
"CPE [Data] power and shell] has become a critical constraint on AI factory deployment," Huang said. "Nvidia is selectively securing exceptional sites where we can host multiple generations of Nvidia computer and serve durable customer demand."
Additional report by Ryan McWernan
KELL A KUNNE
Klarna is searching for a New York-based finance chief as part of a wider leadership effort up at the "last seen, just what" of a new firm in India to become a regularized bank in the US.
The US-based finance yesterday said its current chief financial officer "Nobu Nagita and chief marketing officer (tuna) Sandarim would step down from their roles at the start of next year.
"Having a stronger presence in New York is important to us," said chairman, other industrial organizations, in reference to the company's decision to take a New York based offer. "We think it's also helpful to be close to the investor relations community and the stock market."
Klarna announced the leadership overhaul alongside its second quarter earnings, in which it posted fewer guidance for the core on the bank of modern retail spending in Germany. Shares fell
just over a $5B) yesterday in New York, giving the group a market capitalization in about $5B.
The Swedish company was founded by Broadstored and has been the basis to the popularity of its been that let customers split respectively into between four of its most ambitious firms.
The share price fell despite Klarna reporting a second investment profile: his quarter with net income of $9mn, compared with a net loss of $25mn in the same period last year, Revenue grew 27 per cent year on year-to-date $3bn.
The company said it was now expecting gross merchandise volumes - the latest value of the transaction is present - to be between $149bn and $121bn for the full year, below previous expectations of $100bn.
A blamed lower retail spending in Germany, its largest market by volume, and a $600mn led from exchange rates for the lower guidance.
The guidance cut covers as Klarna
attending a transformation of its business model that would see it narrower into a brand and bank, while earnings and traditional interest-bearing investments.
Its share price has roughly halved since September last year, where listed $100bn.
The company applied for a US banking licence to July with the Total Report, most of Financial Institutions and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, it is already regulated as a bank in Europe but the US is its largest growth market.
Klarna has said it wants to "despere" its relationship with customers by offering them a wider range of financial products in the second quarter, average revenue per active customer increased 10 per cent year on year to $53.7 in more consumers and its debit and, in a different form and subscription module. Broadstored, said Nagita and hard action "helped shape what Klarna is."
VERITY BETS, PIPE - LONDON
Exxon has moved Africa to build a liquidated natural gas plant in Shaman, Kenya, as Middle East conflict features the case for projects outside the region.
The development of the Revenue 1,500 million of exxon's production in the 1st year investment contracts for equipment, Exxon said in a statement, in the clearest signal yet that the long-delayed project will go ahead.
We have the facility had been on hold since the massacre of 600 people by islander militants working in some control of the nearby town of China in 2022.
After visiting Ciba-Delgado provisions this month, 150 special supporters from food and a military relations "dear our appear imminent" and the "frequency severity and spread of attacks on civilized" last weekend were the past year.
Security issues in Mozambique, with extreme Ciba-Delgado regions where Exxon's project is based, were
"still scant but manageable", said Alex Thurton, director of global gas and CFC at Republic Energy Group. "The key driver was is largely diversification in the control of underwriters from those in CoCoCom the Middle East Gulf."
The contract marked a "significant milestone" and demonstrates the developed commitment to the project.

Exxon's statement said, Exxon is the operator of Revenue 1,500, a joint venture backed by Subsecuring's plan that China's CNPC, South Koreanللagen and Abu Dhabi's ISRC, The total project cost is estimated at about $350bn. A food investment decision was to be made in 2023 but Exxon pushed it back to 2026.
In another sign the project will go ahead. Exxon signed a nonfataling map with the 2023 Exxon's report, where it has month with a group of contractors led by Nick's bigram.
Exxon also produces LNG in Papua New Guinea, Australia and Qatar. It carries up production from the major home per year Golden Pass plant in Papua in March alongside Quitell energy, Revenue will produce roughly the same volume of LNG at Indian Pan.
Chief executive Darren Wende said at the end of the first Exxon war, "describing our production away from the Middle East just based on where the opportunity isn't." Alongside Revenue, an investment decision is expected for the Papua project, in which Exxon has a 10 per cent share, by one year of the year.
The Gulf is home to about a third of the world's 1,000 supplies and disruptions to shipping through the third of Revenue have reinforced the case for developing supplies outside the region.
Wednesday, 19 August 2024
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FINANCIAL TIMES
9
COMPANIES & MARKETS
Fears for investment but Berlin insists higher mandatory insurer discounts will save €12bn by 2050
FLORIDA HOLLER - FRANKFURT
AARON KREPP - LONDON
Europe's biggest drugmakers have warned that Germany's attempts to curb healthcare costs will undermine one of the country's few remaining globally competitive industries and could further grow in the United China.
The comments from executives at groups such as Brexit-Kiosk and Boehringer highlights some after lawmakers approved plans to save billions of euros through measures including increasing compulsory discounts on some drugs for the statutory health insurance system that serves most of the nation's workers.
The German group, with press across Europe, say the plans will deter investment in the country, the world's key exporter of pharmaceutical products, just as a global race to attract owners's and manufacturing in accelerating.
Churchills-Friedrich-Morris-Immer is car mounting deficits in Germany's health insurance system could bust drugmakers at a time when the Trump administration is seeking to ensure prices charged in the US are comparable with those in other developed nations.
The industry is "increasingly viewed primarily as a cost factor within the health care system", said Paul Beckmann, chief executive of Merck, which has invested €1.5bn at its Darmstadt headquarters over the past decade.
"Given the increasing number of network conditions, it is becoming increasingly difficult to justify such investments over the long term."
The health ministry argues the cutters necessary to close a projected financing gap of €19bn next year while avoiding a sharp increase in health insurance contributions. Alongside higher rebates, the government wants to limit growth in hospital costs, raise patient co-potential and restrict services to healthy insurance.
Germany's health ministry has estimated that doubling the mandatory manufacturer rebate on potential medicines from 7 to 8.5 per cent will save health insurance from €19bn by 2050.
But drugmakers say any savings from the measures will be modest and come at the cost of weaker investment and innovation, threatening a sector that is lower to some of the world's largest pharmaceutical companies, including Bayer, Niche and Soft Pack.
The warnings come on Germany's traditional industrial strengths are under pressure. Its car makers and chemical groups are cutting into of thousands of jobs as they contract with high domestic costs, weak global demand and intensifying competition from Chinese rivals.
Germany's pharmaceutical experts reached a record €116.4bn last year, accounting for 7.4 per cent of the nation's sales abroad and generating a trade surplus of almost 45.3bn, about one-fifth of Germany's total.
While groups in Kuling-Danil, Roche, Dialk® funders and Sirton Pharma announced plans to invest more than €4bn in Germany in the past three years, some indicators suggest the country's competitive position in weakening.
Private companies conducted and funded 500 trials in Germany last year, down from 614 a decade ago, according to industry body the Verheed-Frechender-Armenreiterbersteller (VFA).

Germany loses ground in clinical trials
Number of interventional clinical trials per country

Source: VFA > 2020 data is unpublished
Nation's healthcare spending falls far short of US
As share of GDP, 2023 (Q)

Source: UNITA > 2020 data is unfounded on project team
A lab technician at a Merck-Mück laboratory. The group has invested €1.5bn at its Darmstadt headquarters over the past decade
Once the world's largest location for each trial, after the US, Germany has slipped to fifth position behind China, Spain and Australia.
Companies are also promoting fewer products in Europe's largest economy, suggesting a lack of confidence that they will recommend high enough prices to justify the costs of development.
Consultancy Charles River Associates said US, as a third, of 320 new medicines approved by the US Food and Drug Administration between 2016 and 2023 were not marketed in Germany.
VFA president Han-Stood said government policies were "weakening Germany's competitiveness" just as investment decisions were being made "in direct competition with the US, China and other European locations".
Waching isn't proposed "most domestic nation" pricing policy, introduced last year to lower US drug prices, could discourage companies from face-flung drug-in-martens such as Germany's three medication in cheaper. US prices were on average three times higher than Germany's in 2022, while healthcare spending accounted for 15.6 per cent of US GDP last year, compared with 12.7 per cent in Germany.
Medical Schermanschers, Germany head of Boehringer Ingelheim, said the company had been "aceptized" by the
legislation and would cancel some planned investments. The decision also reflected the public controversy over Europe's policy direction, he said.
Boehringer said in June, ahead of the legislation, it was cancelling about €900mn in planned investments for Germany until 2030. Schermanschers said the decision reflected "the absence of long-term framework conditions".
"We need to invest more in the US and into China where we see a rapid development of innovation," he said. "We need to see innovation valued, or we don't see those investments coming back to Germany or Europe."
In June, US-based EU-Life said it was halving a planned €2.3bn investment in a new weight loss and diabetes drug manufacturing device (dary).
Swiss group Roche, which says it has created 2,800 jobs in Germany and invested about €1.8bn since 2020, said it was placing "all future investment decisions" in Germany on hold.
The company told the FTH that the new low "imposes a substantial burden on Germany's research-based pharmaceutical industry and sends a negative-éguable companies seeking to invest".
Benoît-Crevoun, managing director of Dialk® funders Germany, said while the Japanese drugmaker would press ahead with plans to invest €3bn in its Phalen-
The new low 'sends a negative signal to companies seeking to invest' in Germany
bolus production and development, it was questionable if it would make the same decision under Germany's "current framework".
BioNTech, one of Germany's biggest biotechnology success stories, said extending proposed savings for insurers to preventive medicines and vaccines sent "a signal that prevention, including vaccines, is becoming less important".
Like many of its peers, BioNTech chose to list on the Nasdaq in 2019 rather than Frankfurt because of the deeper pool of specialist investors. It relies on US dealerships to fund growth – BioNTech's landmark 2023 collaboration with Bristol-Myers Aquil® is worth up to $5.2bn – while increasingly turning to China for new medicines. It plans to close three out of four German sites that were sent to supply Covid-19 vaccines outside the US.
BioNTech's founders, physicians Ujer Jafala and Debra Viteva, are planning to leave the company this year and establish an independent business developing the next generation of mRNA technologies. They have not decided if their new venture will be based in Germany.
The country "is not competitive as a production hub any more," said Peter Golubchmidt, chief executive of generic drugmaker Hacks. "You can't have the lowest tenders and the highest costs."
Technology
MICHAEL ACTOR - SAFFRAN/2022
Apple has acknowledged for the first time that regulatory changes brought in finance control of its App Store are weighing on its news than 800Kro service business, a new connection that unthreat action is during one of the company's most profitable divisions.
The iPhone maker reported services revenue and margins below Wall Street expectations this month and warned in its latest things that a "may not save a commission at all" on purchases made through alternative payment systems.
The disclosure is the element sign yet that years of court rulings and regulatory intervention in the US, Europe and elsewhere are starting to evade the commission for other end-ups, Apple's high-margin service business.
New research backs up that trend. Sensor Tower-based US consumer spending through the App Store fell 4 per cent in the second quarter, compared with 9 per cent growth a year earlier, while Appfigures estimated that Apple's US commission revenue has contracted 18 per cent this year.
US$ analyst David Vogt described slowing App Store growth as a "concert", while Bank of America's Wamai Hokura said service revenue of $300.7m was a record but still "somewhat weaker than we expected".
Apple had attributed the division's performance to several factors, including foreign exchange movements. But chief Busse led office Kevast Panikhalov acknowledged that recent changes to the App Store had hit the business.
The company reported services revenue of $50.7bn in the prior quarter, below analysts' expectations of $25.4bn, while the division's gross margin of 75.4 per cent also missed forecasts, according to Valdie Alpha, Apple shares full about 9 per cent after the results.
Courts and regulators around the world have forced Apple to booze its control over app payments and distribution, undermining the commission fees of up to 30 per cent it charges on digital purchases and subscriptions made within apps.
A US court injunction won by Epic Games last year forced Apple to allow app developers to direct users to alternative payment methods outside the App Store without charge, by posing its traditional commission.
Sensor Tower said the US slowdown reflected how consumer spending inside the App Store had been "significantly impaired" by the ruling.
Global consumer spending through the App Store was just 3 per cent year on year in the June quarter, down from 15 per cent growth a year earlier, according to Sensor Tower. The research group said weaker consumer spending and macroeconomic uncertainty might also have weighed on demand.
Apple argues its tight control of iPhone apps is necessary to protect users. But regulators in the EU, South Korea and Brazil have required this company to open iPhone in alternative app stores or payment methods, while similar charges are being pursued in the UK and Australia.
The EU last year fixed Apple €300mn over alleged breaches of its Digital Markets Act, a decision the company is appealing against.
Apple declined to comment.
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10
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FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2024
Former Tesco boss Lewis's slimline tonic designed to lift profits at spirits maker
PHILIP STAPFORD
Diageo shrunk its workforce by almost 2,000 people in its past financial year as new chief executive Sir Steve Lewis embarks on an aggressive cost-cutting plan designed to boost profits at the world's largest spirits group.
The maker of Guinness and Johnnie Walker had an average of 27,918 full-time employees in the year to June, a drop of more than a per cent from the 25,000 workers a year ago, according to its annual report published yesterday. The company made no further comment on the reduction in staff.
Despite the reduction on headcount, Diageo reported that average staff costs rose from $2.44bn to $2.10bn in the same period.
The UK government increased the rate of employees' national insurance and lowered the threshold at which companies start paying the contribution in April 2023.
Lewis, the former boss of supermarket chain Tesco who was nicknamed "Drank Show" for his record of cost-cutting, is resisting Diageo as it struggles with a downturn in spirits consumption over the past few years.
After a pandemic era boom in consumption, health-conscious consumers have cut back on drinking while persistent inflation has driven up the price of alcoholic drinks.
Since taking over in January, Lewis
has pledged to stem several years of profit declines by cutting titles in costs over the next three years. The move is expected to result in thousands more job cuts as Diageo as it implements a redesigned operating model and overhauls its supply chain.
While the company has not confirmed how many jobs will be cut as a result of the restructuring, analyses have forecast the total could be between 3,000 and 5,000. Lewis has already overhauled regional management teams and instructed his top executives to cut headcount and other costs in their departments.
The group aims to deliver less single-
Cost cuts will free up cash to invest in mass-market brands such as Smirnoff and Captain Morgan
digit organic sales growth and mid single digit growth in operating profit over the mediastorm.
The cost cuts will free up cash to invest in mass-market brands such as Smirnoff and Captain Morgan, which Lewis's predecessors had deprioritised to focus on premium drinks. Diageo is also pushing into faster growing ready-to-drink cannot occlude.
This month, the company reported revenues of $350bn in the year ending June 30, a 2 per cent drop on an organic basis. Operating profits fell 27 per cent to $3.2bn, 3th by $900mn of restructuring charges and a $1.2bn impairment linked to its businesses Turkey.

A Hugo Boss stars an Oxford Street. The group told investors it would soon unveil a strategy targeting profitable growth
Billionaire Mike Ashley's Frasers Group has accumulated close to a 48 per cent stake in Hugo Boss, as the UK retail group accelerates its push into the world of luxury.
The German fashion group's month ago urged shareholders to reject Frasers' €2.7bn takeover offer, which lapsed last week.
The UK group launched its €30-a share offer for Hugo Boss in June to acquire the roughly 75 per cent of the company. It did not already own. At the time, Frasers sought to push its stake beyond 50 per cent, a threshold at which suitors are legally required in Germany to make an offer to all remaining shareholders. By July, it had reached 58 per cent.
Stephan Harris, chair of Hugo
Boss's supervisory board, said yesterday that the company looked forward to "a constructive relationship with them as our single largest shareholder".
"We appreciate Frasers Group's continued long-term commitment to Hugo Boss," he said in a statement.
Frasers scaled the acquisition of Harvey Nichols for about £40mn last week, and it has built stakes in British luxury brands Burberry and Mulberry.
The UK group last month warned Hugo Boss that it would vote against dividend payments, arguing the German company should instead focus its capital on expanding the business.
In response, Hugo Boss told investors it would soon unveil a strategy targeting profitable growth.
Stephanie Pablos in London
BATU RING — LONDON
The founder of Liverpool-based Signature Group has been banned as a director, works after the UK fraud agency closed its probe into the collapsed property group.
Lawrence Kenwright has been banned from acting as a company director until 2015, after investors lost £4.6mn from a Signature subsidiary that "distributed false and misleading marketing material," the UK insolvency Service said yesterday.
"Lawrence Kenwright's failures as a company director had serious consequences for investors," said Kevin Read, chief investigator at the insolvency Service.
"While Kenwright is not accused of direct fraud, his conduct nevertheless falls well below the standards we expect of company directors."
Kenwright could not be reached for comment.
Signature Works Gold add desk space to investors at three Liverpool properties. The company would not suit working space to the public with the income intended to fund returns to investors. However, investor returns stopped being paid after September 2019, the insolvency Service said.
Kenwright settled, signing an agreement that he did not dispute his oathness as a director, days before he was due to appear he tried, according to the government agency.
The disqualification comes after the UK Review Fraud Office said in July that it had closed its investigation into an alleged £34.9mn property fraud at Signature Group, stating that there was "no realistic prospect of conviction". The 1971 arrested four people in raids in 2024.
Kenwright, 66, has been the director of almost 100 companies, including more than 60 under the Signature brand, said the insolvency Service.

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Wednesday 10 August 2024
FINANCIAL TIMES
11
COMPANIES & MARKETS
Unproved technology has yet to deliver consistent revenues amid hypercyclic criticism
RANDY HODGSON — LONDON
Short sellers have reaped large profits from betting against small modular nuclear reactor companies as the collapse of the “hyper cycle” that had seen their share prices reacting wipes billions off their market value.
Fourth mode an estimated $2.2bn shorting three stocks — US-listed Nichole Power, Nano Nuclear and Nano Micron-backed 1Mhz — over the past year, according to data provider US Partners.
The three companies, which are less-making and have little or no revenue, surged last year as investors raced to capitalise on growing interest in nuclear energy among AI hyperscalers looking for new sources of power.
Regulatory changes and funding announcements from the Trump administration also helped the sector.
As a total of $50, first tax have wiped off their collective market value since their peak in October last year amid growing concerns over the lack of immediate revenue and the long-budding timelines for the technology.
“The stocks were overutilized in price, based on speculation,” said Adam Stein, director of nuclear energy innovation at the Brookthrough Institute, a climate and energy think tank.
The sector went through a “livelihood-type cycle” last year, he added. “It’s a very typical of a company that is in this early pre-eminent revenue phase.”
Small modular nuclear reactors are associated from methods built in factories to save time and money — and product about 300 companies or less of power compared with more than 1,000,000 for traditional reactors.
Only two commercial 1Mhz are currently operable — in-house and Clean — with more than 40 designs in various stages of development.
A key test of investor appetite towards the nuclear sector is expected.
What we have seen in 2025 seems to me like an industry bubble that is already deflating:
in the coming weeks when Hohes International and Westeley have two US-based companies with 1MM divisions, are expected to be.
Short sellers have piled into bets against the groups based on a view that their share over to unattainable levels, since by a limited supply of publicly traded stocks and a loss on the potential demand from AI, rather than the time and capital expenditure required to communicate the technology.
“In the one hand there was some support from the government and no one wants to bet against Trump, and on the other there was the whole AI (demand) story which everyone was really bullish about [last year],” said Christian Petz.

Losmaking: Sam Altman-backed 1Mhz builds a small modular reactor site in the US state of Idaho
founder and chief executive of investment firm ARB Investment Partners, who had previously shorted 1Mhz but has since unwound that position.
About 18 per cent of 1Mhz and Nalcalix outstanding shares remain out on loan — a price for short selling — while almost 30 per cent of Nancy are on loan, according to McPilshed Market Intelligence.
Meanwhile, N. energy has shot 85.8bn in market value since the surge that hit lowest its initial public offering in April.
Short sellers have earned an estimated 50.7mn from bets against the company since mid-May, according to US Partners.
The company, which is backed by Amazon and Xtra G4Plus and has yet to receive full regulatory approval from R&D in helium cooled reactor, has 9 per cent of its share and on loan.
“The sentiment has changed this year, people are far more critical,” said Petz.
These companies “have almost zero revenue for the foreseeable future and, on top of that, there are very high capex [capital expenditure] requirements,” he added.
Demand for energy in the US is set to our own the company that is a good due to the capex of response to power—honey a data center for AI hyperscalers.
According to data from Bloomberg 2024, US data center power demand is set to 2000 from 34.7 gigabytes in 2024 to 5000 W by 2033.
Big Tech is increasingly turning to the emergent 1Mhz technology to meet its future power needs.
In January, Meta struck a deal with 1Mhz and Bill Gates-backed TerraPower, to which it agreed it made an upfront cash injection to support development of the reactor technology.
The Trump administration usually backed the nuclear sector last year, pledging to cut out tape and invest tens
of billions of dollars to build new reactors and reopen old ones to generate the energy needed to “win” the global AI race.
In June, the Department of Energy announced $15.5bn of loans to help rebuild the US nuclear supply chain.
However, it matters the delivery of the unproved reactors remain uncertain. Analysts at BHP Poulhas have expressed concern over shortages of high-savvy low- and low-latations, a special type of nuclear fuel vital for 1Mhz.
The earliest more will come online is mid-to-fate 2028. If manufacturers are able to spend up delivery while also satisfying regulators, although the majority will arrive during the 2030s, said Michael De Brouil/drought business.
Nichole, which reported a $96.7mn loss in the first half of 2024, faces a shareholder share action toward a 20thping that it misled investors, to which it must respond by September 8. It is
building a modular light water reactor based on a more conventional pressurized water design.
Nano Nuclear — whose interreactors are in the development stage — had not reported any revenue until the second quarter of this year when it bought a revenue-generating nuclear logistics company called Incarcel Transporation Systems.
Nano Nuclear reported an operating loss of $15.4bn for the quarter.
Ohio hopes to deliver commercial power to customers from its liquid sodium rather than water-cooled nanostructures.
US energy secretary Chris Wright was previously issued a number 3 has yet to secure a full license from the US nuclear regulator to build and operate its reactor.
“What we have seen in 2023 seems to me like an industry bubble that is already deflating,” said Stephen Eggert, chief executive of activist short seller (which is 2000), who has no short positions against the companies.
“Unless most knowledgeable investors understand for a while (i.e. the valuations seemed rather extended given the timeline of this industry,” he added.
Nano Nuclear said the rise or fall in the share price of companies said little about the success of the underlying business and disputed the “hyper cycle” characterizations.
Ohio said the company had made “tangible progress” over the past year and expected commercial operation of its Amore contract to begin in 2028.
Nalcalix and X energy declined to comment.
Billions have been chipped off the value of US-listed SPHE companies

Short sellers remain strongly positioned against US SPHE stocks

Our global home gives you market-running news and views. Or here's a few. NuanMarkets
PAT CLARK — LONDON
BHP, the world's largest mining group, reported booming growth for the year to June as copper overtrunk iron ore as its primary profit driver for the first time on an annual basis.
The Australian company said profits generated from its copper mines was by 40 per cent in 2020s.
That accounted for 34 per cent of its total underlying earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortization of $2.8bn — up 27 per cent over the previous US country period.
BHP raised its dividend for the year to $1.72 — a 34 per cent increase and the highest for four years. Net profit increased 9 per cent in 2020s while over the previous US market in 2020s.
“Copper is the region that is driving BHP’s growth,” said chief executive Brandon Craig, who was presenting his first annual results after being provided with the this year to take over from Mike Storey.
BHP shares closed 2.4 per cent higher in Sydney yesterday, bringing the rise this year to almost 40 per cent and sub-ington company at $230bn.
Glyn Lawcock, an analyst with the subject, said copper earnings growth had recorded expectations and effect a slightly weaker iron ore and coal performance.
Demand for copper has been driven by increased investments in data centers and energy networks. BHP reports that annual copper demand will increase to 30mn tonnes by 2030 from the current 34mn tonnes.
BHP, which mixes copper in South America and South Australia, has also benefited from the reproduces mixed

BHP's Olympic from copper and uranium mine in South Australia
strengths the red metal, with revenue generated from gold, silver and uranium up 41 per cent to 94.5bn in last year. The mines described copper as its “biggest growth opportunity,” and said the cash generated by its existing operations meant it could fund growth projects.
BHP failed to take over Anglo-America and/or Storey and was this work linked to interest in Canadian uranium miner Norbert Energy.
The company already supplies 1 per cent of the world's uranium fuel (long half) consumed in hypodates.
Although he did not comment on takeover speculation, the chief executive said BHP was “pretty happy” with its four core commodities of copper, low-ore, palatable intramolecular fuel.
Moreover, Craig said the return on organic projects remained superior to mergers and acquisitions.
The cost per tonne of BHP's existing projects ranged from $10,000 to $50,000 compared with about $600,000 to acquire a poor-plus-copper position, he said. “That’s almost falling a 1-to-1 factor building it compared to buying it.”
See Law
RUDY FORDRICK — FRANKFURT
A correction in US technology stocks is likely and could threaten European financial stability, even if it eventually lives up to investment leaps, a team of European Central Bank economists has warned.
In a post published on the ECB's blog, the researchers wrote that a puffback in the tech sector did not necessarily need to be driven by irrational exuberance and “should be expected over 6 current value/iron are rational.”
The warning matters for Europe despite most of the tech stock gains of recent years happening in US markets.
Euro area households have about 4,000,000 responses to 10 tech equities according to the economists, largely through investment funds, while insurance and pension funds also have significant exposure to the so-called Magellan and Seven megamagnetic stocks.
US statutes area stock markets have historically been highly correlated, leaving European investors vulnerable to a Wall Street crash, the economists added.
A “US AI fallout would not remain a
US problem” that could become “a question of financial stability for the euro area”; they wrote, adding that a stock market crash combined with “broader market instability” would be particularly dangerous.
The tech factory Nasdaq 100 Index said all last month had less since rebounded to near its record high.
The economists compared the AI
The market valuations of firms that adopted transformative technology have strongly before falling
investment boom with previous investment driven investment females such as the 19th-century railway boom, the expansion of electricity and radio in the 1920s and the telecom era at the turn of this century.
“In such case, a genuinely transformative technology attracted investment and the stock market valuations of firms that adopted it rose strongly before falling sharply,” the economists wrote.
They argued that such technological breakthroughs caused “nervous uncertainty” because the overall impact on the economy was initially unclear.
At an early stage of a breakthrough innovation, pioneering stocks such as Nvidia proved major opportunities for early investors, who in the first case can make large gains but in the worst case may lose off their investment.
“This ‘option value’ increases the stock valuations of early adopters, causing their price to earnings ratios to rise sharply,” the economists wrote.
However, this change in the head-up success and spreads through the wider economy. The uncertainty surrounding the breakthroughs in changing them shifts from individual companies to the economy in a while.
“If something they goes wrong with that technology, the whole economy suffers,” they argued.
Although successful adoption of AI can boost profits, the increase in the tech premium pushes stock market valuations to the opposite directions, meaning share prices can eventually fall — even if the technology itself succeeds.
12
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FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday, 10 August 2026
The debate under way over the US Federal Reserve's strategy and toolkit is to be a key to the situation well beyond America given that changes in the Fed's approach tend to shape market behaviour and thinking elsewhere.
What have added another the European Central Bank should also review in winter on the issuance of forward guidance on monetary policy as the Fed is doing now.
This is therefore a good moment to set out the European experience of the real and they are to take into the life.
Notably, the two economies differ meaningfully on one key variable – the equilibrium (or “natural”) real rate of interest – the rate consistent with output at potential and stable inflation.
This is structurally higher in the US than in the next wave, a gap that may be reinforced by America's AI-driven investment boom. Central estimates put the rate at its initial level into close to zero. Combined with the ECB's 2 per cent inflation target, this implies external neutral rate of about 2 per cent.
US estimates vary more widely but are clearly higher, implying a nominal neutral rate in the 1 to 2 per cent range.
The practical consequences matter for monetary policy. The Fed normally has more room to cut rates before encountering the effective “lower bound” level where further reductions are ineffective at best and can be counter-productive. The ECB has less.
Forward guidance therefore retains particular value in Europe as a potential substitute for international rate rate when monetary policy is constrained.
The ECB has reviewed its monetary policy strategy twice in recent years, in
2020-21 and in 2025. During taken part in both processes, I draw one conclusion: the ECB should preserve forward guidance as an instrument while not tying its bank memorandry.
The 2025 strategy was designed also along period of accurately low inflation and rates due to their effective lower bound. It was then briefly a question, as energy crisis, the charged inflation surge in a generation and rapid distribution. Yet its core architecture held up.
A symmetric 2 per cent inflation target provided a thinnumber for operations while a medium term orientation allowed policy to look through checks.
and act forcefully when rising prices became material sustained about.
Forward guidance had meanwhile proved its worth during the preceding low inflation years, noting financing conditions by slowing bond yields when rates were stuck at the lower bound.
Hy but now, one area inflation was back at target. But not far long. The bias was triggered another energy shock, pushing inflation above 2 per cent again – a reminder that double can recur with little warning and an argument for keeping the full toolkit.
The 2025 assessment reaffirmed the main principles of the strategy while drawing lessons from the परियोजना since 2025. When rates are near the lower bound, forward guidance can provide further accommodation even when

there is little room to cut further. We may still, one day, fall into the liquidity trap. There is no law of economics saying the lower bound problem has disappeared for good.
Yet recent experience also showed the danger of taking guidance too far. The problem arises when communication barriers into commitment – and commitment into a rigid sequence of actions. That can trap policymakers if circumstances change rapidly.
The ECB felt this tension in 2023 when earlier guidance has linked rate rises to the end of net asset purchases known as quantitative trading. At inflation rose rapidly, its governing council followed a larger Net rate rise in July than it had signalled just weeks earlier.
The lesson is that, in an uncertain economy, preserving freedom of action is not a communication failure but responsible policymaking. That lesson is more explicit in the 2023 strategy.
It also puts greater weight on risk management and economic analysis. All instruments remain in the toolkit but their choice and design should preserve agility. This is a reflection of the 2021 strategy, not a rejection of it.
Flexibility should not be mistaken for best states. In 2023-25, the ECB raised the largest rate by 4.2 percentage points in little more than a year as inflationary pressures persisted.
Communication tools will keep evolving. Forward guidance will sometimes be useful and sometimes cost, but the objective isn't negotiable: often commitment to stabilizing inflation at 2 per cent and the determination to deliver out.
Olli Rehn is governor of the Bank of Finland and a member of the governing council of the European Central Bank.
Global stocks retreated yesterday as much a concern we got on as approving sell-off to long-dated government bonds and for continuing statement between the US and Iran.
Half Growth blue chip S&P 500 index slipped 0.5 per cent by hard time. In New York and tech stocks were down, but lagged loans, sending the Nasdaq 100 index down 10 per cent.
Carribean old 8.8 per cent while United Corporation lost 1 per cent.
Across the Atlantic, the higher-under West Europe sold 0.6 to 1.2 per cent. Frankfurt's Intra Star and Pepsi Car oil each weakened 0.8 per cent while London's FTSE 100 benchmark was flat. Higher energy costs were weighing on stock markets as oil prices climbed to a third consecutive day after Amazon Dorset. Young said no telex were under way as estimated with a bit.
Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose 0.2 per cent to 0.6 to 0.8 per barrel. The US market, West Texas's intermediate, gained 0.6 per cent to 0.6, 0.2 per barrel. Henry Allen, man's strategic of Deutsche Bank, wrote that, “with flow signs of the US and Iran coming to any sort of deal”, investors were pricing in “a more extended closure of the Trust of interest.”
High oil prices contributed to a deepening sell-off in government bond
Stocks fall as long-term borrowing costs hit elevated levels

markets globally, which sent long-term borrowing costs across major economies to reach decade highs.
Yields in 30-year US Treasuries rose to a peak of 1.4, 0.6 per cent, in highest since 2024, while those in 30-year German stands climbed day to 1.5 per cent.
Benchmark 10-year German-Bund yields rose 4.6p to 2.3p per cent and those on 10-year UK pits rose 2.6p to 1.0P per cent in a month's infrequent the date.
Awards of Golden Research said bond investors were increasingly warms about the scale of government and Ar hyperscale debt – and about the US
federal Research vigilance on inflation amid rising oil prices.
“We aren't pushing the panic button,” they wrote. “However, we are closely monitoring whether the bond cigarettes might go up.”
Short-term borrowing costs held broadly closely. The rise in long-term borrowing costs while short-term rates remain anchored reflected a popular “stoppening” trade in markets, investors said, which is a fair air market. Increasing more pressure for investing over a longer time horizon.
Madeleine Wright and Emily Herliant
Markets update
| US | Eurozone | Japan | UK | China | Brazil | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stocks | S&P 500 | Eurofiber 300 | Yuan 200 | FTSE100 | Shanghai Living | Montague |
| Level | 7/30/24 | 20/26.35 | 6/16/23.75 | 10/28/24 | 3/9/25.30 | Volatil 0.14 |
| % change on day | -0.92 | -0.68 | -1.34 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| Currency | $ index (S&P) | $ per k | 1bn per S | $ per k | 9mn per S | Real per S |
| Level | RR 0.5 | 0.08 | RR 0.02 | 1.5bn | 4.5p | 4.25p |
| % change on day | -0.05 | -0.04 | 0.04p | 0.07p | 0.04 | 0.15p |
| Cost制度 | 10-year Treasury | 10-year Bond | 10-year JOB | 10-year GIB | 10-year bond | 10-year bond |
| Yield | 4.71 | 3.26 | 2.91 | 0.08 | 1.69 | 16.90 |
| Rate point change on day | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.01p | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Market/Commodity | FTSE All-World | UK - Brent | UK - WTI | Gold | Silver | Molten (LPMG) |
| Level | 7/6/17 | 11.3p | 8.6p | 6.6p 4.7 | 3p 2.1 | 3.7p 1.5 |
| % change on day | -0.67 | -0.81 | 0.01p | -1.3p | 0.69 | 0.02 |
Main equity markets

Biggest movers
| US | Eurozone | UK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest | 1.1bn | 0.5, 0.7m (see 6.4.1) | 0.05 |
| Biggest | 0.8p | 0.5p | 0.05 |
| Biggest | 0.8p | 0.5p | 0.05 |
| Biggest | 0.8p | 0.5p | 0.05 |
| Biggest | 0.8p | 0.5p | 0.05 |
| Biggest | 0.8p | 0.5p | 0.05 |
| Biggest | 0.8p | 0.5p | 0.05 |
| Biggest | 0.8p | 0.5p | 0.05 |
WILLIAM SAMELINE - HONG KONG
China's 10-year bond yield has fallen to its lowest level in more than a year as such economic growth pushes lower tars into the country's sovereign debt.
Yields on China's 10-year government bonds slipped 0.01 percentage point yesterday to 1.67 per cent, their lowest level rates falls last year. Bond yields more favorably to prices.
The drop came after China's statistics bureau released figures on Monday showing growth in its interest in recent net countries spending almost last month.
"I think it's a reflection of the rather data we've gotten over the past couple of days," said Leonard Kwab, portfolio manager of dynamic emerging markets headquarterly at China's service.
Strategists see the core issue as a lack of demand for credit in China. Data showed new bank loans fully rich.
"Private sector companies are not borrowing because they're not investing, they're not hiring," said Eric Robertson, head of global research and
chief strategist at Standard Chartered. "Consumers are not borrowing because they're not spending at all."
Well, I, head of China made asset investments a 0.0007 billion, and also a certain in the world's second-largest economy supported higher bond prices.
Weak take up of loans, low deposit rates and a "stockage of bonds in the
market" were driving demand for China's sovereign debt, he added.
China's falling bond yields (and in contrast to those of 67 countries, which are under pressure from a combination of expansionary fiscal policy and strong private sector companies' debt).
Yields on 10-year US Treasuries and 10-year Japanese government bonds, both rose 0.02 percentage points to 0.74
per cent and 2.10 per cent respectively. "Chinese bond yields are going down when globally yields are going up, which is quite striking," said Maureen Rishyakhu, chief economist of Bank of Singapore. It gives a "very clear signal dimension to concerns are dominating the market rather than what's going on globally."
Rohotness said the primary driver of the divergence between Chinese and US government bond yields was the different demand for credit.
Milton Valley's so called hyperscalers, including Amazon and Google parent Highland, have expanded borrowing as much that they are pushing up borrowing costs globally.
Beijing is counting on a greater share of growth coming from innovative industries and technology, including oil and household robots, but it is likely the country's interest rates and bond yields are trending lower.
"The broader picture is that China should see pretty low interest rates," said Huh Shea, chief Data economist at Goldman Sachs.

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13
WORK2 MARKETS AT A GLANCE
FTCON/MARKETSDATA
Change during previous day 1 trading (t)

STORE SHOP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100
74
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday, August 2024
ST GLOBAL SOA THE WORLD'S LARGEST COMPANIES
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Chg | Diff | Year | Chg | Diff | Year | Chg | Diff | Year | Chg | Diff | Year | Chg | Diff | Year | Chg | Diff | |
| Australia 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||
| All Countries | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 |
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Asia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1. 2017年1月1日 | 1. 2017年1月2日 | 1. 2017年1月3日 | 1. 2017年1月4日 | 1. 2017年1月5日 | 1. 2017年1月6日 | 1. 2017年1月7日 | 1. 2017年1月8日 | 1. 2017年1月9日 | 1. 2017年1月10日 | 1. 2017年1月11日 | 1. 2017年1月12日 | 1. 2017年1月13日 | 1. 2017年1月14日 | 1. 2017年1月15日 | 1. 2017年1月16日 | 1. 2017年1月17日 | 1. 2017年1月18日 | 1. 2017年1月19日 | 1. 2017年1月20日 | 1. 2017年1月21日 | 1. 2017年1月22日 | 1. 2017年1月23日 | 1. 2017年1月24日 | 1. 2017年1月25日 | 1. 2017年1月26日 | 1. 2017年1月27日 | 1. 2017年1月28日 | 1. 2017年1月29日 | 1. 2017年1月30日 | 1. 2017年1月31日 | 1. 2017年1月32日 | 1. 2017年1月33日 | 1. 2017年1月34日 | 1. 2017年1月35日 | 1. 2017年1月36日 | 1. 2017年1月37日 | 1. 2017年1月38日 | 1. 2017年1月39日 | 1. 2017年1月40日 | 1. 2017年1月41日 | 1. 2017年1月42日 | 1. 2017年1月43日 | 1. 2017年1月44日 | 1. 2017年1月45日 | 1. 2017年1月46日 | 1. 2017年1月47日 | 1. 2017年1月48日 | 1. 2017年1月49日 | 1. 2017年1月50日 | 1. 2017年1月51日 | 1. 2017年1月52日 | 1. 2017年1月53日 | 1. 2017年1月54日 | 1. 2017年1月55日 | 1. 2017年1月56日 | 1. 2017年1月57日 | 1. 2017年1月58日 | 1. 2017年1月59日 | 1. 2017年1月60日 | 1. 2017年1月61日 | 1. 2017年1月62日 | 1. 2017年1月63日 | 1. 2017年1月64日 | 1. 2017年1月65日 | 1. 2017年1月66日 | 1. 2017年1月67日 | 1. 2017年1月68日 | 1. 2017年1月69日 | 1. 2017年1月70日 | 1. 2017年1月71日 | 1. 2017年1月72日 | 1. 2017年1月73日 | 1. 2017年1月74日 | 1. 2017年1月75日 | 1. 2017年1月76日 | 1. 2017年1月77日 | 1. 2017年1月78日 | 1. 2017年1月79日 | 1. 2017年1月80日 | 1. 2017年1月81日 | 1. 2017年1月82日 | 1. 2017年1月83日 | 1. 2017年1月84日 | 1. 2017年1月85日 | 1. 2017年1月86日 | 1. 2017年1月87日 | 1. 2017年1月88日 | 1. 2017年1月89日 | 1. 2017年1月90日 | 1. 2017年1月91日 | 1. 2017年1月92日 | 1. 2017年1月93日 | 1. 2017年1月94日 | 1. 2017年1月95日 | 1. 2017年1月96日 | 1. 2017年1月97日 | 1. 2017年1月98日 | 1. 2017年1月99日 | 1. 2017年2月3日 | 1. 2017年2月4日 | 1. 2017年2月5日 | 1. 2017年2月6日 | 1. 2017年2月7日 | 1. 2017年2月8日 | 1. 2017年2月9日 | 1. 2017年2月10日 | 1. 2017年2月11日 | 1. 2017年2月12日 | 1. 2017年2月13日 | 1. 2017年2月14日 | 1. 2017年2月15日 | 1. 2017年2月16日 | 1. 2017年2月17日 | 1. 2017年2月18日 | 1. 2017年2月19日 | 1. 2017年2月20日 | 1. 2017年2月21日 | 1. 2017年2月22日 | 1. 2017年2月23日 | 1. 2017年2月24日 | 1. 2017年2月25日 | 1. 2017年2月26日 | 1. 2017年2月27日 | 1. 2017年2月28日 | 1. 2017年2月29日 | 1. 2017年2月30日 | 1. 2017年2月31日 | 1. 2017年2月32日 | 1. 2017年2月33日 | 1. 2017年2月34日 | 1. 2017年2月35日 | 1. 2017年2月36日 | 1. 2017年2月37日 | 1. 2017年2月38日 | 1. 2017年2月39日 | 1. 2017年2月40日 | 1. 2017年2月41日 | 1. 2017年2月42日 | 1. 2017年2月43日 | 1. 2017年2月44日 | 1. 2017年2月45日 | 1. 2017年2月46日 | 1. 2017年2月47日 | 1. 2017年2月48日 | 1. 2017年2月49日 | 1. 2017年2月50日 | 1. 2017年2月51日 | 1. 2017年2月52日 | 1. 2017年2月53日 | 1. 2017年2月54日 | 1. 2017年2月55日 | 1. 2017年2月56日 | 1. 2017年2月57日 | 1. 2017年2月58日 | 1. 2017年2月59日 | 1. 2017年2月60日 | 1. 2017年2月61日 | 1. 2017年2月62日 | 1. 2017年2月63日 | 1. 2017年2月64日 | 1. 2017年2月65日 | 1. 2017年2月66日 | 1. 2017年2月67日 | 1. 2017年2月68日 | 1. 2017年2月69日 | 1. 2017年2月70日 | 1. 2017年2月71日 | 1. 2017年2月72日 | 1. 2017年2月73日 | 1. 2017年2月74日 | 1. 2017年2月75日 | 1. 2017年2月76日 | 1. 2017年2月77日 | 1. 2017年2月78日 | 1. 2017年2月79日 | 1. 2017年2月80日 | 1. 2017年2月81日 | 1. 2017年2月82日 | 1. 2017年2月83日 | 1. 2017年2月84日 | 1. 2017年2月85日 | 1. 2017年2月86日 | 1. 2017年2月87日 | 1. 2017年2月88日 | 1. 2017年2月89日 | 1. 2017年2月90日 | 1. 2017年2月91日 | 1. 2017年2月92日 | 1. 2017年2月93日 | 1. 2017年2月94日 | 1. 2017年2月95日 | 1. 2017年2月96日 | 1. 2017年2月97日 | 1. 2017年2月98日 | 1. 2017年2月99日 | 1. 2017年3月3日 | 1. 2017年3月4日 | 1. 2017年3月5日 | 1. 2017年3月6日 | 1. 2017年3月7日 | 1. 2017年3月8日 | 1. 2017年3月9日 | 1. 2017年3月10日 | 1. 2017年3月11日 | 1. 2017年3月12日 | 1. 2017年3月13日 | 1. 2017年3月14日 | 1. 2017年3月15日 | 1. 2017年3月16日 | 1. 2017年3月17日 | 1. 2017年3月18日 | 1. 2017年3月19日 | 1. 2017年3月20日 | 1. 2017年3月21日 | 1. 2017年3月22日 | 1. 2017年3月23日 | 1. 2017年3月24日 | 1. 2017年3月25日 | 1. 2017年3月26日 | 1. 2017年3月27日 | 1. 2017年3月28日 | 1. 2017年3月29日 | 1. 2017年3月30日 | 1. 2017年3月31日 | 1. 2017年3月32日 | 1. 2017年3月33日 | 1. 2017年3月34日 | 1. 2017年3月35日 | 1. 2017年3月36日 | 1. 2017年3月37日 | 1. 2017年3月38日 | 1. 2017年3月39日 | 1. 2017年3月40日 | 1. 2017年3月41日 | 1. 2017年3月42日 | 1. 2017年3月43日 | 1. 2017年3月44日 | 1. 2017年3月45日 | 1. 2017年3月46日 | 1. 2017年3月47日 | 1. 2017年3月48日 | 1. 2017年3月49日 | 1. 2017年3月50日 | 1. 2017年3月51日 | 1. 2017年3月52日 | 1. 2017年3月53日 | 1. 2017年3月54日 | 1. 2017年3月55日 | 1. 2017年3月56日 | 1. 2017年3月57日 | 1. 2017年3月58日 | 1. 2017年3月59日 | 1. 2017年3月60日 | 1. 2017年3月61日 | 1. 2017年3月62日 | 1. 2017年3月63日 | 1. 2017年3月64日 | 1. 2017年3月65日 | 1. 2017年3月66日 | 1. 2017年3月67日 | 1. 2017年3月68日 | 1. 2017年3月69日 | 1. 2017年3月70日 | 1. 2017年3月71日 | 1. 2017年3月72日 | 1. 2017年3月73日 | 1. 2017年3月74日 | 1. 2017年3月75日 | 1. 2017年3月76日 | 1. 2017年3月77日 | 1. 2017年3月78日 | 1. 2017年3月79日 | 1. 2017年3月80日 | 1. 2017年3月81日 | 1. 2017年3月82日 | 1. 2017年3月83日 | 1. 2017年3月84日 | 1. 2017年3月85日 | 1. 2017年3月86日 | 1. 2017年3月87日 | 1. 2017年3月88日 | 1. 2017年3月89日 | 1. 2017年3月90日 | 1. 2017年3月91日 | 1. 2017年3月92日 | 1. 2017年3月93日 | 1. 2017年3月94日 | 1. 2017年3月95日 | 1. 2017年3月96日 | 1. 2017年3月97日 | 1. 2017年3月98日 | 1. 2017年3月99日 | 1. 2018年3月 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. 2017年1月1日 | 1. 2017年1月2日 | 1. 2017年1月3日 | 1. 2017年1月4日 | 1. 2017年1月5日 | 1. 2017年1月6日 | 1. 2017年1月7日 | 1. 2017年1月8日 | 1. 2017年1月9日 | 1. 2017年1月10日 | 1. 2017年1月11日 | 1. 2017年1月12日 | 1. 2017年1月13日 | 1. 2017年1月14日 | 1. 2017年1月15日 | 1. 2017年1月16日 | 1. 2017年1月17日 | 1. 2017年1月18日 | 1. 2017年1月19日 | 1. 2017年1月20日 | 1. 2017年1月21日 | 1. 2017年1月22日 | 1. 2017年1月23日 | 1. 2017年1月24日 | 1. 2017年1月25日 | 1. 2017年1月26日 | 1. 2017年1月27日 | 1. 2017年1月28日 | 1. 2017年1月29日 | 1. 2017年1月30日 | 1. 2017年1月31日 | 1. 2017年1月32日 | 1. 2017年1月33日 | 1. 2017年1月34日 | 1. 2017年1月35日 | 1. 2017年1月36日 | 1. 2017年1月37日 | 1. 2017年1月38日 | 1. 2017年1月39日 | 1. 2017年1月40日 | 1. 2017年1月41日 | 1. 2017年1月42日 | 1. 2017年1月43日 | 1. 2017年1月44日 | 1. 2017年1月45日 | 1. 2017年1月46日 | 1. 2017年1月47日 | 1. 2017年1月48日 | 1. 2017年1月49日 | 1. 2017年1月50日 | 1. 2017年1月51日 | 1. 2017年1月52日 | 1. 2017年1月53日 | 1. 2017年1月54日 | 1. 2017年1月55日 | 1. 2017年1月56日 | 1. 2017年1月57日 | 1. 2017年1月58日 | 1. 2017年1月59日 | 1. 2017年1月60日 | 1. 2017年1月61日 | 1. 2017年1月62日 | 1. 2017年1月63日 | 1. 2017年1月64日 | 1. 2017年1月65日 | 1. 2017年1月66日 | 1. 2017年1月67日 | 1. 2017年1月68日 | 1. 2017年1月69日 | 1. 2017年1月70日 | 1. 2017年1月71日 | 1. 2017年1月72日 | 1. 2017年1月73日 | 1. 2017年1月74日 | 1. 2017年1月75日 | 1. 2017年1月76日 | 1. 2017年1月77日 | 1. 2017年1月78日 | 1. 2017年1月79日 | 1. 2017年1月80日 | 1. 2017年1月81日 | 1. 2017年1月82日 | 1. 2017年1月83日 | 1. 2017年1月84日 | 1. 2017年1月85日 | 1. 2017年1月86日 | 1. 2017年1月87日 | 1. 2017年1月88日 | 1. 2017年1月89日 | 1. 2017年1月90日 | 1. 2017年1月91日 | 1. 2017年1月92日 | 1. 2017年1月93日 | 1. 2017年1月94日 | 1. 2017年1月95日 | 1. 2017年1月96日 | 1. 2017年1月97日 | 1. 2017年1月98日 | 1. 2017年1月99日 | 1. 2017年2月3日 | 1. 2017年2月4日 | 1. 2017年2月5日 | 1. 2017年2月6日 | 1. 2017年2月7日 | 1. 2017年2月8日 | 1. 2017年2月9日 | 1. 2017年2月10日 | 1. 2017年2月11日 | 1. 2017年2月12日 | 1. 2017年2月13日 | 1. 2017年2月14日 | 1. 2017年2月15日 | 1. 2017年2月16日 | 1. 2017年2月17日 | 1. 2017年2月18日 | 1. 2017年2月19日 | 1. 2017年2月20日 | 1. 2017年2月21日 | 1. 2017年2月22日 | 1. 2017年2月23日 | 1. 2017年2月24日 | 1. 2017年2月25日 | 1. 2017年2月26日 | 1. 2017年2月27日 | 1. 2017年2月28日 | 1. 2017年2月29日 | 1. 2017年2月30日 | 1. 2017年2月31日 | 1. 2017年2月32日 | 1. 2017年2月33日 | 1. 2017年2月34日 | 1. 2017年2月35日 | 1. 2017年2月36日 | 1. 2017年2月37日 | 1. 2017年2月38日 | 1. 2017年2月39日 | 1. 2017年2月40日 | 1. 2017年2月41日 | 1. 2017年2月42日 | 1. 2017年2月43日 | 1. 2017年2月44日 | 1. 2017年2月45日 | 1. 2017年2月46日 | 1. 2017年2月47日 | 1. 2017年2月48日 | 1. 2017年2月49日 | 1. 2017年2月50日 | 1. 2017年2月51日 | 1. 2017年2月52日 | 1. 2017年2月53日 | 1. 2017年2月54日 | 1. 2017年2月55日 | 1. 2017年2月56日 | 1. 2017年2月57日 | 1. 2017年2月58日 | 1. 2017年2月59日 | 1. 2017年2月60日 | 1. 2017年2月61日 | 1. 2017年2月62日 | 1. 2017年2月63日 | 1. 2017年2月64日 | 1. 2017年2月65日 | 1. 2017年2月66日 | 1. 2017年2月67日 | 1. 2017年2月68日 | 1. 2017年2月69日 | 1. 2017年2月70日 | 1. 2017年2月71日 | 1. 2017年2月72日 | 1. 2017年2月73日 | 1. 2017年2月74日 | 1. 2017年2月75日 | 1. 2017年2月76日 | 1. 2017年2月77日 | 1. 2017年2月78日 | 1. 2017年2月79日 | 1. 2017年2月80日 | 1. 2017年2月81日 | 1. 2017年2月82日 | 1. 2017年2月83日 | 1. 2017年2月84日 | 1. 2017年2月85日 | 1. 2017年2月86日 | 1. 2017年2月87日 | 1. 2017年2月88日 | 1. 2017年2月89日 | 1. 2017年2月90日 | 1. 2017年2月91日 | 1. 2017年2月92日 | 1. 2017年2月93日 | 1. 2017年2月94日 | 1. 2017年2月95日 | 1. 2017年2月96日 | 1. 2017年2月97日 | 1. 2017年2月98日 | 1. 2017年2月99日 | 1. 2018年 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wednesday 19 August 2020
FINANCIAL TIMES
15
Male Market
| Q1 Week | Q2 Week | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1-2-3-4 | 4-5-6-7 | 7-8-9-10 | 11-12-13 | 14-15-15 | Total | 1-2-3-4 | |
| Total | ||||||||
| Red Sunflower | 2,000.00 | 17,100 | 2,000.00 | 2,000.00 | 1,100 | 1,100 | 4,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Cannabis Company | ||||||||
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000 | ||||||
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Jamaica | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 |
AIM
| Q1 Week | Q2 Week | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1-2-3-4 | 4-5-6-7 | 7-8-9-10 | 11-12-13 | 14-15-15 | Total | 1-2-3-4 | |
| Aim | ||||||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | ||||
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000 |
Investment Companies
| Total | 1-2-3-4 | 4-5-6-7 | 7-8-9-10 | 11-12-13 | 14-15-15 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings per share | |||||||
| Basic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
| BASF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Q1 Week | Q2 Week | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1-2-3-4 | 4-5-6-7 | 7-8-9-10 | 11-12-13 | 14-15-15 | Total | 1-2-3-4 | |
| Aim | ||||||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 |
| Q1 Week | Q2 Week | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1-2-3-4 | 4-5-6-7 | 7-8-9-10 | 11-12-13 | 14-15-15 | Total | 1-2-3-4 | |
| Aim | ||||||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 |
| Q1 Week | Q2 Week | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1-2-3-4 | 4-5-6-7 | 7-8-9-10 | 11-12-13 | 14-15-15 | Total | 1-2-3-4 | |
| Aim | ||||||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 |
| Q1 Week | Q2 Week | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1-2-3-4 | 4-5-6-7 | 7-8-9-10 | 11-12-13 | 14-15-15 | Total | 1-2-3-4 | |
| Aim | ||||||||
| Albuquerque S.A. | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| Albu | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 |
| Earnings Per Share | |
|---|---|
| 1.50% | 2.00% |
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10
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FINANCIAL SERIES
Wednesday, 14 August 2024
| Advertising Features | JPM/EBP - JPM 2024 (Continuous Performance) | Trade | FSC & Ds | Market | Key | Key Technology | Top 10 Holdings | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPM/EBP - JPM 2024 (Continuous Performance) | Trade | FSC & Ds | Market | Key | Key Technology | Top 10 Holdings | |||||||||
| JPM/EBP - JPM 2024 (Continuous Performance) | Trade | FSC & Ds | Market | Key | Key Technology | Top 10 Holdings | |||||||||
| Trade Name | JPM/EBP - JPM 2024 (Continuous Performance) | Trade | FSC & Ds | Market | Key | Key Technology | Top 10 Holdings | ||||||||
| Trade Name | JPM/EBP - JPM 2024 (Continuous Performance) | Trade | FSC & Ds | Market | Key | Key Technology | Top 10 Holdings | ||||||||
| Trade Name | JPM/EBP - JPM 2024 (Continuous Performance) | Trade | FSC & Ds | Market | Key | Key Technology | Top 10 Holdings |

Algebra Investments
| Registered | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algebra Cover Rate 1 EUR | 6 | 201.31 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.01 0.02 | ||
| Algebra Cover Rate 2 EUR | 6 | 201.86 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.01 0.02 | ||
| Algebra Financial Credit 1 EUR | 6 | 228.03 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.01 0.02 | ||
| Algebra Financial Credit 2 EUR | 6 | 203.00 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Credit 3 EUR | 6 | 215.96 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Credit 4 EUR | 6 | 195.46 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Equity 8 EUR | 6 | 401.98 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Equity 9 EUR | 6 | 330.08 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Equity 10 EUR | 6 | 220.98 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Equity 11 EUR | 6 | 183.16 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Income 1 EUR | 6 | 200.01 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Income 2 EUR | 6 | 217.02 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Income 3 EUR | 6 | 217.34 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Income 4 EUR | 6 | 215.16 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Income 5 EUR | 6 | 184.71 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Income 6 EUR | 6 | 184.71 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Income 7 EUR | 6 | 184.71 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | ||
| Algebra Financial Equity 1 EUR | 6 | 193.03 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Algebra Financial Equity 2 EUR | 6 | 193.03 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Algebra Financial Equity 3 EUR | 6 | 193.23 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Algebra Financial Equity 4 EUR | 6 | 193.23 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Algebra Financial Equity 5 EUR | 6 | 193.23 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Algebra Financial Equity 6 EUR | 6 | 193.23 | 2.11 | 0.00 0.00 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Brown Advisory Funds PLC
BROWN ADVISORY FUNDS (2024-2025)
| Risk Management | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt-to-Lab Fund (DET) | 6 | 33.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 7.47 |
| Debt-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| Debt-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| Debt-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| DEBT-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| DEBT-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| DEBT-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| DEBT-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| DEBT-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
| DEBT-to-Lab Fund (DET + L) | 6 | 16.21 | 0.31 | 0.00 6.21 |
CG Asset Management Limited
12 King Street London EC2M 3EL
Serving: Co. (US) 1249 0000 No. (US) 545 2000
Risk Management
CG Portfolio Fund PLC
| Algebra Report 94.14 | 6 | 144.52 | 0.53 | 2.81 | 2.33 | 2.04 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Sharing Portfolio (GBP) | 6 | 200.07 | 0.51 | 1.95 | 2.05 | 2.41 |
| Capital Sharing Portfolio (GBP) | 6 | 192.47 | 0.53 | 1.94 | 2.07 | 2.47 |
| Debt to Fund Co. Corp. | 6 | 192.00 | 0.51 | 2.82 | 2.44 | 2.53 |
| Debt to Capital (GBP) | 6 | 141.44 | 0.53 | 2.64 | 1.64 | 1.69 |
| App Report 124.14 | 6 | 163.96 | 0.53 | 2.64 | 2.44 | 2.53 |
| CB (Value) Index (Baa) 3 m | 6 | 185.23 | 0.53 | 1.78 | 2.08 | 2.05 |
Chartered Asset Management Pro Ltd
Inter-International Funds
| COM (US) | 6 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COM (US) | 6 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| EMC (US) | 6 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
CP Global
Asset Management
WEALTH
Brewers Feed Managers Ltd (TDBP)
TCIA, BHA, TOBA, CANAD, MIA, TOBA, TOBA, TOBA
Authorised for Funds
| Algebra: Canaccord (Baa) 1m | 3 | 3.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algebra: Global Health (G) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra: High Income (G) | 3 | 3.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra Income (G) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra Monthly (Mo) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra Monthly (Mo + Mo) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra Monthly (Mo + Mo) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra Monthly (Mo + Mo + Mo) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra Monthly (Mo + Mo + Mo) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Algebra Monthly (Mo + Mo + Mo) | 3 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 2.21 | 2.04 |
(UK)
ASB Capital
The Company is part of the A.C. (UK)
Global Bank (UK) Group
International
| ASB Global - AG | 6 | 104.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASB Global - SBT | 6 | 81.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ASB Great Global Global Equity | 6 | 117.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ASB Great Global Group | 6 | 101.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ASB MSA Group | 6 | 98.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
(UK)
Ministry Since
Inter-International Funds
| American Express | 6 | 4500.00 | 20.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Star | 6 | 1125.75 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bank Global | 6 | 1000.00 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| International | 6 | 1250.00 | 47.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| For Fast | 6 | 1284.13 | 47.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Canaccord International Fund Managers Limited
AFRS & AFRS, BAA, BAA, BAA, BAA, BAA
Canaccord Health International Bank Strategy Funds Limited
| National Strategy | 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Strategy A | 1 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 8.87 | 8.85 |
| Central National Strategy | 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 8.87 | 8.85 |
| Central National Strategy B | 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.43 | 7.43 |
| North Strategy | 1 | 2.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1.26 | 1.00 |
| South Strategy A | 1 | 1.20 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
| High Health Strategy A | 1 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
| High Health Strategy B | 1 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
| High Health Strategy A | 1 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
| High Health and Food A | 1 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
| High Access Food A | 1 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
| High Access Food A | 1 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
| High Access Food A | 1 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 12.31 | 11.26 |
Selling Daily Initial Energy All for 6 classes at 6 p. to 75 m value classes
at the time of the company's business
Common Investors Group
ASB Recept
| Cashflow from Top 100 (Baa) and C (a) | 2 | 127.45 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cashflow from Top 100 (C) | 2 | 1450.11 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| Cashflow from Top 100 (D) | 2 | 285.75 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (B) (B) (C) | 2 | 184.74 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.15 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (C) | 2 | 184.87 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.15 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (D) | 2 | 1573.31 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (E) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (F) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (G) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (H) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (I) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (J) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (K) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (L) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (M) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (N) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (O) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (P) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (Q) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (R) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (S) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (T) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (U) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cashflow from 100 m (V) | 2 | 1000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Common Investors Group
Inter-International Funds
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Wednesday 19 August 2019
FINANCIAL TIMES
17
| Fund | Bio | Other | Yield | Date | Date | Fund | Bio | Other | Yield | Date | Date | Fund | Bio | Other | Yield | Date | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PIT Box 10846, Drummond Street SWM, USA 2000-2000
www.fundsmith.com, www.fundsmith.com
Authorised for Funds
Fundsmith Equity Fund 000 01 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
Fundsmith Equity Fund
GLOBAL INVESTORS
Gunnness Global Equity Markets 1 QM A/C 0 47.63 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gunnness Global Investors 1 QM A/C 0 47.63 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gunnness Global Investors New Day 1 Day 1 Day 1 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00
Kupin and Power Bank A/C (Kupin, 1st of New York, NY) 2000-2000
International Insurance
Hershey Property Bond Rev 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
INVESTORS
Pit Box 2001, Drummond Street SWM, USA 2001-2001
www.annushend.com
Authorised for Funds
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund A-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund B-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund C-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund D-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund E-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund F-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund G-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund H-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund I-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund J-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund K-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund L-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund M-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund N-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund O-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund P-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund Q-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund R-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund S-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund T-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund U-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund V-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund W-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund X-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund Y-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund Z-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund A-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund B-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Janus Henderson (Henderson) (Henderson Fund C-Ac) | 2000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Regulated
McInroy Asset Investment 0 362.1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
McInroy Asset Management Limited (CVM)
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McInroy & Mead Portfolios Limited (UK)
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18
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2024
Amid a booming industry where modern masters can sell for millions, new buyers may be falling victim to fingers, writes Cyrus Najl
There was a time when few people bought modern art in south Asia. Ground-breaking works were passed around the cosmopolitan effort that spread across postcolonial India, Pakistan and Bangladesh. Artists sold to their friends, commissioners to each other.
Today, it's a booming industry, exceeding 100 times in auction sales in 2023 alone. After a string of record auctions in the past couple of years, this summer both Christie's and Sotheby's have put on exhibitions of south Asian modern art in London.
But there is a darkest side to this booming market. Academic neglect, a lack of documentation and the rise of online buying have complied to allow fakes to proliferate in the market for south Asian modern art.
"We are seeing an awful lot more dodge stuff on the market," says Charles Moore of London's Grosvenor Gallery. The main targets are "the big names," he says, referring to sought after 2006-century modernists such as the French-trained Indian abstract painter Mr Raza or the prolific Mumbai artist Mr Hussain, dubbed the "Picasso of India", "but now it pays to forge the middle-market artists too."
Moore believes he is offered a likely fake "every couple of works" by private sellers, a noticeable minority of the total volume of works he sees. Volunteers are usually pegged to auction records for genuine works. he says, although they are sometimes priced competitively to attract optimistic buyers to search of changes.
Within south Asia, the market is even more tenocherous: one in 10 works of modern art sold privately in India could be forgotten, according to Smiths Pundale, whose gallery representer knows of India's most prominent modern artists during their lifetimes. "There have always been some fakes, but in the last 15 years values have gone up, so there's been a spurt," he says. "It's become a real menace."


Mumbai artist Mr Hussain pictured in 1999 with his canvas "Vedance"
It's the same story across the border in Pakistan: the Lahore-based artist and academic Salima Madhni estimates that the men WhatsApp images of 60 to 70 modern art fungering offered for sale every year. Many of those will be rejected by serious buyers, but the sheer quantity increases the chance that some will slip into the legitimate market. "It does huge damage," says Pundale, who warns that "it just takes one scandal" to hit prices for a particular artist or game. I discussed his problem with one of Pakistani-Suelling collectors, the newspaper publisher Hameed Haroon. At his pink walled art door mansion in Karachi hung a series of huge carvases from the 1960s and 1970s on which the Pakistani artist known as Sadogusin (1950-1967) had scratched jagged
abstract marks on to a dark background. Some echoed the vertical lines of Urdu script, others committed safe and ghostly faces.
Sadogusin's work has reached six-figure notes. But specialists interviewed for this article agreed that a spike in fake Sadogusins had led to a soothing in his market. "When people can't tell anymore whether they are dealing with the real Mu'cu, why would they pay premium prices?" says Haroon, who worked with Madhni to curate the artist's most significant museum exhibition to date.
At first, Haroon says, the fakes in the market were crude; a large pool of unemployed artists in India and Pakistan could be tapped by unscrupulous dealers for relatively small sums. But
now, in the absence of comprehensive documentation, even experts like him can get taken in by fungering "as magnificent" they're "better than many bona fide" works for sale.
Since scholarship and literature are particularly lacking for south Asia's modern art, the market tends to rely on insider knowledge and word of mouth. "South Asian art is hugely understudied compared to other branches of world art," says Pundale, adding that India lacks enough institutions "where people can study art history, or public collections where they can use the works on permanent display."
What's most, both India and Pakistan have especially positive criminal defamation laws that can ensnare experts in years of legal war, discouraging them
'There have always been some fakes, but in the last 15 years values have gone up, so there's been a spurt. It's become a real menace'
from declaring works to be fake. "You can't say anything publicly," says Marjani Gandhi, a veteran Mumbai dealer. "But if you know someone, privately you can say 'Don't touch it.'"
Auctions – with public viewings and online catalogues – can open works up to healthy scrutiny. But, there has, the incidence of fakes. "Let's turn on the market has progressed", says Marjani Sikare Sutin, head of Sotheby's South Asian Modern and Contemporary department. These days, she rejects two works on average before every sale due to concerns over authenticity, she says.
Faced with an undocumented work, she and her team would consult external specialists and artists' families, as well as a large departmental archive of unpublished material, both up over years. "We're all sure," she jokes, "but we do quite a bit of detective work."
They also rely on old-fashioned commissioners. "The rye is trained by having seen so many works over the years." Most importantly, according to Sikare Sutin, she has her company's backing to reject anything she's unsure about. "It an attribution is inconclusive, we simply don't offer it."
However, with online sales representing 15 per cent of the global art market in 2023, a host of smaller auction houses across Europe ply a trade that depends on remote sales and thumbnail images. This presents a new and untested risk. "Collectors can now go and buy for themselves online, whereas before they'll have to rely on dealers," says the UK-based dealer Banyat Singh, who sits on the board of the trade body Asian Art in London.
If fakes continue to spread, buyers might lose confidence in the market. Alternatively, as Grosvenor Gallery's Moore suggests, "it will push them to reputable sources". In the meantime, an old rule holds true: whether in London, Lahore or Delhi, if it's too good to be true, it usually is.

LONDON
MAYFAR & CHELSEA
www.peterharrington.co.uk
NEW YORK
UPPER EAST SIDE
Wednesday, 19 August 2024
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
19
Across categories from mayonnaise to toothpaste, US household names are being undercut by own labels and outshone by insurgent brands using contract manufacturing plants. By Gregory Meyer
A giant pitcher of Kent-Aid cooking through a salt, I've seen joining a jar of Grey Program mastered between their Rolls-Roy-
can, Alley singing director/Paul Meyer, brings a sandwich.
Scientious commercials lodged in the memory of any American over 10 fludied by a darkened conference hall just before Meyer's фабрary spoke.
"These brands are so iconic, so special, so well-known to know about executive of Kraft Heinz told the Consumer Analyst Group of New York conference in February. 'But unfortunately, be too long, we have been relying too much on only that.'"
Kraft Heinz's North American sales volumes have contracted in nine of the past 10 years and have continued to slide this year.
The group is far from alone; amid an affordability crisis for many consumers, North American or US volumes were flat enrolling at food companies (images: Brands, General Mills, Jill Smootter and Pepsi's), and weaker at household and personal care groups including Colgate-Palmolive, according to the latest round of quarterly results. The 1987 consumer staples sale sales has underperformed the US market by a wide margin.
From mayonnaise to toothpaste, the big players in the 80s—a year consumer-packaged goods (CPG) industry are being squeezed from both sides by non-entrant that against healthier tastes or more modern, and by own label copies created by retailers that are cheaper. The traditional responses — creating new iterations of established classes, or spending more on marketing — no longer work either once did.
Jill Greenspoon, chief executive for the American at Kantar, a marketing consultancy, sees 'the college of the traditional middle-market playbook'.
'As the American middle class shrinks and one 21-per-strong power continues to crude, CPGs can no longer rely on brand-based middle-tier portfolios,' he says.
US bricks and mortar retailers sold 9,300-}{(over) units of food and consumer-packaged goods in the past 12 months than five years before, according to market research company Nehberly.
Within that, the share of private-label products — long a feature of European grocery markets, but historically disdained by all but the most value conscious US dangers — gained more than one percentage point and now stands at over-copurine of total sales.
The volume in-line has accelerated in 2026, with sales falling 2 per cent year over year in most months since 1989—a cry in rising food prices triggered by war in Iran for consumer budgets, according to an analysis by National University.
New branded entrants are also taking sales in 4000-years, consumer good acc-sales cost 2 per cent last year, but the 1997 'insurgent brands' reached by Baitz — businessers such as Kuhli & Cohn-pon-
'You're seeing private label play a much different role than it did 10 years ago, or even five years ago'
cake mix and chicken sausage maker Amyls Foods — captured 34 per cent of that increase, despite their tiny share of the overall market.
Anglo-Dutch conglomerate Unilever, which has in the process of combining its food products with 10-}{(over) and non-maker McCormick, recently likened disappointing US-creditworthy results on growing competition in premium products such as arecads of.
Caballero chooses that the downward drift in volumes is not confined to Kraft Heinz. 'It's not interrupted with Covid, where everybody's volumes went up quite a lot because America and the world sheltered in place and ate lots of food at home,' he tells the FT 'Not it's just about the problem that we're company-like ones.'
The Kraft Heinz boss, who can the muscle company Kellamora before its Kiblin sales to share in 2022, is doubling slowly the same as the Baitz's market in legacy brands, not cut them loose, and is pushing Kiblin's kickout that effort after passing a plan to simply broaden its foreign group.
More than a third of that Kiblin in a going towards marketing, Kraft Heinz says, is a big deal. Kraft Heinz is fully that will put Hicksie hickings and Philadelphia co-ops choose on the same inside Heavy House parks and cruise ships and after Heavy Steamers to be promoted to the same packaging.
'If you just challenge yourself each and every day to ask the question, 'Who are my brands going to be relevant for this next generation of consumers?' and you build your plan accordingly,' Cabil-

National brand names like Heinz and Kraft sit alongside budget-friendly Great Value alternatives at a Walmart store in Denver, Colorado. -图片除外
Own-label goods have outperformed brands New new year changes in soft sales, 12 months to mid-July of year release 10s.

Consumer goods stocks have lagged behind the market minus volumes in 5 years.

later says, 'you can have a fighting chance to stay relevant.'
Customers turn competitors For retailers, who say many of their lower income customers are finishing cash month with little or no cash in the bank, brands putting Disney prisoners on food packaging might not be enough.
Among these dangers, it is all about price. Kraft has saved and shows a majority of the company's portfolio, costs $1 for a 125-ounce low on Biggest, more than the equivalent product in the retailer's own budget Great Value range costs just 10 cents.
In the past, private-label goods have not been popular in the US, with its regionalised grocery markets and deep-pert preference for branded products. By contrast, own-brand goods
account for as much as 30 per cent of the market in countries such as the US, Germany and Spain — roughly double the share in the US. But the upzone or even summer incomes and the US expansion of European discount chains such as A&H, whose range is 90 per cent in the label, are starting to change the picture.
US retailers have also improved quality and invested in more premium selections as they aim to capture healthier consumers and counter the perception of private-label products as inferior.
Walmart is removing sentiently data from all its own-label food brands, and has created a low-skilled better-quality, featuring such delicacies as Finely Ground Canned Fruit Pork(n)ines: Ter-Niki Chips, Clark's with products that choose to harshly whistly under its pre-mixed-bird and ligament label.
Among Gen Zers, the next big consumer cohort, two-thirds believe private-label products are just as good as national brands, Nehberly said.
'You're seeing private-label play a much different role than it did 10 years ago, or even five years ago,' says Kandy Burt, American leader in consumer products at consultancy. Furthermore, 'It's really being positioned as at the same or better quality, certainly at a better price, with alluring their own set just a copy of national brands, but how their own identity.'
Analysts say the divergence in the features of the reality, one that fit record stock and properly market values, and the inflation suffered by those on lower incomes is clearly visible in the consumer goods market.
'The industry is undergoing a fundamental trust driven by a 6-largest consumer economy, rapid media leagues, tables and the concentration of retail power,' says Greenspoon@Kantar.
Unlike branded goods groups, retailers rarely have integrated food manufacturing capability. But increasingly they do not need it — a rapid increase of third-party manufacturers has made it easier for them to quickly duplicate the innovations cooked up by brands. Walmart has upwards the small, untried food processing plants, and even this giant retailer relies mostly on consumer manufacturing.
A long period of low interest rates, and a 2000 tax change that provided incentives for business investment, led
to a sharp increase in contract manufacturing capacity, says Chris Hamilton, chief executive of Keychain, a tech platform that connects food companies and retailers with manufacturers. Now there is excess capacity.
'We are not a nation for private-label and for emerging brands, and a perfect storm for big [consumer groups] to get crushed,' Hamilton says.
Some branded companies also discreetly make private-label products. A&H, the German Alternative, recently displayed longer 20 ads posts each a label mix next to its own Little Social Bar brand (i.e. a newly opened door to New York City, all were priced at $0.29.
Scott Peters, old 1924's chief commercial officer, called the 'wise product a trial fluency.' Before we put it in get-wire labels, we want to see how it calls, he said on a store tour. 'If it works out well, we're going to work with their brands of private-label.'
Some consumer goods executives say their products are worth the extra one lay. And Little, chief executive of Edgewell Personal Care, points to his beliefs brand name labels. Their primary branded companies is Gibbon American/Po474 in Gamble, and both products work out at more than $2 a blade. So more than private-label names available online.
Become a good, and I'd like to see the tolerance thresholds to consistently make the same blade every time, according to Little. 'We make a private-label product,' he says much simpler process,' he says. 'Typically, in consumer tests, there's a noticeable performance difference.'
Prince is Gamble, the world's largest consumer-goods company, is also betting on what it calls the 'revolutionogenicity,' of its products to maintain and test them.
New volume is the group, which no longer makes food but comes Tab hands by detergent and fracture detergent among its key brands, failed to grow in the downspapers.
The executive Shadwell Jeteriker, a 37-year veteran of the company, set out therefore changes to the industry landscape for its inflation. 'Even the consumers who have money are much more disciplined and thoughtful about



Total for basket of unbranded goods $12.29




Total for basket of branded goods www.industries.com.au www.Paid.IT.News.eng
how they spend it,' he told the consumer conference last year, the same event where Kraft Heinz aimed its video journey down memory base.
Another is the fast that PM-5 biggest customers have cleaned in the same biggest. Every percentage point of market share that Walmart, Coarse and Amazon sell-consultants their negotiating power with suppliers.
Some are now exploiting their growing belt as online sales platforms to sell advertising segments to consumer companies, so their turning their suppliers into chores. Sales of no-skilled retail media in the US are expected to rise 20 per cent this year to $7.9bn, according to consultancy the driver.
The need to pay retailers for enhanced visibility on brand of dangers points to the third change. 'It is much more challenging to get consumers' attention and educate them on the benefits of our brands in today's fragmented media landscape,' Sproker said.
He has noted that PM-5 could once make almost a third of consumers aware of a new initiative in its home-care marketing campaign within a year. That share has now dropped below 10 per cent, he said.
Andy Cohen, PM-5 chief information officer, has said the group could previously update television adverts one to four times a year. Now it needs to generate 10 to 200 times that number of updates on online platforms. The information must also rest the former of AI models combing the web.
It and rivals including Unilever are increasingly turning to the online marketing techniques often used by insurgent rivals, including paying influencers and using platforms such as TikTok.
'We would continue with [influencers] to get them to enforce brand-savaging law on behalf of the folks that
'Even the consumers who have money are much more disciplined and thoughtful about how they spend it
they represent,' says Cohen. These come more from the big campaign, in which individuals might make positive online commercials about a new product in return for being entered into a price draw, he adds.
Influencer campaigns can save off courses, as brewer Anheuser-Busch Sales Grant following the conservative backlash to a third Light beer campaign featuring transgender personality Dylan Mulvaney. But they can also be powerful.
In its latest brands report, feature speaks of outlining and co-ordinating large numbers of people with small online following its create what it forces 'manufactured vitality', giving the impression of a groundbreaking attitude one for a product.
Kraft Heinz was not a sponsor of the recent FBS World Cup but still managed to promote its brand with place online goals. The National Exchange is a packet of ranch dressing that could be taken through airport security, so how who had turned it while visiting the US could take the distinctive flavour home.
For all the senior around insurgent brands and the growing popularity of retailers' own-label ranges, big consumer brands are far from finished.
Their central over manufacturing and distribution and their established relationships with large retailers — who stress that they intend to continue stocking big brands alongside their own creations — are significant strengths.
The range features sheets of groups such as Kraft Heinz, General Mills and others mean they can assigned insurgents, or simply buy them — Pepsi/Cohn spent $5.20s on acquisitions such as Mexican-American snack foods brand from Foods and prebiotic drinks group (regularly one of several of them).
Occasionally, new entrants can also find themselves targeted for a retailer's private-label range. Later, these are established brand shares in Cobion Holding, a maker of energy drinks, have fallen by a quarter since March, where Coarse launched a community product under its Kirkland Signature house brand at a lower price. Cobion said it has a 'loyal consumer base built around functional, great-looking and innovative marketing.'
Caballero, whose company owns 31 manufacturing plants in North America and spends over a billion dollars a year on advertising, is confident that major brands are in their competition from new entrants or import institutions.
'Insurgent brands are interesting,' he says. 'And what I always try and tell people is, for every one that is a big success, there are 1,000 failures.'
20
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday 19 August 2020

"Without fear and without favour"
R. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L.
The British high streets in more than just somewhere to drop or have a coffee town centre are a biochemist of previously and local pride. Places that felt 'felt behind' were more likely to vote (over to 2016), and many have since been fertile ground for Nigel Farag's tightening popular Scheme (N. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L. L.
The drivers of high street decline are more limited and complex. The 1940s rise of out-of-town retail parks and edge-of-town superstores, diverting sales from town centres, was compounded 20 years later by the author
shopping revolution. Debt-bunded buy-outs of some retail chains, particularly where foodmills were sold and brand-buds, left businesses carrying heavier kicks and long-term rent business—limiting room to invest as sales come under pressure. Retailers have also faced other sharply higher costs. Even the energy price shock and rising main mass charges for a long ratcheting up of business costs, plus the Internet government's low to employer payroll taxes.
Changes to shopping habits make it unrealistic to expect retailer return to town centre on the scale of 60 years ago. The aim must be to ture high streets into community hubs adapted for the 21st century. That means a mix of decent quality shops, entertainment, leisure and 'experience' venues, business and office space, housing, and built-for-wood stores are the most well-judgely beneficial health centres planned by the 1950s. Surplus retail space needs to be repugnated, or even demolished.
Burnham's plan to devote more pow-
ers to local authorities and non-public stores to pump prime refuse removal projects — spreading the model for used as mayor of Greater Manchester — offers more promise. Localization with a bare-fire font idea of what might work and regeneration depends on integrated transport and access. But leaders need viable telemarketing capacity to endorse them. And reviving one of Britain's largest city centres is different from turning around a deprived smaller town.
At Westminster, probably the most useful thing Burnham could do is gather the 1400 Labour's 2020 round-trial commitment to reform business rates, to be in the playing field between physical and online retail. Before becoming prime minister, Burnham floated using rates on online distribution hubs to build out for hospitality venues. Having a country protected then the worst market in the 1960s is the 1980s. A 20 per cent business rate out for parks, social clubs and music venues is instead to be paid for by reviewing a daily provider's 'anti-social
Is wide rehab of business rates to take to take more viable remain
businesses, such as copy-paper. That dog many high streets, and other resources. Burnham's water to give control, the most control over new vapes shops and betting premises, and the government is working down on vogue high street businesses linked to late eruption and vogue and crime. But if not other businesses need the space, the bring-up new vapes shops and betting premises could just mean more empty shops. As a wider rehab of business rates to make locations more viable remain key. A levy on a table could take to help lower rates on vapes, and the vapes premises are not options, but simply to design without permitting a table-based rehab to.
Yet turning round high streets also could commence with money to spend — so is时代潮流ly bound up with the Burnham government's ability to deliver more money to a state of business, including the cost of living and housing economic growth. Without success in these, the hounded up shops will be hard to shift.

who not quite classic Problems at Pollution they could have of short stories by Agatha Christie, the deaths are charged with reaching cartoons mysteries ranging from pain theft to murder. When I arrived with my family at the scene boy to continue children and their thin mouth, our puzzle was more therefore how to crack the total solar eclipse on August 25.
The first problem: the spectacle would begin in the early evening, by which time the sun would be digging behind the mountain, out of view of the sun's overcoat spot on the island. Changing the sun on the other side of the mountain would mean driving on a gated, narrow hairpin road near a military base, as a temperate with little parking or standing room. The road continued to Cup de Fermoncier, another viewing point, but he knew
not 'chill and damp', an astronomer Edmund Heller described conditions during the 1710 eclipse, but control and insertion.
But oh, the view! At 5 Mpas local time, the scene started 'hiring' the sun. It was an extra, distorted experience, holding quietly on the water, setting through our eclipse glasses, knowing every eye-moving boat was fixed on the grab, the climbing crescent of the sun, or it said towards the sea. Where the moon entered the dark disk completely, we removed our glasses and headed to one and a half minutes of 'totality', taking in the globe halved solar light at a materialised patchily against the darkened, clearly six.
Scientists love total solar eclipse. They can them to reach the solar cornea, the cloud of plasma surrounding the sun that is visible to the naked eye with the light, and the light is the sun, which graced Greenland, Iceland and Spain. Now, next up a high altitude jet to photograph the cornea in several wavelengths. In terms, which reaches temperature of nearly a million degrees, is the source of space weather, our glasses of charged particles opened toward the Earth and trigger power outage and satellite malfunction.
Total solar eclipse are also used to test models of the health atmosphere, because they look a known amount of light and create temperature drop. Farrows during the 1910 eclipse, measurements of gravitational burning — the bending of light around celestial objects — provided evidence that financials theory of gaseous activity was correct.
The cooling and darkening of the atmosphere makes a total solar eclipse a different shift of human experience from a partial eclipse, and strictly addictive. This was our wish, though the journey back to the dark afterwards left me vesting more to watch another from the scene. Such as turns down and dropping, it is a convenient one death-defying voyage with Aperol and sunflows.
If total eclipse score paradoxically levels over and ubiquitous, that is because they happen more than in the world every 30 months on average but in the same place only once every 400 years or so, scientists and eclipse thinkers are now preparing for the August 2021 total solar eclipse, which will be visible to Spain, world Africa and the Middle East. As an innovator and 29 seconds, it will be the longest ever land this century.
Yasuna and Egypt offer surprisingly shudhum days for the experience of a lifetime. And the problems at Polkema Boy, will not eclipse shoreless finally die a death on the Nile71 scene how doubt is.
The writer is a science commentator.
Glintat Gray's piece 'The Goldman executive wins 41.4 times over parental leave' Bingare, July 30! Highlighted how much father we need to go on patriotic leave.
Goldman looks, rightly, has a strong parental leave package, offering 30 weeks to all employees to be taken within 12 months of the birth or obtained at a field.
The case illustrates clearly that while this leave may be available, there's a hidden cost to taking it.
Jim Revere was bound to have been unfairly dismissed after taking six months off to look after his newborn and the tribunal should find his
suffered stigma across the financial sector as a result.
The case is unusual because the person who has faced the discrimination is: man.
Moreover, discrimination, on the other hand, is strikingly common. The family frequent them forward says that 'I get sent of women expert having faced discrimination at work relating to their pregnancy.'
Behind both the Revere case and the U.S.'s widespread patriotic discrimination in the perception that caring for a new birth is primarily a woman's responsibility.
The will not change until we have a
fair system of patriotic leave where clash can take the time to be caring vers.
The UK has the worst statutory patriotic leave offer in Europe — two weeks apart at £39s 25. How new fathers don't take it because they can't afford to.
The government is currently carrying out a long-promised parental leave review. We urge it to get in place. As ministries, with words of patriotic leave paid at 90 per cent of average weekly earnings.
Crucially, this should be non-transferable. This is the only way we can neutralise fathers taking time to care for their babies.
For example, Spain has seen huge success with its equal parental leave policy with 75 per cent of Spanish dads now taking extended paid leave.
Only about 6 becomes the norm for the children to take the same with men like Revere's cause to be unusual.
The government has a chance to make taking extended patriotic leave normal. It should give every father to take the chance to be there for his new baby.
George Gabriel The Dall 2020
Tom Ellis November London EC1, UK
Astrichemicals (60.0% margin rate) brand shares health was reportedly and met needs from announcement, yet it collapsed within a single trading day of increasing public. "Astrichemicals disliked Bristol Myers mega-merger after two years of growth," Sagan (C). That speed points to a decision that short-term shareholder concerns, namely the market's demand for a close, credible answer on why a merger of this kind makes more and what opportunity it unlocks. Drots of the size fall for many reasons, but the evidence is consistent on where the biggest risk idea is left of: likely at the organisational, business and level, and for individual employees.
Look at BSEA over 50% recognition of a figure of 2015, which includes a deliver promised value because it absorbed a company having a steep amount still without a clear long-term incentive — a mistake on organisation should be made to the company, and with ABTA 5000 acquisition of 3.0km, positioned from the one area complementary integration rather than a penalty plan — a distinction that shaped how market understand the deal from the extent.
During Pfizer's label last in AstraZeneca in 2016, Pfizer chairman and chief executive Ian Kead was publicly criticised after stating he had given up on big trade price to the UK. A period of 1800 or over, after AstraZeneca chief executive Sir Pascal Jones had ruled out on drug, that is a bit less 2050 target events the same kind of strategic ambiguity the market punished at Pfizer over a decade ago.
The losses for managing merger risk is clear. While the result like this is constantly people, not systems. The more clarity an organisation health throughout the process about why this has happened, what it means for them, and the bigger opportunity ahead, the more likely it is to be one of the mergers that actually works.
Marylaa Sade In Canada and America CEO of global strategic brand consultancy (Brooklyn, New York, NY, UK)
Andy Halldane's article: "How to solve Britain's housing crisis," Olympia, August 10 puts forward a compelling plan for breaking the cycle of earlier investment in the UK's housing stock. Not least, as he argues, the struggling of public sector influence over the past 30 years comes that regional and local government must partner with the private sector, particularly the specialist sector housing funds that despite the challenging environment,
STANDARD WRITERING

have been successfully established in the past decade or so.
A hospital planning regime is an investigator of the stratum, with no challenges. The best housing developments are those that are part of a decade-into of note — not just local hospitals and schools, but also places of work and leisure, all contributing to successful 'pharmacology' and community building. The Television clearly subredemption in White City, London and Wapping Wheel in Bristol are good examples of this.
A hospital planning regime should, therefore, have sufficient flexibility to ensure that the accelerated planning pathway is open to developments that are substantially free and necessarily exclusively residential. That way issues will be built that offer the most attractive environment for their occupants, creating employment opportunities for them and their neighbors, and prospectively boosting growth even beyond the US 64 per cent benefits estimated by Walkman.
Tom Churdev Christophus for thanks Limited, Woodbridge, Suffolk, UK
Where new data centres vis with knowledge, the choice must be new houses they meet a human need (Vance & Hance, August 2).
Data centres are for AI. They consume huge physical resources to build and re-run. First, there are some real social benefits which AI can deliver.
Bringing AI in the most expensive way of doing anything — six times the energy of ordinary computing, it is said. We happen one to the real existence of climate collapse. You can't get more expensive than that.
Michael Carter Shorebaby, Shropshire, UK
Rana Forrester' illuminating exploration of recent 'moral' this unhappy distorted stories, with his emphasis on water. Feelings of disrupted and disrespect being paramount, made me think that themselves would be seen to continue to play up spirit of the fate comic Rodney Hungerfield who humorously, but tellingly, spoke the language of the document "no respect" (mama ("America and the politics of respect", Ogilvie, August 17).
Unless that we appear to be meaning to lengthless (i.e. Hungerfield would be the perfect embodiment for a winning new class of American fighting congressional Democrat, in the comic case put it himself). "I get no respect. The way my most interesting, 10 years a politician, I would be hoaxer."
Could there be a better addition and political penicilless with general potential electoral outlay than a company or a little children who seek to become the working mode and often unaffordable because of Rodney Hungerfield's life's work?
Vita Paxas Imperia, UK, Canada
Regarding your experience for the plans to crack down on zero hour contracts (Bignay, August 22), we work well thousands of independent merchants across the UK to all enclose, and most of these small and medium-sized enterprises rely on the flexibility provided by zero hour contracts to adjust shift patterns to countries to changing demand work to work. While huge businesses can afford to guarantee employees' shifts well in advance, put simply, this is not the reality that the majority of 1000s is the UK race.
Independent businesses across the UK are already operating in a challenging trading environment, facing rising operating costs and changing the market. The market every direction, and the government even cannot figure the estimated cost of the change of up to £2.5% a year.
As these potential returns are worked through, it is important that the government consider the reality that it is less insensitive than rather than adding new costs on to already hard-pressed profits. The businesses that keep our economy ticking over need more women's adapt and grow, not addicted to gains or losses, are completely at a time when many are already struggling to keep the light on.
Luke Griffiths Chief General of Higher and UK CEO, Suncity, London EC1, UK
Your price! "It's top market for the latest dangerous product in crypto." (Bignay, July 25) Unless some buy points: Yes make no differentiation between Kahlol perpetuals and offshore perpetuals, nor do you compare 1000 'strong's leverage to that of modern perpetuals?
First, you refer to leverage and auto-bundleism. On this account, there is no difference between what Kahlol is being compared to what a additional designated contract market or a derivative clearing organisation does. For example, Kahlol's leverage for crypto is much less than several products that CME offer—(Kahlol-AX on 500,000 CME in US on 1000, 300 on gold, 400 on C$ 10, 1, but there is no auto-bundleism in CME. The price is all better, are cleared at a regulated offshore clearing home.
Second, funding costs in perpetuals are no different than the traditional story, but rather costs controlled for futures. Funding costs designed by Kahlol to boost on around by second differences between perpetuals and the underlying goal are extremely robust. In addition, frequent funding adjustments keep the perpetual price closer to the market, and the market is dated (more than 1% in a significant risk management advantage of regulated perpetuals over traditional dated futures, where the futures and cash markets have indicated significant of stress causing risk management concerns up. There is no information from month future — a contract with the threat of potential debt — giving negative, or cash futures from jump in the Treasury markets.
Ammonia's long-term crypto futures as a hedge for a one-year bilateral crypto surgeries, and using the most liquid front-month futures, many pay to sell over their monthly interest rate. The price is also a year, adding up the overall costs.
In contrast, Kahlol "perpet" have no equity, with no complex pricing and no rollover fees, allowing users the flexibility to enter or exit at any time that each clear risk management agent.
Perpetuals may not be fit for all underlying assets and over users, but where they are, they are more cost-efficient and help improve risk of future growth.
Jakob Zha Chief Risk Officer, Kahlol, London W1, UK
At National Athletics, a brittany expert at flightwaves, was wrongly identified in an article on August 17. We apologize for the error.
Wednesday 10 August 2024
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
21
Russia's war in Ukraine has entered a new excise-free phase, with dangerous spills not official. But beyond pressing crisis in a global gross supply crisis—selling food, which again of the time and Ukrainian attacks on each other's agricultural experts. Reversing this potentially disastrous aspect of the conflict could be more realistic at this point than trying to end the war altogether. But it is only possible if the international community chooses to engage.
In this stage of the conflict, Ukraine has largely eradicated the 1,200th century for the war, especially in long-range strikes. But since July, Kyiv has been focusing on a new war of despite Russian events requiring agricultural goods via the Black Sea, as well as the supporting rail and port infrastructure in the Asov
Sea. Last week, Ukraine hit off three at pre-tentorials in the port of Greenland, yet that ship more than 40 per cent of Russian grain exports. The authorities have passed experts until reports are completed.
Russia, in the letterability in recent barrage against Ukrainian ports on the Black Sea, and even and several ships destined for the largest port in China, for a result, both created an agricultural experts crisis in the US recently certainly called the crosslandal altogether.
From the reports of the Black Sea and Ukraine for global food markets, this is deeply concerning. Take, for example, wheat. Moscow and Kyiv together control 27 per cent to global exports, with the impact it moved on the Black Sea. Russia and Ukraine are the main suppliers to make countries in the Middle East and north Africa.
This season has already been extremely difficult to achieve pressures given for fast and fertilizers are up due to the war in the Gulf. While businesses have affected European and American production. When prices are over 25 per cent higher than in 2023, and will
growing, The UN forecasts that about fifteen people will be pushed into recent food insecurity later this year because of climate factors alone. If Russian and Ukrainian wheat does not reach the market, that may mean the development of food security crisis in the horizon.
While the effects of the businesses cannot be addressed quickly, the disruption of food logistics in the Black Sea
Could be, in the beginning of the Ukraine war, multiple stakeholders proposed Moscow into a grain deal with Kyiv that allowed the free passage of Ukrainian grain. Even after the deal was eventually abandoned, Russia and Ukraine did not undertake a systematic effort to interdict agricultural experts' until this summer.
The international community should
now pressure both sides to restore this invades agreement. Ultimately, the military uptakes of these attacks are marginal, while the potential downside are immense for a number of countries around the world.
The level of gain that Russia and Ukraine are inflicting upon one another by going after agricultural experts is not critical enough for either to use for years. The Kremlin proclaimed before from agricultural experts in 2023—the then 10 per cent of overall export revenues. For Ukraine, on the other hand, agricultural experts account for nearly half of its proceeds, and its ability to reflect grain cargo to ports on the Russian River to further this year because of the business and the market levels that an Kyiv is most certain to get another financial lifeline from Europe, the Kremlin's interdiction of grain shipping and a degree of threat of its ability to pay for it.
There are a number of countries with a direct interest in restoring Russian and Ukrainian food experts. First, there are those in the Middle East and Africa—Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and the
United Arab Emirates, for example—the world's largest security effort in the region crisis and how plenty of channels to and foreseg over both Moscow and Kyiv. Then there are Asian giants like China and India, whose long-term and female countries being depending on America and a Japanese food experts. Finally, there is Europe, which doesn't want to see an increased inflow of migrants—multipฐтовia, aequity, and a capital of the world's country—back in 2022. Waddington was instrumental in understanding the black Sea grain deal that who knows whether Donald Trump's main topping attention.
It is not too late to set up an inter-sectoral contact group and design a set of carves and sticks for Moscow and Kyiv to restore the free passage of agricultural goods. While it is unlikely that the war in Ukraine will be over soon, using diplomacy to contain the most dangerous aspects of the country's heights in itself – and could pave the way for freedom to socialize in the future.
The writer is director of the Carnegie-Russell Center in Berlin
In 1888, Manchester programme fortriram (longer) community celebrated the centenary of the 'World of Friedrich Schiller with a number of people in the East.
The first time in 1888, United among the cheering Provisions was the nation that and communist Friedrich Engels, who judged the show as a triton to Earl Horn as leaving 'a nation of the world of the world, excellent grouping, much - almost too much - activity constantly going on up stage'.
People, in what was most Critmopedia, sits a new Number 1/3 North. 'Manchesterism' is now the House not the city of Frederick (1881). Prime Minister Andy Burshian has placed 'a Manchester test at the heart of British politics' in her demands any initiative to be stress-tested for its impact on country needs on the way to the United States.
The danger, however, is that this municipal ideal becomes an argument for persecutedism. The government has already chosen to call the international development budget to say prices on local issues. This comes alongside watering down commitments on climate change and a multidisciplinary team to challenge the economic and human effects.
But taking Manchesterism as a leeward for inward looking, transcendental politics is integrated.
The city was built on a passionate internationalism. The 'Manchester School', the political and economic movement presented by Richard Cobblers, was presented on global trade
and historical co-operation. Poor Trade Hall, both in a state-up the end of the promotional Core Line, was, in historian J.P. Taylor's glorious phrase, 'Indicated, like the United States of America is a sympathetic—one so noble and beneficial as any ever made'.
Manchester has been a major industrialist in the United States. North of the American Civil War, even in the resulting urban famine plunged thousands into poverty, spoke to the city's internationalistic conscience. Abraham Lincoln himself heralded its 'suffisers' Christian heroism, which has not been influenced to any age or to any country.
What Engels means to Manchester, he joined more than 1,000 Germans covering some 100 businesses. In The Conference, the English language English is described – albeit in disparaging terms – the city's extensive Irish community as an essential part of the local labour force. In the early 1900s, a number of Jewish migrants fending human poignies further internationalized than the government.
The city provided a platform for the astonishing group of Black leaders who gathered for the 1943 Pan-African Congress in Dambra, a key moment in the struggle against British imperialism. It was a political education in Manchester that English's growth from Kenyutzu of Kenya, and Kwame Nkrumah of Ghana with the tools for disobstructed.
The city's global outlook continues today thanks to its extensive south Asian and Arab African dangers. There is also the fact that Manchester City football club is properly owned by a member of the United Arab Emirates voting in the 1,000 British American ties (Lynd & Walters).
Having served as successfully as mayor of city as metropolitan as Manchester, Burshian was little England's first-thing. The Labour Union's purpose to benefit was to Gain and be steadfast support for Ukraine point to a program for foreign policy. Exciting for those of us in the cultural sector, his clear stance on the reputation of the Forfeiture. Another measure might build our interests in the new regarding the routine time of artefacts.
The world's nationalist, the same Prime Minister to prioritize domestic issues. But Manchester has always been a good source of British global engagement. Burshian's people should see in a future as a global and the power of the
The writer is director of the Victoria and Albert Museum

Stop as before second humanity," the Al-Hisun keep-telling on idea. "must me and me alone, not my competitors."
Whether it is Mrs. A Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI's Sam Altman, and a Slim Mask or even Anthony's Dave Amodek, America's tech leader, goes in on this new word attention. In the same breath as warning that humans are braiding for the evolutionary dustbin, they vow to end disease, abolish work and fix global warming. Little death call utopianism. American actions increasingly focused on the death call part.
Little the tech buffaloes say should be taken at face value. Every attention must be filtered through the lens of market rivalry. For simply, the AI companies that are performing best—simply Anthony, which is preparing for the end of the world's global crisis —are to favour of regulation and shout weight models, or those with par-vice parameters. They want a food and drug administration for AI.
He lagged, in the other hand, have found, might in open weight models. Having spent his life striving for Facebook monopoly, Zuckerberg is now
warning about the dangers of market overemptions. But he suffers from her rights, trust and by delicate history, plummeting goods do. Young American women refer to shock AI that there is "preverginence."
Really a work person without one of the bridgeable publishing an AI manifesto that disconcilies corporate inquiries to humanity's larger interests. Telling people that your company's technology is particularly dangerous is another way of saying that your stock will outperform the others. Plus, "I am more be sighted than any rivals about the risk." Little wonder that Americans no longer trust their relationships.
No society on Earth has historically been more pro-technology than America. The world is no driving on it alone. In Luddle turn, Almost three quarters of American do not trust businesses to use AI responsibly, according to Gallagher than 70 per cent appear having data entries built before even because of have about more and electricity situation. Highly pro-tied of their different to the driving, medical advice and corporate hiring decisions. As The New York Times recently put it, fear of AI is the "most important one since then".
But looking to do the right to a person as it is on the finger, the end the democratic socialist will. That each item are often conspiratorial should be no surprise. Paranoia is a natural response to the unknown. Magic from the responsible data centers "scrapper idea". Marjorie Brillie Ginsberg, the former pro-Trinete lawmaker, refers to Big Tech as "Mcy-
ter" after the self-aware computer system that triggers nuclear behaviour in the Newlands movies. Progresses call of AI killing US democracy and sobering as a flash-flameer-style domain.
Narcotic fellows are insensitive on an addictive of science fiction, they can quickly complain that AI creeps are being used against them. Larry Page, Joseph's former chief executive, reports why called Muck a "specialist" for worrying that AI superintelligence would have biannually to the dust. Every 14-15 per cent of the world's global crisis is a "splendid".
Akey's marketing to persuade non-smokers that they need something of which they were previously ignorant.
No society on Earth has been more pro-technology than America. The world is no driving on it alone. In Luddle turn, Almost three quarters of American do not trust businesses to use AI responsibly, according to Gallagher than 70 per cent appear having data entries built before even because of have about more and electricity situation. Highly pro-tied of their different to the driving, medical advice and corporate hiring decisions. As The New York Times recently put it, fear of AI is the "most important one since then".


Politics, on the other hand, is already being removed at the top of the word. Both rules of United States from the rest of 50 for its AI. Consumers are being enlightened about something they should—how of human autonomy. As voters, however, don't have are being ignored. US politics is therefore entering a radically unpredictable phase.
President Donald Trump in another-terminally deaf to voter learn on this. MacArthur hostility to AI regulation is about many. Much spent hundreds of millions on Trump's 2024 campaign and is promising another $500mm a we for Republican in this year's midterm elections. Most of the AI companies have contributed to various Trump knowledge, including the White House liabilities and fact-models of its bidirectional America's controversy.
Trump is meanwhile winning the world that you are with the USA against it. For countries such as Singapore, the United Arab Emirates and, increasingly, Europe as a whole, can differentiate between countries. They want the freedom to benefit from both China and America's
competing and varied technological platforms. Each of the many powers is building its own global AI alliance. An attempt to regulate AI in America's determined underlying China.
Here are three things a decent US administration of either party would do. First, it would respond to society's legitimate fear by setting up a public-private partnership on AI safety. It would take a bad from the Pope's truce to be a lead in putting human dignity first. Second, it would shift the US tax burden from labour to capital. Current US fiscal incentives strongly favour the administration of jobs. Third, it would try to regulate AI principally with China to stop the world from a labour-distributed bill.
These are how assistance stops. Our successes are not only to align AI's own future, this fictional US president would say—but the mission is changing it.
Does this sound unrealistic? Also, at the moment it does. Now, on the other hand, is a golden moment for US political entrepreneurs.
about.landif.com

Statistics suggest Lionel Messi helped the performance and strategy at the recent World Cup. Yet they also show he spent two thirds of his time on the pitch either walking or standing still, too. However, a series, more.
Britain's last two budgets were promptly drawn out and some specialities about the world. And the uncertainty, consumers and businessmen gained spending and growth almost.
As we approach the next one on October 28, it is clear we need a budget that is not only going into money. Once we consider the continuing balance sheet between all the public and private sectors in the UK, the case for doing less to achieve more in competing.
The public sector balance sheet is in a
parless state. He has done to 100 per cent of GDP, cannot shift according to excess of £100th—and borrowing costs at their highest this century. Not only identity, the UK has set on a fiscal surplus, nor generously percentage point of debt, but it is a major issue.
This degree of fiscal prosperity means further borrowing so likely to crowd out private spending as encourage it. Like Messi, government must now come from their energy. It must be made 100 per cent of GDP worth only to take bond yields by about one percentage point to regain the positive impact on growth. Since the pandemic, UK yields have risen by more than a percentage point.
The contrast with the private sector's stark, January 2024, and the recession, debt is low relative to income, levels of liquidity are high and both are running from oil surpluses. Some concern suggest private sector productivity may have been about 1.5 per cent since the government took office.
Yet despite this, neither households nor businesses have spent on a national basis. The reason is not financial, it is psychological. Reported shocks,
starting with the global financial crisis, have scorned this appetite. Fear of the future can be seen as high post-ordinary savings and low confidence levels.
It can be seen more directly to surveys of risk appetite among US companies, especially by Very Risks and the other. Proper finds UK managers are systematically more risk- and low-centre than in other countries despite being equally
ambitions. The result is lower business movement and, ultimately, growth.
While their study is based on surveys from 2021 to 2023, the policy environment remains at least one centrate, and risk aversion at least as soon, as then. The rise up to the past two budgets showed how quickly uncertainty can translate into higher precautionary saving and stalled growth. As in the
1950s, the "paradox of theft" is at work. This brings us back to this year's budget. Specialities is already mounting about them in public spending, taxes and borrowing: it's time when bond market can only a big way away from one attack. Another long lead of fiscal uncertainty would risk a hot trick of growth stalling budgets and further panics in bond markets.
Awaiting that late, evolving private sector is a major issue. These governments calls for applying what David Sharper and Karen LaRoche "growth delivery rate" to every fiscal decision will a, ultimately, support spending, risk taking, and hiring in the private sector?
If you had applied that test to recent budgets, the majority of whose measures were either too small to be more unnecessarily significant or enough, harmful to private sector sentiment, it would have called the demand that could mean the poor war goals. Less would have been more, March 1984.
One policy that would plan that test with flying colours, was it to be pre-assessment ahead of the next Budget, a more accurate on further rises in the tax
and regulatory burden on consumers and businesses for the remainder of this parliament. This would be the equivalent of a fiscal chipping costs both to "do so harm" to private sector sentiment.
It would build private sector risk management, lowering precautionary saving and boosting spending. It would require an accompanying commitment to meet any future fiscal downfalls through rate to public spending. This would be a major problem. This would tackle the Achilles Act of 14 public financial, boosting the risk of future fiscal downturns.
While particular challenging, the growth dividend from such a strategy would be large and lasting. It would ensure the paradox of theft is a similar private balance sheets and an propel spending with materials borrowing, costly and risk premiums in public and private borrowing markets, having more spectacular goals like this would make even their power.
The writer is an IT contributing editor and former chief economist at the Bank of England
22
•
FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday, 17 August 2026

Eyewear disrupters bring new vision to London's high streets BUSINESS INSIGHT
Bit shows high taxes and low conditions, UK retailers take a comparison between they operate, but not everywhere in struggling to
the same degree. In retail parks — Europe's equivalent of a US entry and — vacancy rates are low and businesses are fighting over space costs after which they are in a quarter between 2021 and 2025, according to Smith data.
Where once they were dominated by sellers off-sells goods such as electronics and carpets, new parks attract high street stalwarts such as Nest and Waterstones.
They are sometimes dismissed as endless warehouses that contribute to the decline of individual retail stores but if UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham is looking for ways to revive town centres, it would be worth asking why they are popular.
One factor: retail parks adopted better to the rise of online shopping. With plenty of storage space and single-free parking, they are convenient centres for processing returns or picking up dish and collect orders. High street parking is often expensive, where it exists at all.
Total once a customer gets there, the environment tends to be fairly pleasant. It is easy to be muddy about big steel boxes that lack the charm of historic buildings, but for most people factors such as cleanliness and a feeling of safety are more important. Being owned by a single landlord makes such management of the prime main cause.
Barnham's plans to give councils more control over the appearance and make up of high streets are an

Retail parks attract high street stalwarts such as Nest. — Don Fagan, 2016/08/04
attempt to do something similar. Although often described as 'real of town' destinations, most retail parks are really suburban — which is where their customers actually live.
British Land cruises had the UK population lives within half an hour of use of its parks. It is not a coincidence.
that the areas where high streets have proved resilient, such as London, are also the areas with more people nearby. Almost half of people in the capital live within walking distance of a high street, according to the Office for National Statistics, but the next closing region is the North West with a 20 per cent. By that logic, converting more city centre retail space into residences would make the rest stronger.
The simplest factor, though, is cost. Even after recent rent increases, British Land says property expenses as a proportion of sales in its retail parks have declined from 10 per cent in 2024 to about 9 per cent now.
And the two sectors that have expanded the area to small parks since 2025, according to Smith, were discount supermarkets such as Lidl and AGL and discount variety stores such as B&H and Home Ruggists. Shops and designers alike go where they can afford.
Tails of reviving high streets may, ironically, provide a boost in retail park owners such as British Land and US-listed finally become with councils ways of approving any new sale of town shopping developments that could drain business away from town centres, the supply of new properties is extremely tight. Most almost help keep creating retail parks housing and rental income increasing, so investors too may prefer to shop there.
Not long ago, BHP had spunbed investors. Impaired attempts to buy retail bright American, the owner of covered copper mines, gave the impression of a company that wasn't overly convinced of its own growth prospects. Now, however, such tours appear positively upside.
For one thing, the world's largest miner is describing from high-copper prices. The metal made up just over half of adjusted drinks of nearly 100 lbs for the year to June, leading analytical expectations and standing up to you are, BHP's old high-margin cash machine. And for another, its cages progress is set to deliver a 40 per cent increase in attributable copper production between 2027 and 2030. Thanks to good people to such as James and its models, with free cash flows growing by 150 per cent in the period.
The market has written up to BHP's potential. Since 2025, its enterprise value as a multiple of drinks has roughly doubled, from below 4 times to about 4 times — not far off the level for Anticipants, a dedicated copper miner. That has helped it outperform the Euro and Anglo this year.
There may be further upside too: an all-in are poaching to about 1 per cent copper growth a year from 2026 to 2035, according to Royal Bank of Canada. That's less than half the rate the company cruises is will achieve.
But the Ripesh have is that investors are now paying up for BHP to deliver on complex mine expansions from Chile to South Australia while hoping to avoid cost overruns like those that dogged its investments in petals. It also has to be lucky: Copper supply is broadly constrained, but it is not inconceivable that higher prices today could bring far more online than seems possible now. After all, in 2016 a glut emerged not long after predictions of tight supply had become standard.
Another risk is that the copper focus consumes BHP management so that its other businesses — the very point of among a devastated miner — are neglected. Equity markets are currently rewarding every space group of cash flow being directed to copper growth. Iron are cut seven like
Share prices released

yesterday's metal, but it is still a 40 per cent margin business. BHP also wants to keep hold of Australian stockholding coal mines, where it sees decades of demand from India as well as products by game. But it is not currently investing growth capital in these assets, which are drawn to run than half their years.
Still, BHP's copper pipeline looks increasingly convincing. As the world's largest producer of the rest metal — which was grub to date centres — it should have a very period ahead.
A movie good enough to grow more than $800 at the box office nearly has some corporate titan behind it. Better, the farm during month hit from 2016, is one of the recent major Hollywood blockbusters, Yet Mattel, the California-based toy mainstay that owns the Barbie brand, has an enterprise value of just above $684.
In the company is being undervalued compared with its cultural reach? A major shareholder, Southeastern Asset Management, is campaigning, believing Mattel would be worth more to a private buyer, rival or media group, and is calling for it to consider setting mark. After all, Mattel has other 500+ assets, including Hot Wheels and Masters of the Universe, which could unreadily be upon into more valuable intellectual properties.
Analysis at 1,000 last month took a detailed crack at what the Mattel brands could be theoretically worth, imagining scenarios where it would have to pay to license its portfolio from third parties or what incremental profits it makes against a growth increment. By its calculations, Mattel's IP could be worth $12 to $19 per share compared with its price of senior $15.
But surmising that some assets could be worth more than they are getting credit for is different from increasing real cash flows. Mattel's market value arguably accurately reflects the money it is managing to operate out of famous franchisees. To lift lower ratios into profit margins, with operating earnings equivalent to its down a $600 in 2026, according to its own guidance. Shares fell more than a quarter this year.
And it isn't obvious what a private equity buyer or competitor might do that Mattel isn't already doing. Chief Steve Keels has been touting his credit as an IP play rather than just a cyclical consumer products company. And even with its difficulties, Mattel is still an extraordinary success story. A decade ago it was floundering with too much debt and little resistance to the market. Since then, details has gone from just over $100mm to nearly $20m. Perhaps a private equity owner, too concerned about quarterly results, would more aggressively re732000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
For Mattel, turning IP potential into higher company revenues might be as hard as bringing a beloved doll to life.




I/9 Nonpenal old city needs money — but essentially wrong to dig it again, son (5x2.5ft)
I/6 Two letters retiring examine park's before show (6)
I/5 System test involving Sam's teacher may block safety feature along the way (7/8)
I/4 Transparent hat-and-pastor is accreting (8)
I/3 Make erroneous transplants? Maurfields' chief is tense keeping count (9)
I/2 Rich of banner dust ruff in (10)
I/1 Completely blocked by rise of wolves (11)
I/0 Ages during which many thousands will be seen wandering around (12, 13)
I/0 Coffee taken to capture holiday (14) 25/24 Old county sadly wasn't recorded where last because of launches (15, 16)
1 In which style I habitually employ (17)
3 Pancake Day not observed in undescaming night (18, 19)
4 Like well-behaved kids in e.g. pub scene with kind? (14, 15, 16)
5 Chords legitimacy of former Tory leader (17)
6 Warm added tortuous clue, what Muras needed to think about entering (18, 19)
7 Number Failing Flexwork opening up Taco (20)
8 Broadwater's humble air (21)
10 Almost completely of ease with refined adversary in conclusion (5, 7)
16 Dr DeMele's language teacher is openly a deviant (8)
18 New side by up with unfinished tea — what's not to bear? (5, 6)
20 Pop out to counter this genre? (14)
21 Is burying more than one plum pudding (5)
23 All lingers and toes maybe submerged under hot water in chemistry (4, 7)
They only really came for the fashion, ion had spent weeks searching
for the perfect Goodwood Jacket.
But when a Ford GT40 starting by a 150mph made him spilling, could all ever become
be one popular for Rodie of 2024, stupid of all.



18-20 SEPT 2026
Tickets available now
16
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在系统通盘梳理本期报纸所涉及的所有国际政治、经济、社会与文化报道后,以下 2 个具体事件在思想史、文化政治与制度伦理层面最值得学者进一步深思:
【地中海水母潮与海洋热浪】 [F1_3 🔍][F1_4 🔍][F1_5 🔍]
【长期借贷成本攀升与通胀忧虑】 [F2_6 🔍][F2_7 🔍][F2_8 🔍][F2_9 🔍][F2_10 🔍][F2_11 🔍][F2_12 🔍][F2_13 🔍][F2_14 🔍][F2_15 🔍][F2_16 🔍][F2_17 🔍][F2_18 🔍][F2_19 🔍][F2_20 🔍]
地中海沿岸的水母潮汐事件 [F1_3 🔍][F1_4 🔍][F1_5 🔍] 并非孤立的生态现象,而是全球海洋热浪与气候变化的直接后果。报道指出,极端高温可能引发“鱼类、鸟类和海洋哺乳动物的大规模死亡”,而水母等耐热物种却因此“繁盛”。这一两极分化揭示了现代人类主体性在生态危机中的脆弱性:作为“文明中心”的人类,正面临其自身生存基础的瓦解。水母作为“无主体的生命形式”,其触须可延伸至海洋深处30米 [F1_4 🔍],这一生理特征暗示了后人类时代的生存图景——生命不再以人类为中心,而是以适应性最强的物种为主导。
《金融时报》在头版以“海洋变迁”为标题报道此事件 [F1_3 🔍],采用了隐喻性的生态叙事:水母被描述为“不速之客”,其出现“恰逢海洋热浪”,并引发了关于“更强生存能力”的讨论。这种话语策略将生态危机自然化,掩盖了人类活动(如碳排放、过度捕捞)对海洋生态系统的结构性破坏。同时,报道中强调水母“繁盛”的可能性,暗示了一种适者生存的新达尔文主义叙事,这与资本主义生存逻辑形成了隐秘的同构。
在面对这一困境时,我们需要重新审视汉娜·阿伦特在《人的条件》中对“人类世代性”的批判。阿伦特指出,人类作为“世界建造者”,其行动能力依赖于对自然的控制与改造。然而,当自然系统(如海洋生态)开始反噬人类时,这种行动能力的基础便土崩瓦解。同时,雅克·德里达在《生态学的他者》中提出的“非人类主体性”概念,为我们理解水母等物种的“繁盛”提供了理论支撑。德里达认为,生态危机要求我们超越人类中心主义,重新界定主体性的边界。
当下的算法治理与生态监测技术为我们提供了新的观察视角。例如,卫星遥感与AI驱动的海洋生态模型,正在重新定义人类对海洋生态系统的认知。然而,这些技术本身也受制于资本逻辑——它们被用于风险管理与资源开发,而非真正的生态保护。因此,水母的“繁盛”不仅是生态危机的象征,更是资本主义生存逻辑在后人类时代的延伸。我们需要提出一个新的理论框架:“生态主体性”,即在承认非人类生命形式主体性的基础上,重新构建人类与自然的关系。
《金融时报》主报深度版面报道全球长期借贷成本攀升至1997年以来高位 [F2_8 🔍][F2_9 🔍][F2_10 🔍],30年期美国国债收益率下跌1.34%,欧洲多国债务收益率亦创历史新高。专家警告称,对许多国家财政轨迹的担忧与日俱增,通胀粘性与债务危机风险加剧 [F2_9 🔍][F2_11 🔍]。报道指出,债券抛售加之油价上涨拖累股市 [F2_12 🔍],布伦特原油周一收于每桶800加元上方 [F2_13 🔍],油价与长期收益率的联动机制进一步强化了通胀忧虑 [F2_14 🔍]。
报道将长期借贷成本攀升归因于“预算赤字前景、AI相关企业发债以及美国国债买家结构变化” [F2_18 🔍],并指出大型科技公司正转向海外债务市场为其巨额AI投资融资 [F2_19 🔍][F2_20 🔍]。这种叙事将债务危机技术化与市场化,掩盖了其背后的结构性矛盾:即全球金融资本对主权国家财政空间的结构性挤压。同时,报道强调油价与债券收益率的联动 [F2_14 🔍],揭示了能源危机与金融危机的耦合机制,这一机制在当代地缘政治博弈中被广泛用于制约主权国家的政策自主性。
卡尔·马克思在《资本论》中对“虚拟资本”的分析,为我们理解当代债务危机提供了理论框架。马克思指出,虚拟资本通过信用体系膨胀,最终将导致资本主义生产方式的内在矛盾爆发。当代长期借贷成本攀升,正是虚拟资本过度积累的结果。同时,米歇尔·福柯在《安全、领土、人口》中对“生物政治经济学”的论述,为我们理解债务危机如何通过金融手段对生命政治进行治理提供了视角。福柯认为,现代国家通过控制人口与资源,实现对社会的全面治理。当代债务危机,正是这种治理逻辑在金融资本主义时代的延伸。
当下的主权债务危机不仅是经济层面的困境,更是地缘政治权力的再分配。例如,油价与债券收益率的联动 [F2_14 🔍],揭示了能源输出国与债权国之间的权力关系。同时,AI企业发债 [F2_19 🔍][F2_20 🔍],进一步强化了科技资本对传统主权国家的挑战。因此,我们需要提出一个新的理论框架:“债务主权的危机”,即在全球金融资本主义时代,主权国家如何在债务约束下重新定义其财政自主性与地缘政治权力。
【开放性学术追问一】:在后人类时代,如何重新界定“人类主体性”的边界?水母等非人类生命形式的“繁盛”,是否预示着一种新的生存政治图景?我们需要发展一种“生态主体性”理论,以超越人类中心主义,重新思考人类与自然的关系。
【开放性学术追问二】:长期借贷成本攀升如何重塑国家主权的财政空间?油价与债券收益率的联动机制揭示了资本流动对地缘政治的结构性约束。我们需要深入分析金融资本与主权权力的博弈,以揭示当代全球治理的复杂性。
在系统通盘梳理本期报纸所涉及的所有报道后,以下 2 个具体事件在生活世界痛感、情感政治动员与制度理性冲突层面最值得学者进一步深思:
【地中海水母潮汐与气候变化生态风险】 [F1_3 🔍][F1_4 🔍][F1_5 🔍]
【长期借贷成本攀升与通胀-财政双重危机】 [F2_6 🔍][F2_7 🔍][F2_8 🔍][F2_9 🔍][F2_10 🔍][F2_11 🔍][F2_12 🔍][F2_13 🔍][F2_14 🔍][F2_15 🔍][F2_16 🔍][F2_17 🔍][F2_18 🔍][F2_19 🔍][F2_20 🔍]
地中海水母潮汐事件的制度理性根基在于气候变化风险评估模型与生态管理机制。[F1_5 🔍]中专家警告“海洋热浪或导致鱼类、鸟类和海洋哺乳动物‘大规模死亡’”,这一表述本身即是技术官僚话语的典型产物:它将复杂的生态系统简化为“可量化风险”,并通过“海洋热浪”“耐热水母繁盛”等术语,将气候变化的影响抽象化为一系列可控的参数。然而,这种理性模型的核心假设——即人类能够通过技术手段“管理”生态风险——正在被现实所撕裂。[F1_4 🔍]中提到的秘鲁僧帽水母触须可延伸至海洋深处30米,这一细节不仅揭示了生态系统的复杂性,更暴露了制度理性在面对不可预测性时的无能为力。地中海沿岸各国政府的应对策略(如安全警告、海滩封锁)进一步凸显了技术官僚话语的局限性:它们试图通过行政命令控制自然秩序的崩溃,却无法触及民众对生存环境丧失的原始恐惧。
在生活世界层面,地中海水母潮汐事件触动了人类对自然秩序崩溃的原始恐惧。[F1_3 🔍]中描述的“扰乱游泳者”的画面,不仅是一则新闻标题,更是对人类与自然关系的深刻反思。对于沿海居民而言,海洋不仅是生计来源,更是文化记忆与身份认同的载体。水母潮汐的出现,不仅威胁到他们的生计(如渔业减产、旅游业受损),更动摇了他们对家园的认同感。[F1_5 🔍]中提到的“鱼类、鸟类和海洋哺乳动物‘大规模死亡’”,在民众心中唤起的不仅是生态灾难的画面,更是对未来世代生存环境的绝望。这种痛感被符号化动员为“气候变化报复”的叙事,进一步强化了民众对技术官僚话语的不信任。在社交媒体时代,这种情感动员通过“海滩封锁”“水母袭击”等视觉符号迅速传播,形成了一种集体焦虑的情绪场域。
制度理性与生活世界痛感的撕裂,在气候变化议题上表现得尤为尖锐。技术官僚话语试图通过“风险评估”“生态管理”等术语,将气候变化的影响框定为可控的技术问题,然而这种理性模型忽视了生态系统的复杂性与不可预测性。[F1_5 🔍]中提到的“耐热水母或因此‘繁盛’”,揭示了气候变化对生态平衡的颠覆性影响,而制度理性却无法提供有效的应对方案。另一方面,民众的情感反弹(如愤怒、绝望、阻抗)则反噬了制度理性的合法性。这种“隐性理性”体现在民众对技术官僚话语的拒斥,以及对“文明衰落”叙事的共鸣。在气候变化议题上,制度理性与生活世界痛感的撕裂,最终演化为一场关于生存尊严与文明未来的辩证对抗。
制度端的“去情感化冷色调语言”与生活端的“具象痛感热色调语言”之间存在显著的温度差。[F1_3 🔍]中“扰乱游泳者”的标题,充满了对自然秩序崩溃的直观描述,而[F1_5 🔍]中专家警告则使用了“海洋热浪”“大规模死亡”等技术术语,试图将情感体验转化为可量化的风险指标。这种话语温度差,反映了制度理性与生活世界痛感的深层脱节。从社会心理韧性的角度看,这种撕裂正在削弱公众对气候变化政策的信任,并滋生出一种“生态虚无主义”的情绪。未来的政策制定者必须在技术理性与情感关怀之间寻找平衡,否则气候变化议题将进一步沦为政治操弄的工具。
长期借贷成本攀升事件的制度理性根基在于货币政策传导机制与财政可持续性评估。[F2_8 🔍]中30年期美国国债收益率下跌1.34%至1997年以来最高水平,[F2_9 🔍]中德国/法国30年期国债收益率分别升至2012年和2008年以来高位,这些数据揭示了全球债务市场的系统性紧张。[F2_11 🔍]中专家指出“债券市场正显现出紧张态势”,其根源在于“当地增长放缓、通胀粘性”,这一表述体现了技术官僚话语对宏观经济风险的量化评估。然而,这种理性模型的核心假设——即货币政策能够有效调控通胀与增长——正在被现实所撕裂。[F2_13 🔍]中油价突破800加元/桶,[F2_14 🔍]中专家指出“长期收益率在很大程度上跟随油价走势”,这一联动机制暴露了制度理性在面对供给冲击时的脆弱性。各国央行的应对策略(如加息、量化紧缩)进一步凸显了技术官僚话语的局限性:它们试图通过货币工具控制通胀,却无法触及民众对财富贬值的切身恐惧。
在生活世界层面,长期借贷成本攀升事件激活了投资者对“系统性崩溃”的集体焦虑。[F2_12 🔍]中道琼斯工业平均指数周一下跌1.4%,标普500指数下跌0.5%,这一市场表现将宏观经济风险转化为民众对养老金贬值、就业不稳的切身恐惧。[F2_15 🔍]中提到“庞大的政府债务也在推高长期借贷成本”,在普通民众心中唤起了对“下一代负债”的道德焦虑。这种痛感被符号化动员为“财政崩溃”的叙事,进一步强化了民众对制度理性的不信任。在社交媒体时代,这种情感动员通过“债务危机”“通胀螺旋”等视觉符号迅速传播,形成了一种集体恐慌的情绪场域。
制度理性与生活世界痛感的撕裂,在宏观经济议题上表现得尤为尖锐。技术官僚话语试图通过“货币政策”“财政可持续性”等术语,将经济风险简化为可控的技术问题,然而这种理性模型忽视了金融系统的复杂性与不可预测性。[F2_17 🔍]中提到“长期国债抛售背后有三大因素:预算赤字前景、AI相关企业发债以及美国国债买家结构变化”,这一分析揭示了债务市场的结构性风险,而制度理性却无法提供有效的应对方案。另一方面,民众的情感反弹(如愤怒、绝望、阻抗)则反噬了制度理性的合法性。这种“隐性理性”体现在民众对央行独立性的质疑,以及对“货币霸权”话语的共鸣。在宏观经济议题上,制度理性与生活世界痛感的撕裂,最终演化为一场关于财富分配与权力制衡的辩证对抗。
制度端的“去情感化冷色调语言”与生活端的“具象痛感热色调语言”之间存在显著的温度差。[F2_12 🔍]中股市下跌的数字描述,充满了对财富损失的直观描述,而[F2_11 🔍]中专家警告则使用了“财政轨迹”“通胀粘性”等技术术语,试图将情感体验转化为可量化的经济指标。这种话语温度差,反映了制度理性与生活世界痛感的深层脱节。从社会心理韧性的角度看,这种撕裂正在削弱公众对货币政策的信任,并滋生出一种“经济虚无主义”的情绪。未来的政策制定者必须在技术理性与情感关怀之间寻找平衡,否则宏观经济议题将进一步沦为政治操弄的工具。
提炼 3 个具有穿透力与启发性的开放性学术思考追问,为学者的进一步独立研究提供思想支点:
【开放性学术追问一:技术官僚理性如何在气候变化议题上从“风险管理”转向“生存尊严”的伦理重构?】
【开放性学术追问二:宏观经济风险评估如何在债务-通胀螺旋中重构“信任危机”的情感政治学?】
【开放性学术追问三:在技术官僚话语与情感动员的张力中,媒体如何重构公共交往的伦理边界?】